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Cryptoad

(8,254 posts)
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:10 PM Nov 2016

*****Breaking LATimes /USC poll ********* Trump surges 50pt

who are these idiots.....
it is the only poll RCP has reported the last 3 months that showed
Trump with even a 1 pt lead and
MSM has let this poll numbers push numbers
I thought teh polling had gone to hell in 2012
but I was wrong.
Now we have every polling troll on DU pushing these polls

"Makes my ass want a pinch of snuff"

10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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*****Breaking LATimes /USC poll ********* Trump surges 50pt (Original Post) Cryptoad Nov 2016 OP
Why even report LA poll? OhZone Nov 2016 #1
If I'm not mistaken they poll the same group of voters MidwestTransplant Nov 2016 #2
Yes. It's not s true poll. It's a survey of aaaaaa5a Nov 2016 #3
polling driving me nuts mondonhill Nov 2016 #4
Agree 100%. Well Said (nt) Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2016 #6
LAT has been consistently more favorable to Trump throghout the race Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2016 #5
yep,,,,,,, GAllup this time 4 years ago Cryptoad Nov 2016 #9
Gallup isn't doing horserace surveying this cycle Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2016 #10
i think rachel m had something about their methodology... getagrip_already Nov 2016 #7
LOL. A poll conducted in Southern California that has very few minorities, especially Latinos. 4lbs Nov 2016 #8

MidwestTransplant

(8,015 posts)
2. If I'm not mistaken they poll the same group of voters
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:16 PM
Nov 2016

for every poll. This can obviously be good or bad. But if you end up with a group that sways one way from inception it throws it off.

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)
3. Yes. It's not s true poll. It's a survey of
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:18 PM
Nov 2016

the SAME voters each time to gauge their preference.

Nobody takes it seriously.

mondonhill

(18 posts)
4. polling driving me nuts
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:27 PM
Nov 2016

You have to take the outliers out of the equation for a true number on both sides. If you notice LA times has been reporting basically the same number every single time going back months. On the other side we have to disregard ABC's 12 pt. poll.Both effect the RCP average. I think its 2-3 points nationally,but at this point states are all that matters.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
5. LAT has been consistently more favorable to Trump throghout the race
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:42 PM
Nov 2016

So next week we will learn of they are idiots or geniuses.

Cryptoad

(8,254 posts)
9. yep,,,,,,, GAllup this time 4 years ago
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 02:07 PM
Nov 2016

Had Romney up 8 pts and surging,,,,,, they lost so much face u hardly every see a gallup poll any more......

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
10. Gallup isn't doing horserace surveying this cycle
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:28 PM
Nov 2016

They say that it is to focus on market research (which is their bread and butter). However, I think they wanted to step back, observe, and dissect this cycle to see what they've been doing wrong for the past three cycles and fix it for the future.

getagrip_already

(14,760 posts)
7. i think rachel m had something about their methodology...
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:51 PM
Nov 2016

apparently they don't have a lot of minorities or hispanics in their pool, so they give added weight to the ones they have. That gave one guy an incredible percent of their trump number. He would basically swing the number 2% if he was in the pool that week.

It sounded unreal they do that.

4lbs

(6,858 posts)
8. LOL. A poll conducted in Southern California that has very few minorities, especially Latinos.
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 02:06 PM
Nov 2016

It's like if the Chicago Tribune was to conduct a poll and have very few Blacks or Latinos (who combined, make up almost 60% of the Chicago population).

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