General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThat 6-or-7 year run - longest ever run of consecutive positive payroll growth - LOOKS TO BE OVER.
That six-or-seven year run the longest ever run of consecutive positive payroll growth looks to be over.
The U.S. economy lost 33,000 jobs in September even as the unemployment rate fell to 4.2 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.
It was the first time since September 2010 that the closely watched number was negative.
Even with the surprise jobs number, the closely watched hourly wages figure jumped higher, to an annualized rate of 2.9 percent.
Economists surveyed by Reuters expected payroll growth of 90,000 in September, compared to the initially reported 156,000 in August. The unemployment rate was expected to hold steady at 4.4 percent.
MORE:
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/06/us-lost-33000-jobs-in-sept-vs-90000-jobs-increase-expected.html
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)Hurricane effects were in the estimates of 75-90K supposed to be added. We missed the hurricane adjusted estimates my over 100K jobs. Hopefully it's just a blip, but the GOP's policies are proven job killers so this will happen sooner or later.
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)From "estimated".
Thee guys most often use an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model to estimate these trends. They are notoriously bad at estimating instantaneous effects. I guarantee you a large chunk of the decline, if not the bulk of it, will ultimately be assigned to the hurricane after the model variances becomes clear.
Blue_Adept
(6,399 posts)Not Ruth
(3,613 posts)MyOwnPeace
(16,927 posts)THANKS, OBAMA!!!!!
mcar
(42,334 posts)is fake news, until the numbers are good. Then it's real.
MontanaMama
(23,322 posts)again for years to come...and maybe never depending on how much damage Team Dotard does between now and...
IronLionZion
(45,452 posts)sounds like the liberal deep state trying to undermine the people's elected president because they hate America.
They claimed all of Obama's positive jobs reports were fake until Trump took office then they magically became real.
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)Now come the ingenious accusations against Barack for letting his recovery go to sh#t
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)being felt....
Historic NY
(37,451 posts)interesting.
Lurker Deluxe
(1,036 posts)Every business at the corner of Veterans and Cypresswood is still closed from damage from Harvey ... including the restaurants.
rockfordfile
(8,704 posts)SCantiGOP
(13,871 posts)This is a result of the hurricanes. It is a one month aberration and has nothing to do with Trump or the economy.
Other sites love to come to DU and pick up posts like these to show us all in a bad light. We dont need to help them.
NRaleighLiberal
(60,015 posts)Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)always a precursor.
sagesnow
(2,824 posts)il_lilac
(895 posts)"The lousy returns from the September jobs report will make little impression on observers, who essentially gave the labor market a free pass due to the impact of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma," said Curt Long, chief economist at the National Association of Federally Insured Credit Unions.
D_Master81
(1,822 posts)lets hold off on this until its a trend. with the hurricanes it might be a blip or the beginning of a trend. but until its a trend, i dont think it matters that much.
So he's not boasting about job numbers today