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sweetloukillbot

(11,029 posts) Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:26 PM Dec 2017

8

NYT prediction is bouncing between even and a slight Jones lead

Fingers crossed...

20 replies

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NYT prediction is bouncing between even and a slight Jones lead (Original Post) sweetloukillbot Dec 2017 OP

There's a lot blue on the map gay texan Dec 2017 #1

Link? Drunken Irishman Dec 2017 #2

Here Kaleva Dec 2017 #3

Very bottom of the page is the predictions sweetloukillbot Dec 2017 #4

Thank you. That's pretty significant as it's proven pretty accurate in the past. Drunken Irishman Dec 2017 #6

Jones up to 52% probability of winning. honest.abe Dec 2017 #5

53 Roland99 Dec 2017 #8

54% Drunken Irishman Dec 2017 #9

Back down to 53% but I'll take 50.1% odds if it means we win. Drunken Irishman Dec 2017 #12

And... down to 51 sweetloukillbot Dec 2017 #15

52 Moore Roland99 Dec 2017 #20

And Moore just picked up a lot of ground at the same time that Jones' odds increased. sweetloukillbot Dec 2017 #10

Me too. honest.abe Dec 2017 #13

Moore gaining ground in latest reporting. Still way too soon to see overall trend Roland99 Dec 2017 #7

He'll gain ground because it's unlikely Jones is winning this by 15+... Drunken Irishman Dec 2017 #11

Back to toss-up. Basically, the NYT website knows about as much as you and I. Drunken Irishman Dec 2017 #14

Now +.2 for Moore woolldog Dec 2017 #16

It's gonna bounce back and forth late into the night, I suspect. We won't know for sure until then. Akoto Dec 2017 #17

Moores ahead by 8. This early, that's a blowout. briv1016 Dec 2017 #18

Relax! no way they will elect a pedophile. Joe941 Dec 2017 #19

gay texan

(2,453 posts)

1. There's a lot blue on the map

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:36 PM

Dec 2017

Way more than I thought I would be. Very very pleased!

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

2. Link?

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:36 PM

Dec 2017

Kaleva

(36,312 posts)

3. Here

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #2)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:37 PM

Dec 2017

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

sweetloukillbot

(11,029 posts)

4. Very bottom of the page is the predictions

Reply to Kaleva (Reply #3)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:39 PM

Dec 2017

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones#eln-forecast-section

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

6. Thank you. That's pretty significant as it's proven pretty accurate in the past.

Reply to Kaleva (Reply #3)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:41 PM

Dec 2017

honest.abe

(8,678 posts)

5. Jones up to 52% probability of winning.

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:40 PM

Dec 2017

Getting interesting.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

8. 53

Reply to honest.abe (Reply #5)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:44 PM

Dec 2017

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

9. 54%

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #8)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:44 PM

Dec 2017

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

12. Back down to 53% but I'll take 50.1% odds if it means we win.

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #9)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:46 PM

Dec 2017

sweetloukillbot

(11,029 posts)

15. And... down to 51

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #12)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:51 PM

Dec 2017

ARGH!!!!!

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

20. 52 Moore

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Reply #15)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:54 PM

Dec 2017

sweetloukillbot

(11,029 posts)

10. And Moore just picked up a lot of ground at the same time that Jones' odds increased.

Reply to honest.abe (Reply #5)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:44 PM

Dec 2017

Starting to feel optimistic....

honest.abe

(8,678 posts)

13. Me too.

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Reply #10)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:48 PM

Dec 2017

Cautiously optimistic.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

7. Moore gaining ground in latest reporting. Still way too soon to see overall trend

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:41 PM

Dec 2017

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

11. He'll gain ground because it's unlikely Jones is winning this by 15+...

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #7)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:44 PM

Dec 2017

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

14. Back to toss-up. Basically, the NYT website knows about as much as you and I.

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:50 PM

Dec 2017

woolldog

(8,791 posts)

16. Now +.2 for Moore

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:52 PM

Dec 2017

crap

Akoto

(4,266 posts)

17. It's gonna bounce back and forth late into the night, I suspect. We won't know for sure until then.

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:53 PM

Dec 2017

Different regions bring in their results at different times, and of course, some regions favor one candidate or party more than others. It's gonna be late night before we know and I think it will be a close one.

briv1016

(1,570 posts)

18. Moores ahead by 8. This early, that's a blowout.

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:54 PM

Dec 2017

Joe941

(2,848 posts)

19. Relax! no way they will elect a pedophile.

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:54 PM

Dec 2017

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