Irma - latest (GFS) Us and European model tracks - neither good

[jpak]

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2017/09/03/hurricane-irmas-path-toward-u-s-still-uncertain/629772001/

Link to tweet

/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.usatoday.com%2Fstory%2Fnews%2F2017%2F09%2F03%2Fhurricane-irmas-path-toward-u-s-still-uncertain%2F629772001%2F

[lapfog_1]

1. to coin a phrase

"The sum of all fears" is a Cat 4 or Cat 5 doing a direct hit on Miami.

In this century... New Orleans, New York, Houston... and Miami???

[NCjack]

6. Sum of all fears: The tract "Most Recent" is aimed at my house. nt

[mnhtnbb]

2. That is practically right over our heads in central NC after landfall around Wilmington, NC

about 160 miles.

I don't like it one bit.

[Sancho]

3. Following Irma is another one...heading South of Irma right now....

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php

It is going to be a wild September.

[jpak]

4. Jose

yup

[femmedem]

5. Since then, the European model shows it tracking further west. You can see the change here:

Link to tweet

[jpak]

8. Really not good for S. FL

Comes ashore near Miami and hooks straight north up the peninsula...

[femmedem]

9. I'm watching it so closely because I have elderly family in southern Florida.

I suggested they fly up to see me if it looks bad in a few days, but even flying rather than driving is too difficult for them, they said. I don't think they will ever evacuate again although they always did when they were younger.