New National Poll Shows Top Democratic Candidates With Double-Digit Leads Over Trump

[ffr]

Source: Slate

A new Washington Post–ABC News poll Tuesday surveying hypothetical matchups between President Donald Trump and the top Democratic challengers shows each potential opponent with a significant lead, as support for the president has eroded among independents, a group he narrowly won in 2016. The results show a national political landscape that poses significant challenges to reelection for Trump...
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The hypothetical head-to-head matchups gave Joe Biden the biggest advantage of the five candidates mentioned to registered voters. The former vice president leads Trump by a whopping 17 points among independent voters, according to the Post. The head-to-head results are:
• Joe Biden: +17 (56 percent to Trump’s 39 percent)

• Elizabeth Warren: +15 (55 percent to 40 percent)

• Bernie Sanders: +14 (55 percent to 41 percent)

• Pete Buttigieg: +11 (52 percent to 41 percent)

• Kamala Harris: +9 (51 percent to 42 percent)

Read more: https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/11/new-national-poll-shows-democrats-candidates-double-digit-leads-trump.html

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Hey, Dinky Donny, your numbers are shrinking!!

Coattails for a senate swamping too?

[JoeOtterbein]

1. New (mine) slogan: Any of us can beat Trump!

[William Seger]

2. Approve/disapprove, impeach/don't impeach, and Trump vs any Dem

... are all starting to look like the same poll: 10 points underwater.

[frazzled]

3. But not true for battleground state polls for which Trump "won" in 2016

It's either within margin of error or Trump ahead in those states (MI, PA, WI, FL, AZ, NC). It's all about the electoral college, not the national popular vote. So let's not get complacent: let's rather focus on these states and getting the Democratic vote out, come the general. See also graphic chart at link:

Despite low national approval ratings and the specter of impeachment, President Trump remains highly competitive in the battleground states likeliest to decide his re-election, according to a set of new surveys from The New York Times Upshot and Siena College.

Across the six closest states that went Republican in 2016, he trails Joe Biden by an average of two points among registered voters but stays within the margin of error.

Mr. Trump leads Elizabeth Warren by two points among registered voters, the same margin as his win over Hillary Clinton in these states three years ago.

The poll showed Bernie Sanders deadlocked with the president among registered voters, but trailing among likely vote

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/04/upshot/trump-biden-warren-polls.html

[0rganism]

10. +1, the state-by-state outlook is dismal

if we don't move the margins in the upper midwest, we're not going to win next year

[Wellstone ruled]

4. Interesting.

Seems to me this same Poll in 2016 had Hillary slapping the crap out of Moscow Don. Nuf Said,we are way early in this race.

[LiberalLovinLug]

5. New poll shows Clinton over Trump by double-digits!

https://www.cnn.com/2016/10/23/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-presidential-polls/index.html

And this is only two weeks before the 2016 election. Not to be a debbie downer, just to get things in perspective.

[StevieM]

11. The perspective we need is to understand how 2016 was turned upside down by James Comey.

And how something similar might happen again in 2020.

Would anyone be surprised to hear that William Bar, our illustrious attorney general, decided to place our candidate under investigation for something? We need to make sure that the American people understand what kind of a man he is.

[Tiggeroshii]

6. That's a lot points ahead.

[Dopers_Greed]

7. Is that a national poll?

No matter how far ahead we are, the Electoral College is rigging the election

[olddad65]

8. This means nothing. The Russians haven't even kicked their interference pranks into gear yet.

[Norbert]

9. He spent much time and effort in support for Bevin in Ky

I certainly hope tRump torpedoed Bevin's chances for reelection.

[world wide wally]

12. Yeah, but those are all fake. Only Trump has the REAL polls.

Just ask him

[cloudythescribbler]

13. If these numbers hold, it's all the more URGENT the nominee be of the progressive wing of the party

Personally, my politics are closer to Bernie's platform than Elizabeth Warren (especially on recognizing the scale of what MUST be done about climate) but in practice, the party needs urgently someone of that wing (rather than yet another neoliberal) to steer this country and the party in a direction of what the future needs. It looks as if Sen Warren is picking up steam, and it's my view that if, when the votes are all counted up on Super Tuesday, either Warren or Sanders is clearly leading the other, I'd support the lesser-performing candidate dropping out & endorsing the other -- so we don't have yet another neoliberal, as has turned out to be the case for the last 30 years.

The neolibs (like Hillary) are vastly preferable even to the more palatable Republicans, which DT certainly is NOT, but again, it is that new path that would bring about some of the changes (admittedly, even if the Dems take the Senate and dominate both Houses, as in 2009) that are needed will hardly go much further than what the neolibs advocate in practice, but on so many other issues, the more aggressive progressive approach is essential to the great majority of Americans, essential to the environment, and essential for the future