"Gold standard" poll shows plurality of Catholics voted for Hillary -- though it was close.

[pnwmom]

Exit polls indicated a slight edge for DT, but those polls are less likely to be accurate, because of their methodology.

https://www.ncronline.org/blogs/faith-and-justice/pollsters-confused-about-catholic-voters

Now another poll, the American National Election Study (ANES), as tweeted by Mark Gray, has concluded that a plurality of Catholics voted for Clinton (48 percent to 45 percent). The ANES showed 74 percent of Hispanic Catholics voting for Clinton and only 19 percent voting for Trump. But 56 percent of white Catholics voted for Trump and 37 percent for Clinton.

In other words, in comparison with the exit poll, ANES shows fewer white Catholics voting for Trump and more Hispanics voting for Clinton. Latino Decisions, a polling firm that focuses on the U.S. Latino population, agrees that the exit poll underestimated the percent of Latinos voting for Clinton.

Most journalists don't care about the ANES results because they are released months after the election when the media has moved on. In addition, some of the media have a vested interest in the exit poll's credibility since they paid for it. But for academics, ANES is considered the gold standard of survey research. Academics complain that the media exit polls use people with little training or experience in conducting surveys.

After reviewing the exit polls, Gray told me a couple of weeks after the election that he was going to wait to see the results from ANES before deciding where the Catholic vote went. After looking at the ANES numbers, he is not sure we will ever know whether Catholics went for Trump or Clinton — it is just too close to call.

[mcar]

1. That's actually better than I thought it would be

Says the lapsed Catholic. Once it became the religion of all antiabortion all the time, those remaining favored the right. As do the Cardinals and bishops.