Fox News Poll: Trump, Sanders lead respective primaries in New Hampshire

[Attorney in Texas]

Source: Fox News

Bernie Sanders.....45%
Hillary Clinton......44%
Martin O’Malley......5%



Donald Trump.......27%
Marco Rubio.........13%
Ted Cruz..............11%
Jeb Bush...............9%
Ben Carson...........9%
John Kasich...........7%
Chris Christie.........6%
Carly Fiorina..........3%
Rand Paul..............3%
Lindsey Graham......1%
Mike Huckabee.......1%
Rick Santorum........1%

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/11/18/fox-news-poll-trump-sanders-lead-respective-primaries-in-new-hampshire/

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For those who would prefer The Hill's report on the same polling conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (a Democratic pollster) and Shaw & Company Research (a Republican pollster), here's a link:

Sanders ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire poll


Also, this polling is reported by, and included within aggregate polling of, Huffington Post's pollster as well as Real Clear Politics so you can go there to get your polling if you prefer.

[leftofcool]

1. LOL Fox News.

[liberal N proud]

2. Since when did FOX News qualify as a valid source of substance on DU?

I guess if FOX says it it is right.

[ThePhilosopher04]

3. True. Bernie's lead is bigger.

[liberal N proud]

4. So this thread is all humor

[Attorney in Texas]

5. It's a Fox News poll. Presumably, Fox News is where you would turn for a Fox News poll you can get

this poll off of Real Clear Politics or Huffington Post's Pollster if you'd rather. I went to the source.

[liberal N proud]

6. It's FOX

Nothing FOX says, writes or posts can be trusted as truth.

If this is considered as a valid source on DU it would be an indicator to a possible reason there has been so much vitriol o this site in the last several months.

[Attorney in Texas]

12. Fox commissions the poll. It is done by Anderson Robbins Research (a Democratic pollster) with Shaw

& Company Research (a Republican pollster). They get an above average rating for accuracy and reliability from 538.

[liberal N proud]

14. Find another source

Stop defending FOX

[Attorney in Texas]

15. Do you know how polling works? The sponsor of the poll does not conduct the poll. When CBS sponsors

a poll, Opinion Research Corp. does the poll.

This is a Democratic pollster and a Republican pollster with good accuracy ratings. This is not reporting or editorializing.

This is reported by, and included within aggregate polling by Huffington Post's pollster as well as Real Clear Politics.

[liberal N proud]

17. I don't care, we don't source FOX.

[Attorney in Texas]

20. Except for when reporting Fox News polling as shown here, here, here, etc:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141215333

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141179448

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141149218

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141166209

[liberal N proud]

21. I would have made the same protest had I seen them.

The fact that the stand demonstrates how diluted the membership here has become.

Find a reputable source for your information and I would recommend avoiding FOX because of their propensity for propaganda.

[Attorney in Texas]

23. I gave you the Huffington Post Pollster link. Use that if you prefer. Here is a link to The Hill

reporting on the same poll:

Sanders ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire poll

[liberal N proud]

22. Looking at those threads, only one didn't get called out for sourcing from FOX.

[Attorney in Texas]

26. The Hill reports on the same poll, but the source above is just the Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw &

Company Research poll with no editorial comment whatsoever.

Use The Hill link if you prefer.

[liberal N proud]

27. But you chose to cite and lino to FOX.

[Attorney in Texas]

30. This is breaking news, no? The link above was breaking news and The Hill reported the story AFTER

the OP was started.

I neither watch nor trust Fox News. However, if you want breaking news of a Fox News sponsored poll (conducted with a Democratic pollster -- and it is live phone poll and not a questionable internet poll or automated phone poll) in a battleground/first primary state, that news is going to break on Fox.

[Sunlei]

40. fox an arm of the republican party. In foxes round about way- they are 'always' anti-Clinton 100%

count on that.

[LiberalArkie]

8. It is a FoxNoiz poll and they like OUR candidates better than THEIRS.. That is fantastic.

[DFW]

7. If Fox Noise reported that I had inherited a million dollars tax free

I would assume that my house had been repossessed.

Using Fox as a source for anything is like using a fracking company's report on how safe drinking water is where they drill.
I'm not saying the figures are necessarily inaccurate, just that the source has a track record of being less than truthful at times (we purport, you deride)....

[liberal N proud]

10. Exactly

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

9. I'm not surprised

Conservatives "love" what Bernie is saying.

Uh huh.

[restorefreedom]

11. trump has been pretty consistently at the top in almost every poll

so if his numbers are correct, why would the dem ones be wrong?

[Ferd Berfel]

13. Sorry, As much as I like to hear this.........

[RandySF]

16. We're quoting Fox now?

[liberal N proud]

18. This never would have happened before.

[RandySF]

19. DU is unhinged

[Art_from_Ark]

41. Speaking of unhinged

Have you read some of the things that DU's own resident FOX Noise commentator has posted here, to the applause of Hillary supporters (this year, that is, not back in 2008)?

[jeff47]

34. Now?

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251671083
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251671272
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251521645
http://www.democraticunderground.com/128038638
http://www.democraticunderground.com/110719397
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251618540
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251671798 (WaPo article talking about a Fox poll)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251491997
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251671656
http://www.democraticunderground.com/110719378#post2
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1107&pid=19382

At which point I got bored.

[davidpdx]

37. The idiots have no idea what irony means

[Gregorian]

24. Sample was from customers at some hot dog stand.

[George II]

25. Sunday's Gravis Poll: Clinton 46, Sanders 25, O'Malley 3 - Clinton +21

[Attorney in Texas]

28. Gravis was the last poll before Clinton's 9/11-Wall St. gaffe, and this is the first post-gaffe poll

[Laser102]

29. Fox? Seriously?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

31. Please read this thread to see how I was roasted for citing a Gravis Poll

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251816259

[Attorney in Texas]

32. But with Gravis, the polling company itself has been appropriately questioned. Here Anderson Robbins

Research/Shaw & Company Research is a well respected bi-partisan polling team using live phone polling (including both landlines and cell phones), which is the A+ methodology.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

33. I am not going to get in a debate about the efficacy of polling.

If FOX isn't verboten here then neither should Gravis, the latter of which is not an auxiliary of the Republican party. It wasn't Gravis' methodology, flawed or not, that some believe makes it verboten. It was their alleged bias.

The fact that Anderson Robbins has a (D) after their name is of no moment. Hell, Judas Iscariot held himself out as a disciple of Christ.

[PoliticalMalcontent]

35. The people saying it's a compromised poll because it was commissioned by Fox News...

C'mon people. Be honest with yourselves. Yes, Fox News sucks. It's a terrible place with opinionated assholes who tend to report their news with a clear bias. That doesn't make all news tainted. If they reported that the sky was blue would you disagree with on principle alone? That's the kind of thinking that helps nobody. Let's not cut off our nose to spite our face.

The data was obtained from an unbiased secondary source. Fox can spin the polls all they want, but if we have access to the raw numbers we can view them without the Fox News' bias. That's the important thing.

In the end most all of the poll results fall within the margin of error (MoE), including the Hillary Vs Sanders question. I found the individual match-up results of Hillary Vs Republican Candidates to be interesting though. She "beats": Trump, Cruz and Christie (Only Trump being outside of the MoE). She "loses" to: Carson, Bush, Kasish, Rubio (With only Rubio outside of the MoE). She's tied with Fiorina in this limited poll. Frankly, that matches up with my gut feeling that Rubio would be the hardest candidate in a general. Again, small sample-size caveats abound!

Oddly, they didn't do heads-up polling of Sanders Vs Republican Candidates which could mean any number of things. Perhaps they just want a feel of how badly they've damaged Hillary's reputation, or to see which Republican candidate to cover most favorably in the future. Who knows. That's where your Fox News spin machine comes into play.

[PoliticalMalcontent]

36. Additional Thoughts:

If Rubio truly is Hillary's toughest match-up it's going to be interesting to see the results of the Republican Primaries. He's coming in 2nd in this NH poll, but you'd have to imagine the closer we get to Primary Season the more people will realize "Holy shit, we could be sending Donald Trump into the General Election!" and sober up. Trump has such a high unfavorability rating.

[Attorney in Texas]

38. Exactly. Criticizing a ARR/S&C poll just because of its link to Fox is like hating the Simpsons just

because it airs on the Fox network.

Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company is a bi-partisan polling team with a demonstrated record of reliability and accuracy confirmed by 538 and the poll was done using the most reliable methodology of live cellphone/landline live phone polling.

Hate Fox News, but don't let hatred cloud your judgment.

[Sunlei]

39. If Trump 'quits' who will he back along with the 27%?

If Trump doesn't quit, he will win the republican primary. Will he take Rubio, Cruz or Bush as VP? I guess Rubio as he has less hateful baggage.

I don't think Trump 'likes' Fiorina enough to be stuck with a woman as VP for years. He wouldn't be able to 'fire' her, if he has a bad day.

Of course none of them would ever make it inside the White House.