2020 US Senate Election-Republican held US Senate seats from Most Vulnerable to Least Vulnerable.

[nkpolitics1212]

1)CO (Gardner-R) has a 24 percent approval rating post Trumpcare vote. Plenty of top tier Democratic candidates that could challenge Gardner-Hickenlooper,Perlmutter,Johnston,Kennedy,Garcia,Lynne,or Hancock. Lean Democratic
2)NC (Tillis-R) The other NC Republican US Senator Burr-R won re-election in 2016 by a 6 percent margin. Tillis-R is less popular than Burr-R and Democrats could win NC at the Presidential level in 2020 helping the Democratic US Senate nominee. Tossup Democratic
3)AZ Special -Republicans will nominate a Tea Partier and Democrats could win AZ at the Presidential level in 2020 helping the Democratic US Senate nominee. Tossup Democratic
4)ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee. Tossup Democratic
4)MT (Daines-R)if Bullock-D runs. Tossup Republican
4)GA (Perdue-R)Lean Republican
5)IA (Ernst-R)Lean Republican
6)TX (Cornyn-R)Lean Republican
7)KY (McConnell-R)Likely Republican
8)AK (Sullivan-R)Solid Republican
9)LA (Cassidy-R)Solid Republican
10)MS -Cochran-R or Bryant-R. Solid Republican
11)SC (Graham-R)Solid Republican
12)MT (Daines-R)if Bullock-D does not run. Solid Republican
13)TN-Alexander-R or Halsam-R. Solid Republican
14)WV-Capito-R. Solid Republican
15)ME-if Collins-R is the Republican nominee. Solid Republican
16)AR-Cotton-R. Solid Republican
17)AL-Strange-R,Moore-R,or Brooks-R. Solid Republican
18)KS-Roberts-R or Jenkins-R. Solid Republican
19)NE-Sasse-R. Solid Republican
20)SD-Rounds-R Solid Republican
21)OK-Inhofe-R or Fallin-R. Solid Republican
22)ID-Risch-R or Little-R. Solid Republican
23)WY-Enzi-R,Lummis-R,or Cheney-R. Solid Republican

[guillaumeb]

1. I see a lot of GOP seats that appear as if they will remain GOP seats.

And only 4 possibilities for Democrats.

[DK504]

2. If the DNC decides to help states and bring great democrats

into the Senatorial races. There are a few that could switch the Senate in our favor. I won't hold my breath.

[MuseRider]

3. KS

Jenkins is not running again. Nancy Boyda (D) held that seat recently because of the 50 state strategy. If we do that again it is not a solid R seat.

[nkpolitics1212]

4. I know that Jenkins is not seeking re-election to the US House-KS2CD. But what are the chances that

Jenkins runs for the US Senate in 2020 if Roberts decides to retire? Democrats could run Paul Davis-who is running in KS2CD (Jenkins' seat) or James Thompson -who ran in KS4CD in 2017 special, recieved 46 percent of the popular vote.

[LostOne4Ever]

5. Cornyn has a 99.9% chance of winning. He isn't vulnerable at all. Nt

[nkpolitics1212]

6. What is one of the Castro twins decides to challenge him?

[LostOne4Ever]

7. That one would do as well as Wendy Davis did running for Governor. Nt

[nkpolitics1212]

8. What if we wait until 2018 TX US Senate Race to see how O'Rourke does against Cruz?

Trump-R won TX in 2016 by a 9 percent margin. Romney-R won TX in 2012 by a 16 percent margin. TX is becoming less Republican.
Cornyn-R will win re-election but margin of victory will be in the high single digits to low double digits.

[LostOne4Ever]

9. Trumps weakness in Texas does not equate to a weakness of The rethug party here

Donald Trump is a New Yorker who insulted hispanics, the Bush family, and had a huge feud with Ted Cruz during the Primary. The fact that Trump won by 9 points (which is still a large margin)despite insulting these Texas establishments testifies to how strong the Republican Party is here.

I fell for all this Texas is turning Purple hype before, despite almost everyone around me here in West Texas being far RWingers. I honestly thought Davis might put up a good showing. She ended up have one of the worst defeats in the History of the state and my representative went from a conservative dem to a winger Republican (Hurd).

Texas was a far RW state when we entered the union, it was still a far right wing state 100years later, and it will be a far RW state a 100 years from now. The state may become more ethnically diverse, but not politically diverse.

Cruz will win by a huge margin in 2018, and Cornyn will win by a huge margin in 2020.

Texas is dead Red.

EDIT: Historically Dems do bad on non-presidential election years. Cruz will almost certainly crush his opponent.