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RiverStone

(7,228 posts)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:05 PM Oct 2012

New poll in Florida shows Obama leading Romney 47% to 46%

Source: examiner.com

The new poll in Florida show a very close race for president in 2012 election.

According to new poll SurveyUSA President Barack Obama is ahead of Mitt Romney, 47% to 46%, this poll was conducted for WFLA-TV in Tampa. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 5 weeks ago, Romney is up 2 points, Obama is down 1 point.

SurveyUSA showed that Florida 29 electoral votes remain up for grabs, Romney has gained ground in each of 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls going back to 07/20/12. Obama's once 12-point lead among Florida women has been reduced to 4 points.

According to new poll the contest is tied among men. Narrowly, Cubans vote Republican. Decisively, non-Cuban Hispanics vote Democrat. Voters under age 50 vote for Obama. Voters age 50+ vote for Romney. Whites vote for Romney 5:4. Moderates vote for Obama 5:4. Independents break 44% to 40% for Romney.

Read more: http://www.examiner.com/article/new-pol-florida-show-obama-lead-romney-47-to-46



Obama wins FLA and his path to re-election is pretty much assured!
20 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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New poll in Florida shows Obama leading Romney 47% to 46% (Original Post) RiverStone Oct 2012 OP
GOTV will be key. /nt Ash_F Oct 2012 #1
Great news. Concede Florida? Nuts! SunSeeker Oct 2012 #2
Hit em hard in the ad wars.. cyclezealot Oct 2012 #3
I live in Tampa TampaKeeper Oct 2012 #4
K&R + thanks to Floridians getting out the vote! flamingdem Oct 2012 #5
Florida would seal the deal, I just think it's just too fluid and unreliable. johnnyrocket Oct 2012 #6
We Need Enough Other States SO IT DOES NOT HINGE ON FL AND OH AndyTiedye Oct 2012 #7
Today Silver november3rd Oct 2012 #8
And how does that make any sense? LisaL Oct 2012 #9
Fuck. Its a set up for stealing the elections all over again. Katashi_itto Oct 2012 #10
Hope not! nt ProudProgressiveNow Oct 2012 #11
How many people were polled? Left Coast2020 Oct 2012 #12
700 underpants Oct 2012 #15
seniors there are all over - the wealthy support R$ & those most concerned about M-care are for O wordpix Oct 2012 #19
They slam dunked Florida on election night the last time like it was nothing. Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #13
And Nate Silver had a headline asking if Obama should concede Florida budkin Oct 2012 #14
I thought it was generally considered that Romney was pulling away in Fla underpants Oct 2012 #16
I hope so OP, I hope so. nt cstanleytech Oct 2012 #17
WOOT and hope the lead widens in next 2 wks wordpix Oct 2012 #18
Polls Savanna Anna Oct 2012 #20

cyclezealot

(4,802 posts)
3. Hit em hard in the ad wars..
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:25 PM
Oct 2012

. such a slight lead is not good enough. Well within range of the GOP Secretary of State to steal the election.

TampaKeeper

(48 posts)
4. I live in Tampa
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:46 PM
Oct 2012

And we are being hit very hard with ads from both sides. Of course all the Romnesia ones are lies.

johnnyrocket

(1,773 posts)
6. Florida would seal the deal, I just think it's just too fluid and unreliable.
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:28 PM
Oct 2012

We need Ohio more than anything.

AndyTiedye

(23,500 posts)
7. We Need Enough Other States SO IT DOES NOT HINGE ON FL AND OH
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 09:45 PM
Oct 2012

[font color=red]BECAUSE WE KNOW WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF IT DOES.[/font]

 

november3rd

(1,113 posts)
8. Today Silver
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 11:02 PM
Oct 2012

Nate said today that Obama has all but lost Florida. He has to keep his campaign revved up there, though, just to prevent Romney from pulling his resources from Florida and concentrating them in Pennsylvania.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
9. And how does that make any sense?
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 11:08 PM
Oct 2012

Considering the polls are all over the place and quite a few do show Obama is ahead by a small margin. Even cnn poll had Obama ahead by 7 points among registered voters.

 

Katashi_itto

(10,175 posts)
10. Fuck. Its a set up for stealing the elections all over again.
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 12:18 AM
Oct 2012

Feel like I am watching Bush Gore again...

Left Coast2020

(2,397 posts)
12. How many people were polled?
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 12:41 AM
Oct 2012

Could we assume about 100? 200? 500--in some wishy-washy area that can go either way? What are the seniors there thinking?

underpants

(182,834 posts)
15. 700
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 08:32 AM
Oct 2012

According to SurveyUSA the poll was conducted in Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: The SurveyUSApoll said it " Interviewed 700 Florida adults 10/17/12 and 10/18/12. Of the adults, 645 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 600 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/06/12 election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (77% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (23% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, or other electronic device. All interviews conducted after 10/16/12 town-hall Presidential debate".

wordpix

(18,652 posts)
19. seniors there are all over - the wealthy support R$ & those most concerned about M-care are for O
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 11:38 AM
Oct 2012

Those who have enough $$$ not to care about M-care and Soc. Sec. as seniors support R$, I guess b/c he will "save" them with continued tax breaks for the wealthy. Then there are the good ol boy low-information rednecks who support R$ b/c they believe all the lying BS he spews.

I think FL hinges on the Hispanic vote and O's resources should go there.

 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
13. They slam dunked Florida on election night the last time like it was nothing.
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 12:59 AM
Oct 2012

The Republicans are running a ticket that wants to screw with the old people's money and health care and we're all supposed to believe it's closer than it was before.

underpants

(182,834 posts)
16. I thought it was generally considered that Romney was pulling away in Fla
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 08:34 AM
Oct 2012

this poll seems to be all over the place. Obama is still slightly up (within the margin so it is really tied) but it IS tied amongst men? WOW even NPR had a story about the overwhelming "gender gap" that Romney had across the country.

wordpix

(18,652 posts)
18. WOOT and hope the lead widens in next 2 wks
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 11:33 AM
Oct 2012

I've been watching FL closely and R$ is spending a HUGE amt of $$$ there. Would be great if it's all for the toilet flush.

Savanna Anna

(5 posts)
20. Polls
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 02:15 PM
Oct 2012

I'm worried about the polls. I look for polls all day long everyday since the 2nd debate. I'm disappointed. I wish I could feel better about what's happening. The Republican's lies are driving me crazy.

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