Jamaica, Cayman, Cuba, Bahamas, Florida and East Coast USA

[malaise]

Plenty rain is coming

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Oct 27 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea are beginning
to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is likely to form later today or
Saturday as the system moves northward over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea before turning northeastward by late Saturday.
Tropical storm watches and warnings may be needed for the Cayman
Islands, central and western Cuba, and the central and northwestern
Bahamas later today or tonight. Interests in the Florida Keys and
South Florida should also monitor the progress of this disturbance.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is en route to
investigate this system.

Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce
locally heavy rainfall over the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, and
portions of Cuba during the next day or two. Rainfall is also
forecast to spread northward across portions of South Florida and
the Keys on Saturday, and over the northwestern and central Bahamas
Saturday night and Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Brown/Brennan

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/new-england-may-get-record-setting-october-storm-help-93l


The experts say this will be a TD later today

[monmouth4]

1. Thank you malaise, always good info from you..nt

[malaise]

4. And this weekend is the Sandy anniversary

This path reminds me of Sandy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Sandy

[monmouth4]

5. The area I lived in New Jersey got hit very, very hard by Sandy..n/t

[malaise]

6. That won't happen this weekend

[monmouth4]

7. Thank goodness..n/t

[panader0]

2. Are you drying out? How much rain did you get?

Very dry here---ugh.

[malaise]

3. Yep we have had sunshine from about 11.00am

but we're expecting more rain later this evening and tomorrow. It's very pleasant now.

Haven't heard of any major damage anywhere but if we get much more rain, there will be landslides.

[malaise]

8. Now TD#18

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL182017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/235418_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 84.5W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SSW OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SSW OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Isla de la Juventud, La Habana, Ciudad de la Habana, Matanzas,
Cienfuegos, and Villa Clara
* Northwestern Bahamas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Central Bahamas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours.

Interests in the Cayman Islands, South Florida, and the Florida
Keys should monitor the progress of this system.