Romney takes lead over Obama with convention "bounce": Reuters/Ipsos poll

[trailmonkee]

Source: Reuters

TAMPA, Florida (Reuters) - Mitt Romney has moved into a narrow lead over U.S. President Barack Obama in a small bounce for him from the Republican National Convention, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found on Thursday.

Romney entered the week four points behind Obama in the first installment of a Reuters/Ipsos rolling poll, with Obama leading 46 percent to 42 percent.

But the most recent daily rolling poll gave Romney a two-point lead of 44 percent to 42 percent among likely voters.

The former governor of Massachusetts has been in the spotlight at the convention in Tampa, Florida, and was to make his acceptance speech on Thursday night in the biggest test of his White House bid.

Read more: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/politics/sns-rt-us-usa-campaign-pollbre87t1dv-20120830,0,4624244.story

[JoePhilly]

1. He's going to need a much bigger bump.

[bemildred]

2. Right, a little teeny tiny bump so small you can't really see it at all. nt

[emulatorloo]

17. With a margin of error of + or - 2.9 per cent.

Lol

[Purveyor]

3. Polls are worthless until mid-Sept. Then I'll start paying attention to their results. eom

[greiner3]

20. Nate Silver;

Of FivethirtyEight.com;

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

May change your mind.

[Monk06]

27. Yep Nate Silver provides a well researched analysis of post convention bumps. Romney is toast.

[warrior1]

4. yet the networks

lost 17 viewers from 2008. Yea, right rmoney got a bump.

[Mr.Bill]

5. Two point lead with convention bounce?

Convention is not over yet, but I think he's toast.

[Larkspur]

6. This appears to be a national poll

so don't give it much credence. We don't elect the Prez by national vote.

It's the polls from the swing states that matter.

[bayareaboy]

7. Sorry Folks...

Reuters is not the polling agency to follow.

[Samantha]

14. Right, check out Nate Silver's 538 projections

Check it out yourself. And be sure to point to Michigan on the map, which Silver says is not a swing state.

Sam

PS okay, okay

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

300.4 versus 237.6 today's electoral college contest projection - Obama leads

[donnasgirl]

8. I understand how the polls work

But it's time to get off our asses and get moving,send as much money as you can to help combat the liars machine(THE GOP) and help this president to finally get the respect he deserves.He will only get respect when we hand willard the loss he so justly deserves,i am sick and tired of the lies from this GOP shit machine.

[Phlem]

9. This is absolute bullshit.

Romney has F'ing alienated every every possible voting group there is except the old scared white guy's club and jebus walked with the dinosaurs club. Those populations together cannot possibly be that big!



-p

[Anarcho-Socialist]

10. Romney +2 = "takes lead" "ahead of Obama"

Obama +2 = "margin of error" "neck and neck" "statistical dead heat"

You gotta love the liberal media.

[russspeakeasy]

11. HAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA HAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA !

It's easier than doing an actual poll..

[Botany]

12. Then why is almost 70% of the American public saying Obama will win re-election?

Vegas has Obama winning @ big odds.

Romney has 1 or maybe 2 demographic groups and that is it.

[SoapBox]

13. Blah, blah, blah...

Just wait until next week is done.

[progressivebydesign]

15. that's because his fans were home watching the convention. Duh. n/t

[iemitsu]

16. the polling groups are having to adjust their numbers

to account for the newly disenfranchised.

[Miami4Obama]

18. When the DNC is over, Obama will jump to the lead again.

This is why is good to have the convention after the demonics have theirs. There is NO way Romney will win, NO way, did you all see the headlines in the newspapers today about Ryan lies in the speech? absolutely abominable, specially the one about the GM closing. what do you all think?

[demwing]

19. Anyone know why this poll isn't reflected on RCP?

not there at all, and the national averages show no bounce for Nitt Robme.

[magic59]

21. With 100% African American, 90% Hispanic and 65% women voting for Obama

those old angry white men polls don't really mean a hell of a lot.

[Botany]

22. don't forget the young, the gays, asians, native americans, teachers, environmentalists, .....

..... union workers, nurses, and older people that the Ryan budget scares the crap out of .....

But still we have to win big to get over the republican "fudge factors" i.e. voting machines,
voter suppression, and other things.

[PSPS]

23. This is a national poll so, even if true, it's meaningless

[graywarrior]

24. !

[Edwood]

25. What a joke!

It's an online poll. Anyone who has taken an applied statistics or research methods class knows online polling is completely unscientific and unreliable.

[RandySF]

26. So he had more support before the convention actually started.

[L0oniX]

28. The poll might be more accurate if they pulled it out of their ass ...oh wait...

it did come from out of their ass.