NJ-GOV: Murphy Leads Guadagno by 16 Points
Boston, MA – The new Emerson College poll in New Jersey finds the Democratic gubernatorial candidate Phil Murphy leading the Republican candidate, Lieutenant Governor Kim Guadagno, by 16 points – 47% to 31%. This margin represents an improvement for Murphy, who led Guadagno by a smaller 11-point margin in the last Emerson College poll of the state on October 2. The poll consisted of a mixed mode online and IVR sample and has a margin of error of +/- 4.2%.
Murphy’s favorability rating – 36% favorable/30% unfavorable – is stronger than Guadagno’s – 27%/42% - though both are maintaining high “neutral/no opinion” numbers – 32% and 26%, respectively – indicating that, with less than two weeks until the election, many voters still need more information about the gubernatorial candidates.
One potential benefit for Murphy is the consistently sinking popularity of current New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (19% favorable/ 73% unfavorable) and an unpopular President. The poll finds Trump with an approval rating of 36% in New Jersey, down 3 points from 39% in our last poll earlier this month.
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