CNN African American turnout in Alabama would have to be Obama turnout-like

[applegrove]

for Jones to win. So it is technically possible. Black activists wish Jones would speak out more about his civil rights convictions and against Moore's racism. Wish them well.

[msongs]

1. hey they like moore's values, they will stay home or even vote for him. same choice as

every voter

[Iliyah]

2. Seems like they are

forgetting the "youth" vote. Lets see some stats on that. Just spoke with a friend in Mobile, and he said that AAs are very charged there. Fingers crossed.

[oasis]

3. There is good reason to be optimistic about Jones' chances.

The CNN segment was an eye opener for me.

[Hortensis]

16. Hope you're right. Alabama's PoC are majority conservative,

of course, but if only they came out and killed off what today's Alabama GOP has become for their own sake, then took a huge role in rebuilding a new conservative party that served them. Instead of too many potentially gagging at the thought of voting Democrat again and just staying home...

[oasis]

19. That's true, but many of them have to resent the GOP for becoming

the party that has made efforts to stop them from voting.

[Orangeutan]

4. One question: Does 'Bama have paper ballots?

[JI7]

5. Obama lost the state

[applegrove]

6. POP!

[ClarendonDem]

8. By a lot

Hopefully turnout will propel Jones to a win, but I can't really see a path to victory. I expect Jones to be competitive, and lose by 3-5%, but not to win. Hard to believe folks would overlook purported crimes to support their favored candidate, but certainly happened with Trump.

[AJT]

7. There are a lot of very religiously conservative african american voters

in the deep south that vote GOP based on the abortion issue.

[Calculating]

9. Pretty much

Even a sleazy chaser of teen girls is better than a damn satanic abortion supporter in their opinion. Being pro choice is basically an auto loss in deeply religious areas.

[David__77]

17. Really? Is this perhaps 8% of black voters?

I don't think even 15% of black voters in the deep south routinely vote Republican.

[Hortensis]

18. There is one very common third option for people

whose ideologies and needs cause them to turn away from both main parties.

[David__77]

21. I do get that many don't vote.

I think that many anti-abortion religious black people would vote Democrats - I don't think many would vote for Republicans.

[EffieBlack]

10. Yup - AA voters have to turn out in record numbers in order to save white folks from themselves

For some reason, it always seems to fall on us to take up the slack when white folks decide to vote for sexual assaulters, pedophiles, racists, etc.

[applegrove]

13. If more democrats voted regularly democrats would would win. There are

more of us thsn there are republucans. Maybe not in alabama. Or southern states but in the country as a whole. It is necessary for us to get everyone out to vote. You are right about that.

[EffieBlack]

15. Exactly!

EVERYONE needs to get out and vote - but for some reason, black voters are always expected to be the margin.

[GaryCnf]

14. Yep n/t

[trof]

11. Won't happen

I wish, but I'll be surprised.
They cared about Obama.
They don't care about Jones.
And no, I can't explain it.

[GaryCnf]

12. First off

It is the CAMPAIGN'S job to inspire voters.

That being said, I was just in Montgomery and I think we are going to turn out in a big way. I wish Jones had done more instead of spending so much time repeating our failed values campaign from last year but Jones came into it with tons of good will and Moore's racism is near legend. Moore is really hated.

[Docreed2003]

20. I would encourage everyone here to read Joy Rieds article on this very issue

If Jones loses, it won’t be because of the AA vote in Alabama, it will be because of conservative white voters...the same white voters that only voted for Obama 11% in 08 and 10% in 12...AA’s only make up about 25% of the voting populace in AL.

Now, if you want to talk about Jones not adequately reaching out to the AA community that’s a different story. Yes, he should be heralded for his prosecution of those Klansmen, but he has done little to make himself known to the AA community in the form of what he will do to fight for them now. He also turned off a big segment of that community with his stupid “Confederate apologist” ad he ran on Facebook.

[Awsi Dooger]

22. Not sure why anyone is hopeful about Alabama

Drive through those southern states and stop at one roadside coffee shop and you'll never care about any polls. The faces and conversation tell you all you need to know. Likewise the radio channels, which are a choice between religious programming or ultra right wing talk radio.

We might have a chance if this were a governor's race but in federal elections the ideological bias is too overbearing.