Democrats have leads in Rust Belt states that Trump won: Reuters poll

[DonViejo]

Source: Reuters



SEPTEMBER 26, 2018 / 6:05 AM / UPDATED 2 HOURS AGO

Chris Kahn
4 MIN READ

NEW YORK (Reuters) - An Indiana U.S. Senator seen as one of the chamber’s most vulnerable Democrats has a slight edge while four of his Rust Belt Democratic colleagues have solid leads in states President Donald Trump won in 2016, a Reuters poll found.

A Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics Poll released on Wednesday found that a majority of likely voters in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan and Indiana disapprove of the Republican president and more than one-third were “very motivated” to back someone who would oppose his policies.

The poll found that Senator Joe Donnelly of Indiana has a 3 percentage point lead among likely voters over Republican businessman Mike Braun. Braun, a former state representative, has positioned himself as a Trump-like candidate who would bring an outsider’s perspective to politics in Vice President Mike Pence’s home state.

Democrats are aiming to win two more Senate seats in the Nov. 6 congressional election to take a majority in that chamber and serve as a check on Trump’s agenda. They can ill afford to lose any of the five seats covered by the poll.

Read more: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-statepolls/democrats-have-leads-in-rust-belt-states-that-trump-won-reuters-poll-idUSKCN1M6188

[muntrv]

1. GOTV, my friends. Only poll that matters is

on election day.

[ehrnst]

2. Amen. (nt)

[riversedge]

22. kick 🌊🌊🌊 #FlipItBlue #BlueWave2018 #VoteThemOUT

[Maxheader]

25. For all we know

The foreign bots have control of the polls...

Election day is where the tire hits the tarmac..

[saidsimplesimon]

27. A caution for trolls, foreign and domestic

No one is above US law, patriots are tracking "every move you make, every breath you take, we'll be watching you".

[bearsfootball516]

3. Wife and I submitted our absentee ballots for Donnelly today.

We weren't old enough to vote for him in 2012, but we are now.

[BumRushDaShow]

5. YAY!

[UpInArms]

12. Well done!

👍🏼

[pazzyanne]

18. Thank you!

[riversedge]

23. Thank you. Now commit please--to help at least one other person to vote [Dem of course:-)

[bearsfootball516]

24. Oh, I am. I'm our precinct chair and I canvass every weekend.

[BumRushDaShow]

4. Reuter's (Europe's conservative-leaning version of AP) poll has some interesting stats

From the OP link -

The wave of support for Democrats may unseat Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, a Republican former presidential candidate who became popular in conservative circles for taking on unions. Walker trailed Democratic state schools superintendent Tony Evers by 7 percentage points.

This is surprising and hope it holds.

Elsewhere, the poll found Democratic candidates on solid footing. In Pennsylvania, U.S. Senator Bob Casey Jr., a Democrat, led Republican congressman Lou Barletta by 16 points, and in the governor’s race incumbent Democrat Tom Wolf was ahead of Republican Scott Wagner by 17 points.

(fantastic because they refuse to talk about this here in PA)

In Michigan, U.S. Senator Debbie Stabenow, a Democrat, led Republican challenger John James by 20 points, while Democrat Gretchen Whitmer was ahead of Republican Bill Schuette by 13 points in the governor’s race.

This is good news to flip MI.

In Ohio, incumbent U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown led Republican Jim Renacci by 11 points.

This is good too but from earlier in the article, I would have hoped that Cordray would be doing a bit better.

[bearsfootball516]

6. That explains why Republicans were pulling all Michigan funding.

[BumRushDaShow]

8. Michigan had always been head-scratching for me

after seeing people like the firebrand Jennifer Granholm elected there. I know the upper peninsula is pretty red but the population up there is also sparse.

Whoever is elected governor this year will be in place for the 2020 census so we need to get as many Ds in between now and 2020 in order to oversee that process (which will impact redistricting).

[NewJeffCT]

14. Granholm is great

She takes control of the conversation whenever I see her on air and debating a Republican.

[llmart]

17. I'm looking forward to seeing Schuette trounced!

I'm also looking forward to getting my absentee ballot.

Didn't Jennifer Granholm have a Republican legislature that put roadblocks in the way of everything she tried to do?

[BumRushDaShow]

19. "Didn't Jennifer Granholm have a Republican legislature that put roadblocks in the way...?"

I think that was during her first term. But during her 2nd term, MI was able to cash in on the 2006 blue wave that not only gave the U.S. House back to Democrats after 12 years, but also trickled down into the states, so MI Ds were able to capture their state House in 2006.

We have had a similar issue here in PA with a completely GOP-controlled legislature, where Ds briefly took control of the state House in the 2006 wave too but lost it in 2010 (and the subsequent redistricting sealed that fate).

[Johnny2X2X]

7. The Long game is in the states

Taking control of as many state governments as possible right now is really important as the state governments run the elections and draw the district lines. After the 2020 census, whomever controls the states will have a leg p in controlling Washington.

[BumRushDaShow]

9. THIS

[beachbum bob]

10. trump is disliked in Wisconsin, Minnesota, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio and has SOME

support in Indiana as they are a midwest version of Alabama. Still a lead by Donnelly is still a lead

[bearsfootball516]

13. I tend to think of Indiana as more like a Georgia.

It's a red state, but not as red as traditionally southern states like Alabama and Mississippi. The state actually went blue in 2008.

[dalton99a]

11. Excellent. GOTV!

[Rizen]

15. One thing 2016 should have taught us

is never underestimate precise propaganda campaigns targeting strategic districts. I'm worried Russia will do something like that again and, of course, Republicans will allow it. Like someone said, the only thing that matters is getting everyone to vote Democrat, regardless of what polls say.

[ROB-ROX]

16. THEY GERRYMANDER AND THEY RUN THE VOTING MACHINES

They can not win a fair election so they FIX the election to win. The voting poles indicate TRENDS with voters but they TAMPER with real votes so they WIN. We have entered 1984 without an exit in sight. The only way to kill this political snake is to KILL the snake......

[elmac]

20. well, lets hope their votes count

and don't end up being deleted from the polls or hacked, changed. The Government Of Putin are grifters from way back.

[BannonsLiver]

21. What's the deal with Nevada?

Is Rosen just not a very dynamic candidate? That should be a W for the good guys in my opinion. Doesn't look like it's heading in that direction.

[JonLP24]

26. Trump got lucky in 2016