VA-GOV: Hints About Latino Turnout

[RandySF]

Link to tweet

[RandySF]

1. Kick for visibility

[NastyRiffraff]

2. Looks good but

it's gonna be WAY too close. I live in a neighboring Maryland county, and talking to people in NoVA it's all Northam. NoVa is very liberal, but the southern VA counties tend to be rural and conservative. Right now it's a virtual tie: 43% Northam to 40% Gillespie. More context in the race:

White voters without a college degree backed Mr. Gillespie by a 40-point margin in the poll, 63 percent to 23 percent, while nonwhite voters backed Mr. Northam by a similar margin, 65 to 17. Mr. Northam holds roughly a 10-point lead among college-educated white voters, enough to give him the edge statewide.

But neither Mr. Northam nor Mr. Gillespie appears to be matching Donald J. Trump or Hillary Clinton’s huge margins among their strongest demographic groups.
New York Times