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highplainsdem

(49,006 posts)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:23 PM Oct 2012

Poll: Obama Tops 70 Percent Support Among Latinos, While Romney Falls To 20 Percent

Source: TPM

President Barack Obama has eclipsed 70 percent support among Latino voters nationwide in the latest installment of a weekly tracking survey conducted by Latino Decisions.

The poll, conducted Oct. 12-18 and released on Monday, shows Obama earning the support of 71 percent while Mitt Romney trails distantly with 20 percent. Those results represent a shift in opposite directions for both candidates since last week's poll. Obama has ticked up 4 points since the previous Latino Decisions poll, while Romney has seen a 3-point dip.

The poll also shows a high level of engagement among Latino voters — crucial to an Obama campaign that is banking on a high voter turnout among its core supporters. Seventy-seven percent of Latino voters surveyed in Monday's poll said they talked with friends or family members about candidates or issues in the last few months.

-snip-

Read more: http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/poll-obama-tops-70-percent-support-among-latinos--1

23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Poll: Obama Tops 70 Percent Support Among Latinos, While Romney Falls To 20 Percent (Original Post) highplainsdem Oct 2012 OP
Ummmm rtracey Oct 2012 #1
The main two groups I can think of: Arugula Latte Oct 2012 #13
yay! Keep the good news coming! YAAAAYYYYY wordpix Oct 2012 #2
Latinos are under-represented in polling, so look to AZ and NV going to Obama Coyotl Oct 2012 #3
I agree, blowout if they get to the polls and seems like there is flamingdem Oct 2012 #7
It this margin holds up this map might not be too far off. yellowcanine Oct 2012 #11
I would take FL, CO, NC, AZ, and MO off the map. I see a win for the Prez; not a blowout. demlion Oct 2012 #19
Didn't the Dark Lord, Karl Rove say that Romney needed powergirl Oct 2012 #4
I believe G.W. got close to 40% in 2004 and barely won. yellowcanine Oct 2012 #12
That is what I thought, Yellow canine! powergirl Oct 2012 #18
Maybe they saw that video of Mormons dunking a Latino girl in a pool AllyCat Oct 2012 #5
seriously?! that would be good to get out there n/t flamingdem Oct 2012 #8
Might be lethal for Romney in NV and CO. RandySF Oct 2012 #6
You Can Get It If You Really Want struggle4progress Oct 2012 #9
So RMoney...How's that "self deportation" work'n for ya? SoapBox Oct 2012 #10
Whites Over 55 Will Vote 70% Romney DallasNE Oct 2012 #14
Not here RoccoR5955 Oct 2012 #16
I doubt that. HooptieWagon Oct 2012 #17
Maybe on the planet Romney will be the God of Coyotl Oct 2012 #21
I'm a 55 year old white guy who's voting for Obama Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Oct 2012 #23
But Republicans love Latinos Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Oct 2012 #15
Any known status mojo2012 Oct 2012 #20
Hmmmm limousineliberal Oct 2012 #22
 

rtracey

(2,062 posts)
1. Ummmm
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:25 PM
Oct 2012

What Latino, seriously now.... would support a Republican, besides Rubio, and others who are well off and in politics.

 

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)
3. Latinos are under-represented in polling, so look to AZ and NV going to Obama
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:28 PM
Oct 2012

***** Official Pre-Debate Electoral College Predictions Thread *****
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251162857

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
11. It this margin holds up this map might not be too far off.
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:19 PM
Oct 2012

I still think Obama is not getting Indiana though and Arizona is a stretch even with the high Hispanic vote.

powergirl

(2,393 posts)
4. Didn't the Dark Lord, Karl Rove say that Romney needed
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:33 PM
Oct 2012

at least 40 percent of the Latino vote? Didn't Mitt agree to this? Hmmmmmmmm.

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
12. I believe G.W. got close to 40% in 2004 and barely won.
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:21 PM
Oct 2012

So this could be the ace in the hole for Obama this year.

On edit: Here is the report on Bush in 2004

http://www.pewhispanic.org/files/reports/48.pdf

Note also that new Hispanic voters might be underrepresented in likely voter models. Also Hispanic voters motivated to vote by immigration issues might not be showing up in the likely voter models as well. I truly believe that the Hispanic vote is going to provide some surprises in Obama's favor in Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina. Not that he will necessarily win all of these states, but he will do better than expected and that could make the difference in several.

powergirl

(2,393 posts)
18. That is what I thought, Yellow canine!
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 04:50 PM
Oct 2012

Thank you for the information - so Romney only has 20%. He shouldn't have been so ugly about the Latinos.

AllyCat

(16,195 posts)
5. Maybe they saw that video of Mormons dunking a Latino girl in a pool
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:35 PM
Oct 2012

to baptize dead people against their or their family's knowledge.

DallasNE

(7,403 posts)
14. Whites Over 55 Will Vote 70% Romney
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 02:59 PM
Oct 2012

They somehow think that turning Medicare into a voucher system will save Medicare and privatizing Social Security will save Social Security. Except that is not what whites over 55 are thinking at all. The dog whistle politics is extremely effective with this group. They are the ones that think Obama is not an American which translates into "put the white back in the Whitehouse". That is where this race is being decided -- on the basis of race with older Americans.

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
16. Not here
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 03:41 PM
Oct 2012

Whites over 55, of which I am one may not vote that way here in NY. Only a couple of the guys that I know are voting for Romney, and they aren't even sure that they will.

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
17. I doubt that.
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 04:19 PM
Oct 2012

Willard may get a majority of the over 55 white vote, but I don't think it will be near 70%. IMO, probably less than 60%.

mojo2012

(290 posts)
20. Any known status
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 04:58 PM
Oct 2012

Anyone know how successful Latino leaders and community leaders are in convincing them to vote?

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