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Stinky The Clown

(67,807 posts)
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 08:52 AM Nov 2016

OH MY GOD!!! Trump is CLOSING THE GAP!

Holy Shit!!! The NXNXNX Poll is showing them within the margin of error in East Bumfuck!! Oh noes!!!!!!

LOOK!!! Donald Trump Is Staying On MESSAGE!!!!!!

Wow! Melania is going back on the campaign trail!!!!! What Shall Hillary DOOOOOOOO??????

Donald Trump Is staying calm! He is on script!!!




Uh . . . . erm . . . . . Hey, uh . . . . media Fuckwads:
Donald Trump is STILL Donald Trump.

No matter what you say.

34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
OH MY GOD!!! Trump is CLOSING THE GAP! (Original Post) Stinky The Clown Nov 2016 OP
Any "rise" in TrumpleThinSkin's political fortune at this point. . . DinahMoeHum Nov 2016 #1
Trump is so lonely out there, zero big name surrogates. dKos election forecast is 326-212: Coyotl Nov 2016 #2
and Chachi MontanaMama Nov 2016 #13
And the Best Baldwin... GopherGal Nov 2016 #29
A big pile of shit is still a big pile of shit dalton99 Nov 2016 #3
Yeah, get a grip gratuitous Nov 2016 #4
^ This. dalton99 Nov 2016 #5
Is he managing to button his trousers? nt MADem Nov 2016 #6
He'd have to because BumRushDaShow Nov 2016 #10
Lol! Democrats Ascendant Nov 2016 #7
Supermodel? Scarsdale Nov 2016 #14
Yes but . . . ham_actor Nov 2016 #8
Welcome to DU, ham_actor! calimary Nov 2016 #27
This made me laugh-thanks Stinky! apcalc Nov 2016 #9
The Racist Republicans nominate a man... Rorey Nov 2016 #11
As East Bumfuck goes.... rumdude Nov 2016 #12
This place.... vi5 Nov 2016 #15
AYFKM? Trump also turns off people in a way that Romney never did. That's a big factor. Fast Walker 52 Nov 2016 #18
You have no understanding of the major factors in this election. duffyduff Nov 2016 #22
I agree with most of this and hope you are right... vi5 Nov 2016 #24
It is less. Obama is still a man. duffyduff Nov 2016 #26
People who realized how historic rury Nov 2016 #34
it pisses me off when I hear the news on the radio, and they treat that racist sexist lying Fast Walker 52 Nov 2016 #16
CNN makes a Billion dollars, HRC becomes #45. sarcasmo Nov 2016 #17
Princeton election consortium now has Hillary at a 100% chance by Bayesian prediction Fast Walker 52 Nov 2016 #19
This message was self-deleted by its author bdamomma1 Nov 2016 #20
fivethirtyeight.com: Clinton 66.7%, Trump 33.2% Towlie Nov 2016 #21
Yeah. About 538. Stinky The Clown Nov 2016 #28
I think Sarcasmo has it right. Races always get closer Oldem Nov 2016 #25
The only gap he needs to close... graegoyle Nov 2016 #30
This stupid election needs to be over IronLionZion Nov 2016 #31
Agreed!!! llmart Nov 2016 #32
He's closing the Gap? What about Old Navy and the Baby Gap? FSogol Nov 2016 #33

DinahMoeHum

(21,794 posts)
1. Any "rise" in TrumpleThinSkin's political fortune at this point. . .
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 08:55 AM
Nov 2016

is simply a "dead cat bounce"
(from the Wall Street expression that "even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great height&quot

Stay the course, GOTV, and we will bring it all home for Hillary come next Tuesday.

 

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)
2. Trump is so lonely out there, zero big name surrogates. dKos election forecast is 326-212:
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 08:56 AM
Nov 2016

Clinton has a President, a vice-President, Sen. Warren, Sen. Sanders, ..... Trump has one person, his wife, ironically an immigrant.

forecast Hillary Clinton 323 Trump 215 Electoral Votes

http://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/president



Hopefully, turnout will turn OH blue too. Latinos may make the difference in Texas. They are already turning Fl, AZ and NV blue.

gratuitous

(82,849 posts)
4. Yeah, get a grip
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 09:00 AM
Nov 2016

If someone is really, truly worried about the outcome on Nov. 8, may I suggest you sign up to do some neighborhood canvassing or phone banking?

Scarsdale

(9,426 posts)
14. Supermodel?
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 10:18 AM
Nov 2016

Never heard of her before tRump bought her the fake boobs and called in his friends to put her on covers of magazines. Tried to clean up her resume, after she was an escort.

calimary

(81,304 posts)
27. Welcome to DU, ham_actor!
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 10:58 AM
Nov 2016

At this point my head is hurting. One of my friends is so distraught about this that she's completely turned off. Watching the World Series and whatever channel reruns multiple "Law & Order" episodes for all the binge-watchers out there.

Rorey

(8,445 posts)
11. The Racist Republicans nominate a man...
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 09:52 AM
Nov 2016

....who is the son of a member of the KKK. The media ignores it.
The Republican nominee has been thrice married, twice divorced. The media ignores it.
The wife of the Republican nominee is the daughter of a communist. The media ignores it.
The Republican nominee has THREATENED the women he sexually assaulted for talking. The media ignores it.
The Republican nominee has a court date in December for his RAPE of a 13 YEAR OLD girl. The media ignores it.

And the idiot Trump supporters say that the media is biased in favor of Hillary Rodham Clinton.

 

vi5

(13,305 posts)
15. This place....
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 10:21 AM
Nov 2016

...is starting to get dangerously close to "unskewed polls" territory.

I'm not saying the sky is falling but a look at the big picture must give us cause for worry. It won't do just to eke out a narrow victory to elect President Clinton. We need a full court press, and to take back the Senate and pick up house seats. And the big picture on that whole situation is not looking as good as it was.

And I've seen a lot of comparison to what the polls were in 2012 and what the results ended up being, which I think is not an accurate picture. Trump for better or worse (spoiler alert: it's worse) energizes people in a way that Mittens didn't. And Obama had no scandals hanging over head, either real or manufactured (spoiler alert: Hillary's are manufactured) hanging over his head to give pause.

Take nothing for granted and don't dismiss any polls.

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
18. AYFKM? Trump also turns off people in a way that Romney never did. That's a big factor.
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 10:34 AM
Nov 2016

Also, the media always plays up the national poll numbers which are meaningless.

The media also ignores -- always has-- the real enthusiasm many people feel for voting for Hillary.

 

duffyduff

(3,251 posts)
22. You have no understanding of the major factors in this election.
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 10:46 AM
Nov 2016

This election is an anomaly. I keep reading over and over and over again about how the electorate is "divided" based on previous elections. But this is NOT like other elections.

There are a couple of major factors at play which is why I think Clinton will win comfortably and should be way more but for the stupid media: Donald Trump is mentally unfit for the job, he has absolutely NO governmental or high-ranking military experience (the ONLY time in American history a major party candidate has had no such prior experence--Trump is basically a third-party candidate running on a major party ticket), and the fact that Hillary Clinton is the first woman in American history to head a major party ticket.

People blathered on and on and on about how "historic" Obama's candidacy was, and it was, but it simply is not as absolutely significant--a WATERSHED in American history--as the first woman president. It doesn't even come close to it.

You are going to have crossover voting by GOP women that would not have occurred if Dems had run a man on the top of the ticket.

People make the mistake of assuming the GOP will vote strictly party this time. This is not the case.

 

vi5

(13,305 posts)
24. I agree with most of this and hope you are right...
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 10:50 AM
Nov 2016

I disagree completely that the first AA president is any less of a watershed moment or as significant as a woman president. It is equal to, if not more crucial since Americans are as racist as they are sexist.

But other than that I hope you are right. I really do.

 

duffyduff

(3,251 posts)
26. It is less. Obama is still a man.
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 10:51 AM
Nov 2016

Half of the human race and the majority of the electorate is far more a bigger deal.

You underestimate the significance of sexism in our society and just how absolutely monumental electing the first woman president is.

Women got the right to vote less than a century ago. Not to mention men could rape them in marriage until a couple of decades ago, women couldn't get credit in their own name until the 1970s, they still have no paid maternity leave, women still suffer major discrimination and poverty in the workplace and find they still have to be married in order to survive, and so on down the line.

And, don't forget, women make up at least half of the racial minorities in all societies.

rury

(1,021 posts)
34. People who realized how historic
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 07:21 PM
Nov 2016

President Obama's election was were hardly "blathering."
It was and is highly significant that a black man ascended to the presidency in a majority white country with a sordid history of slavery, Jim Crow segregation/inequality and legal lynching of black citizens.
Yes, Hillary Clinton will likely become the first female president. But she is also the wife of a former white male president who has largely ridden his coattails to her position of prominence. She almost certainly would not have been able to easily win a U.S. Senate seat in New York where she had not previously lived had she not just been First Lady for eight years and had the tremendous advantage of name recognition.
Barack Obama had no such familial connection to boost him.
There is no doubt whose candidacy and election was more historically significant.
None. No comparison between the two.
It is beyond insulting to say that recognizing and stating that fact is "blathering."

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
16. it pisses me off when I hear the news on the radio, and they treat that racist sexist lying
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 10:29 AM
Nov 2016

motherfucker like any other candidate.

Response to Stinky The Clown (Original post)

Stinky The Clown

(67,807 posts)
28. Yeah. About 538.
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 12:12 PM
Nov 2016

It has had a lot of statistical noise this cycle and they're not equipped to filter it as well as they might. I don't think their model works nearly as well in what is obviously an anomalous election cycle.

Oldem

(833 posts)
25. I think Sarcasmo has it right. Races always get closer
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 10:50 AM
Nov 2016

the closer we get to election day. And the M$M can be relied on to capitalize and drive us all nuts to sell more Mesothelioma ads. I just switched to the MLB channel.

IronLionZion

(45,450 posts)
31. This stupid election needs to be over
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 06:45 PM
Nov 2016

and we need to win big. win the senate, and as many house and state races as possible.

llmart

(15,540 posts)
32. Agreed!!!
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 07:04 PM
Nov 2016

Hillary needs to win big so that the mouthbreathers that are trump's sidekicks can see that they are irrelevant.

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