Trump, Clinton look to extend leads as five more states vote
Source: Reuters
Trump, Clinton look to extend leads as five more states vote
1 Hour AgoReuters
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Trump, Clinton look to extend leads as five more states vote
1 Hour Ago Reuters
Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton each look to strengthen their front-runner status when five states hold presidential nominating races on Saturday, as Trump tries to weather a barrage of blistering attacks from his party's establishment.
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On the Democratic side, voters in Louisiana, Kansas and Nebraska will weigh in on Saturday on the race between Clinton, the former secretary of state, and Bernie Sanders, a U.S. senator from Vermont.
Polls show Clinton with a big lead in Louisiana, which has a large bloc of the African-American voters, who helped her roll up victories across the South on Super Tuesday, but the caucuses in less diverse Kansas and Nebraska could be more suited to Sanders. The three states have a total of 109 delegates at stake.
Clinton has opened up a big delegate lead on Sanders, who might have a tough time making up the difference. All states in the Democratic race award their delegates proportionally, meaning Clinton can keep piling up delegates even in states where she loses.
Read more: http://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/05/trump-clinton-look-to-extend-leads-as-five-more-states-vote.html
ladjf
(17,320 posts)itsrobert
(14,157 posts)nt
ladjf
(17,320 posts)public opinions. They often correctly predict outcomes. They fact that bernie is not leading the polls does not invalidate his candidacy. Bernie is a viable candidate. He is still "alive".
Perhaps you agree.
Big News: itsrobert has decided to support Bernie Sanders
if he is the Democratic Party nominee.
I put his chances at 13 percent as of right now for the nomination. That can easily go significantly HIGHER or.....lower depending on the CANDIDATES.
1
titaniumsalute
(4,742 posts)Statistics are not numbers activated by public opinion. Statistics is simply the study of data collected from really any source. IE, polling data (which is piublic opinion), TV or radio ratings, counting colors of cars driving by, etc.
If you look at the current statistics, inclduing polling data moving forward, Bernie is toast. (Which makes me sad.) Simply "hoping" isn't going to change anything.
ladjf
(17,320 posts)I amend my post to say, "In my opinion, Bernie is still an active candidate who still has a mathematical possibility to win the 2016 Democratic primary race."
titaniumsalute
(4,742 posts)I work in stats so I try to help people understand what they are. Although you are correct technically about pure stats not being math. It is just counting something. But we use a lot of math to derive certain theories or scenarios at times.
ladjf
(17,320 posts)prof named Warren Goode who had written the textbook we used for the class. He had a reputation for being a "holy terror" when it came to grading. However, I loved his class and liked him. I frequently stayed after class to talk with him about statistics.
One of the beautiful things about statistics is the rich amount of information conveniently grouped for the benefit of the reader. However, the more complex studies that required facility in math was beyond my amateur training.
Back to this OP. The Clinton people are trying to discourage the Sanders folks by bombarding us with negative information about Bernie's chances. So, I just try to counter their efforts. No matter. I'm discouraged as hell.
Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)HassleCat
(6,409 posts)It makes heavy use of statistical methods, but it's attempting to predict something that has not yet happened. And it uses a sample population to make that prediction. Yes, it appears Bernie is toast, but polling has missed the mark several times in the primaries, although it's unlikely the polls are that far off. The only chance for Bernie is a change in circumstances, and that's only going to happen if Clinton gets caught by a hot mike, or voters take a sudden interest in what she said to Lehman Brothers, something like that. And that seems unlikely, considering the way her campaign people control the audiences, control the message, control the media, etc.
DownriverDem
(6,231 posts)How? By running and pushing the discussions to the left. Bernie and Hillary really like each other. They think more alike than many folks posting at DU. Just vote Dem in November! Focus on the Supreme Court!
Democat
(11,617 posts)I'll be happy with whichever Democrat wins.
FailureToCommunicate
(14,020 posts)Scruffy1
(3,256 posts)HassleCat
(6,409 posts)That's kind of what the headline makes me think.
Joe Chi Minh
(15,229 posts)But then it's Reuters, an MSM news aggregator ; so dog bites man (on statistics) is more interesting.