Latest on TS Nate - Hurricane Warning for Metro New Orleans

[malaise]

The good news is that Nate is moving very fast. Pay attention folks in NW Cuba and from Louisiana to Florida. Lots of water with this system.

Latest update from NOAA
400 PM CDT Fri Oct 06 2017

...NATE STRENGTHENS AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE NORTHEASTERN TIP
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 85.7W
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM E OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 645 MI...1035 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for metropolitan New Orleans
and Lake Pontchartrain.

A Storm Surge Warning is now in effect east of the Alabama/Florida
border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line.

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect east of the
Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Morgan City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida
* Northern and western shores of Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Pinar del Rio
* Lake Maurepas
* West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana
* East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Line.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Lake Maurepas
* East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Line
* West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* East of the the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East of the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida
* West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana
* Isle of Youth




http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL162017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/152602_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-warnings-us-gulf-coast-ahead-strengthening-nate

[panader0]

1. Damn, those people must be tired of this.

Did you get a bit of weather from Nate?

[malaise]

3. Yep like three days of rain - heavy, moderate and just showers

air is clean and it's cool now - some flooding - nothing too serious and roads mashed up but given 2017's hurricane season, we'll take that.

If we get much more rain, there will be landslides. ll things considered, it's a lovely Friday evening in Kingston.

[misanthrope]

2. Might not be so bad for NOLA

Nate has had poor organization on its western side and I haven't seen any projections for that to change. Models take it ashore east of NOLA, likely on coastal Mississippi.

[malaise]

4. Many experts agree with you

The only worry is the rain and sea surge given NOLA's problems

[Sgent]

5. NOLA will be ok

we bring in our outside furniture, buy a few cases of water and canned food edible without being heated, and a LOT of hard liquor (beer sucks hot).

This is a TS or Cat 1, very fast moving, and high pressure. Outlying areas will get storm surge, wind will knock down trees and kill the power. We'll hang out on our porch, grill the remnants of our freezer before it goes bad, and drink until we forget how hot it is.

[malaise]

6. Love your post

Fast moving is great

[misanthrope]

7. That is changing as I type

Nate skipped the Yucatan, stayed to the strait where it continued to draw strength from the water and has just reached hurricane status ahead of schedule. It's now projected to be a high Cat 1 upon landfall with an outside shot at Cat 2.

Beneficial to NOLA, the projected path continues to move eastward with landfall expected near the Mississippi/Alabama state line on Saturday night to Sunday morning. That means Mobile County and the Mobile Bay area will catch the worst parts of the storm, possibly including tornadoes.

[Sgent]

8. Yea I've been keeping a wary eye on it.

That said, I'm still not too worried, even at a low 2 its fast moving so won't last very long and should have comparatively low damage. We may have a more extended power outage than I would like though.

Storm surge isn't an issue for NOLA itself in a 2, although it could do more damage to some outlying areas.

[misanthrope]

9. The loss of power is primary on this end

I have emphysema and Mobile is one of the most oppressively humid places in the nation. Without air conditioning to dry the air inside the house or an oxygen concentrator, then life is difficult for me. That means in the powerless days after a hurricane, when the humidity skyrockets then I am in utter misery.

If we sustain structural damage I will be absolutely useless to do anything about it.

[Sgent]

10. Could you leave now and go North?

I use a CPAP device and its miserable for me when I can't use it, but I have a battery for one night. I can't imagine how it is with you

[misanthrope]

11. My wife won't leave

Nor will her mother.