Poll: Advantage Clinton as conventions begin

[pnwmom]

Source: CNN

(CNN)As the Republican convention kicks off in Cleveland, the status of the race for the presidency continues to be advantage Hillary Clinton.

Little has changed in overall support for either candidate since the end of the primaries in mid-June, despite major moments in the campaign including Donald Trump's announcement of Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running mate, Clinton's endorsement by her main rival for the Democratic nomination, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, and the announcement by the FBI that Clinton would not face charges for her use of a personal email server while secretary of state.

But one candidate has made gains since last month: Libertarian Gary Johnson. In a four-way matchup between Clinton, Trump, Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Clinton carries 42%, Trump 37%, Johnson 13% and Stein 5%. That represents almost no change for either Clinton or Trump, but a 4-point bump for Johnson.

Typically, support for third party candidates fades as the major party tickets are set heading into their conventions. But Johnson's support outpaces that of a typical third party candidate and may prove to have more staying power.


Read more: http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/17/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-cnn-poll/

[CrowCityDem]

1. Up in NBC, ABC, and CNN polls, plus a poll of battlegrounds. Why was there so much worry here?

[getagrip_already]

3. complacency....

Polling errors (people not answering honestly wrt a trump vote), third parties actually winning a few states potentially throwing the election to the house.....

I worry about lots of things. It's what I do.

gotv. gotv. gotv.

[ericson00]

7. ditto, that and there are specific issues Trump polls pretty well on

see http://www.pollingreport.com/wh16.htm (CNN/ORC Poll. July 13-16, 2016., as of now at the top of the page)

and that matters because if the campaign becomes about some of those issues, Trump could still win.

[Doctor Jack]

4. Pessimism seems to be the natural state of the liberal

We could be a day from the election and someone here would say "Clinton is only up by 14 points in the latest CNN poll. She was up by 14.1 points last week. Is it time to panic?"

Between now and the election, expect to see at least 40,000 posts picking apart every little detail of every poll and people asking "should we be worried about this?".

[treestar]

5. +1

[UtahLib]

2. K&R. nt

[riversedge]

6. K and R. Working for every vote.

[ericson00]

8. KNR

n/t