2018 OH US Senate Election- The reasons why Brown-D could lose re-election in 2018.

[nkpolitics1212]

Previous OH US Senators like DeWine-R and Voinovich-R have lost re-election or retired after two terms in office. The previous OH US Senators that served more than two terms are Glenn-D (4 terms) and Metzenbaum-D (3 terms).
Brown-D is not popular the way Glenn-D and Metzenbaum-D were when they were in office. Brown's margin of victory in 2012 was narrower than his 2006 margin of victory.
Brown-D could also win re-election due to the fact voters don't want to give President Trump a blank check.

[nkpolitics1212]

3. Here are the facts.

Go on wikipedia.com, type in Ohio US Senators, click on list of United States Senators from Ohio link.
You will see that since 1920 OH US Senators
Simon Fess-R (1923-1935)
John Bricker-R (1947-1959)
Frank Lausche-D (1957-1969)
Mike DeWine-R (1995-2007)
have lost re-election after 12 years in office.
3 OH US Senators have served more than 2 terms.
Robert Taft Sr.-R 1939-1953- died in office during his 3rd term.
John Glenn-D 1975-1999- retired after 4 terms.
Howard Metzenbaum-D 1977-1995- retired after 3 terms.
Sherrod Brown won his first US Senate Race in 2006 by a 12 percent margin over Republican incumbent Mike Dewine and won re-election in 2012 by a 6 percent margin over Josh Mandel. Ohio is more Republican than it was in 2006/2012.
Sherrod Brown could win re-election because he is seen as a fighter of the working class and a check on the Trump Administration.

[factfinder_77]

4. Voter statistics from previous elections 12 years ago ++ has no relevance for your topic

"The reasons"

Your post lack arguments.

[hlthe2b]

2. The sun could rise in the morning, or then again, it has arisen so often for so long, maybe it won't

That comment makes about as much sense as your unsupported conjecture.

[Dawson Leery]

5. If Trump is under 40%.

Democrats are going to have massive wins in 2018.

[nkpolitics1212]

6. Do you think Democratic US Senators from states Trump won by a margin greater than 5 percent will

win re-election by a massive margin?
Donnelly-IN?
McCaskill-MO?
Tester-MT?
Heitkamp-ND?
Brown-OH?
Manchin-WV?
Donnelly-IN,McCaskill-MO,and Heitkamp-ND are vulnerable to defeat if the Republicans don't repeat the same mistake they made in 2012.
Tester-MT,Brown-OH, and Manchin-WV are going to win re-election by a single digit margin.
Democratic US Senators from states Trump won by a margin less than 5 percent will win re-election by a double digit margin.
Nelson-FL
Stabenow-MI
Casey-PA
Baldwin-WI.

[lovemydogs]

7. Back when Metz and Glenn were senators, things were very different.

The country was not divided and you had sanity on the right and worked to get things done with democrats. Both parties governed for the country and its people.
Brown is not going to be mega popular in Ohio. It is very divided with alot of rightwingers in the state.

[nkpolitics1212]

10. You are supporting my argument that Brown could lose re-election in 2018.

If Democratic voter turnout in 2018 is like it was 2006, Brown-D wins re-election. If Democratic voter turnout in 2018 is like it was in 2002,2010,or 2014, Brown-D could lose re-election.

[OilemFirchen]

8. Your premise is silly.

Here's a more useful historic observation: When was the last time Ohio had two Republican senators?

[nkpolitics1212]

9. 1999-2007

Mike DeWine-1995-2007 and George Voinovich-1999-2011.
DeWine lost re-election in 2006 to Brown, Voinovich retired in 2010 and was replaced by Portman.

[OilemFirchen]

11. Right. A decade ago.

And who was Governor?

We Ohioans, for whatever reason, like to mix and match.

[nkpolitics1212]

12. Robert Taft the 3rd.

Who do you think is going to win the 2018 OH Governors Race?
A Republican(DeWine,Husted,Renacci,or Taylor) or A Democrat (Brunner,Cordray,or Sutton)?

[OilemFirchen]

13. Mea Culpa. I was thinking that Strickland was in office during that period.

I suspect that Ohio will elect a Republican governor in '18 and return Brown to the Senate.

[dsc]

14. Metzenbaum was very polorizing

He actually lost to Glenn in a primary and won a close race in 76. He did improve in 82 and 88 but he was not as universally popular as Glenn he was more like a liberal of Jesse Helms. I think Brown is in his mold, in that he is polarizing but canny and likely to win.