2018 US Senate Election Rating
AL (Solid Republican) If Strange-R were to be defeated, it will be in the Republican primary.
AZ (Lean Democratic) Flake-R loses in the Republican primary to Ward-R. Ward-R loses in the general to Sinema-D+1D
CA (Solid Democratic)If Feinstein-D were to be defeated it will be by another Democrat that finishes in 2nd place in the open primary.Feinstein-D loses in November election to the Democrat that finished in 2nd place in the open primary.
CT (Solid Democratic)Murphy-D is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
DE (Solid Democratic)Carper-D is a likely retiree. If that were to happen look for Markell-D to replace him.
FL (Lean Democratic)Nelson-D faces Scott-R.
HI (Solid Democratic)Hirono-D is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
IN (Lean Democratic)A divisive Republican primary will help Donnelly-D in the general.
ME (Lean Independent)King-I will have an easier time defeating LePage-R if Democrats don't field their own candidate and endorse King-I in the general.
MD (Solid Democratic)Cardin-D is a likely retiree. If that were to happen look for Sarbanes-D to replace him.
MA (Solid Democratic)Warren-D should face Tom Brady-R in the general.
MI (Solid Democratic)Stabenow-D is strongly favored to win in the primary and general. The only way the race becomes competitive is if Snyder-R runs.
MN (Solid Democratic)Klobuchar-D is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
MS (Solid Republican)If Wicker-R were to be defeated, it will be in the Republican primary.
MO (Lean Democratic)A divisive Republican primary will help McCaskill-D in the general.
MT (Lean Democratic)Tester-D will avoid a top tier Republican opponent ie Racicot-R or Rehberg-R
NE(Solid Republican)Fischer-R is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
NV (Tossup)Heller-R loses if Democrats nominate a top tier candidate and Trump's approval rating drops below 35 percent. +2D
NJ (Solid Democratic)Menendez-D is likely to resign early 2018. Democrats will hold onto this seat.
NM (Likely Democratic)If Heinrich-D faces Martinez-R,Lean Democratic,If Heinrich-D faces Pearce-R,Solid Democratic.
NY (Solid Democratic)Gillibrand-D is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
ND (Tossup)Cramer-R is the only Republican candidate that could defeat Heitkamp-D.
OH (Lean Democratic)Brown-D faces Mandel-R
PA (Solid Democratic)Casey-D is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
RI (Solid Democratic)Whitehouse-D is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
TN (Solid Republican)If Corker-R were to be defeated, it will be in the Republican primary.
TX (Lean Republican) If Cruz-R faces O'Rourke-D in the general. Lean Democratic, If Cruz-R loses in the primary to Gohmert-R.
UT (Likely Republican)Hatch-R loses in the primary, whoever is the Republican nominee faces McMullin-I and Matheson-D in the general. Matheson has a stronger chance of winning in the general if Chaffetz-R is the Republican nominee.
VT (Solid Independent)Sanders-I is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
VA (Likely Democratic)Kaine-D faces Gillespie-R who is likely to lose in the 2017 VA Governors Race. If Gillespie-R wins the 2017 VA Governors Race, Fiorina-R or Ingraham-R will be the Republican nominee.
WA (Solid Democratic)Cantwell-D is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
WV (Lean Democratic)If Manchin-D is the Democratic nominee, Lean Republican if Goodwin-D is the Democratic nominee.
WI (Likely Democratic)A divisive Republican primary will help Baldwin-D in the general.
WY (Solid Republican)Barrasso-R is strongly favored to win in the primary and general.
If Heitkamp-ND loses in the general and Manchin-WV loses in the primary, The general election victories of Mark Kelly or Kyrsten Sinema-AZ, Kate Marshall or Ross Miller-NV, Beto O'Rourke or Joaquin Castro-TX, Jim Matheson-UT, and Bedford-AL will be needed for Democrats to regain control of the US Senate.