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mahatmakanejeeves

(57,393 posts)
Wed Sep 1, 2021, 08:19 AM Sep 2021

August private payrolls rose by 374,000, missing estimates: ADP

Last edited Wed Sep 1, 2021, 09:27 AM - Edit history (1)

Source: Yahoo! Finance

August private payrolls rose by 374,000, missing estimates: ADP

Emily McCormick · Reporter
Wed, September 1, 2021, 8:17 AM·3 min read

U.S. private employers added back far fewer jobs than expected in August as the Delta variant's spread began to take its toll on the pace of the labor market's recovery.

Private payrolls rose by 374,000 in August, ADP said in its closely watched monthly report on Wednesday. Consensus economists were looking for private payrolls to grow by 625,000, according to Bloomberg data. In July, private sector jobs increased by 326,000, according to the firm's revised monthly print.

By sector, high-contact service-providing areas again posted the biggest private payroll gains, with leisure and hospitality jobs rising by 201,000. This was followed by a wide margin by education and health services positions with a gain of 59,000 jobs. Professional and business services payrolls also rose by 19,000.

In the goods-producing sector, overall payrolls increased by 45,000, led by construction industries with job gains of 30,000. Mining and manufacturing jobs each also rose, but by much smaller sums.

ADP's report adds to a slew of mixed labor market data out for August, when a resurgence in COVID-19 cases began to stem the pace of the recovery after a strong start to the summer. Last week, IHS Markit's latest purchasing managers' indices showed that employment activity in both the domestic services and manufacturing sectors decelerated sharply in August. And consumer confidence indices have also retreated, raising the specter of a slowdown in hiring if consumers' propensity to spend deteriorates and demand for goods and services pulls back.

Still, however, the overall trend in the data has pointed toward an ongoing, if slowing, recovery. The U.S. Labor Department's "official" monthly jobs report on Friday is expected to reaffirm that message, with job growth still coming in well above pre-pandemic levels for August but pulling back compared to July.

{snip}

Read more: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/adp-private-payrolls-august-2021-employment-labor-market-coronavirus-121701411.html



I'll get a better report in a few minutes.

{edit} Okay; it showed up. The time stamp is an hour ago, but I didn't see it then.

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Here's the original post:

ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 374,000 Jobs in August

ROSELAND, N.J. - September 1, 2021 - Private sector employment increased by 374,000 jobs from July to August according to the August ADP National Employment ReportTM. Broadly distributed to the public each month, free of charge, the ADP National Employment Report is produced by the ADP Research Institute in collaboration with Moody's Analytics. The report, which is derived from ADP's actual data of those who are on a company's payroll, measures the change in total nonfarm private employment each month on a seasonally-adjusted basis.

https://adpemploymentreport.com/2021/August/NER/docs/ADP-NATIONAL-EMPLOYMENT-REPORT-August2021-Final-Press-Release.pdf

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https://adpemploymentreport.com/2021/August/NER/NER-August-2021.aspx

Total Employment
Change in Nonfarm Private Employment



Historical Trend
Change in Total Nonfarm Private Employment



Change By Company Size
Change in Total Nonfarm Private Employment by Company Size

3 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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August private payrolls rose by 374,000, missing estimates: ADP (Original Post) mahatmakanejeeves Sep 2021 OP
Official numbers are Friday Johnny2X2X Sep 2021 #1
IMO, it's very simple nitpicker Sep 2021 #2
Links to earlier reports: mahatmakanejeeves Sep 2021 #3

Johnny2X2X

(19,038 posts)
1. Official numbers are Friday
Wed Sep 1, 2021, 10:15 AM
Sep 2021

And last month the ADP numbers showed the same miss and the official BLS numbers were a complete blowout jobs report, better than anyone dreamed.

nitpicker

(7,153 posts)
2. IMO, it's very simple
Wed Sep 1, 2021, 11:31 AM
Sep 2021

1. When the Reagan recession/depression hit, I went to grad school.
2. I'm sure many others retired to collect SS early this time.
3. As schools keep closing, mostly moms get stuck at home.

mahatmakanejeeves

(57,393 posts)
3. Links to earlier reports:
Thu Sep 2, 2021, 07:59 AM
Sep 2021

Thu Sep 2, 2021 (in the Friday, August 6, BLS thread): Links to earlier reports:

Wed Aug 4, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Sat Jul 10, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Jun 30, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Jun 4, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Thu Jun 3, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Fri May 7, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Wed May 5, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Apr 2, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Mar 31, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Mar 5, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Mar 3, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Feb 5, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Feb 3, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Jan 8, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Jan 6, 2021: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Dec 4, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Dec 2, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Nov 6, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Nov 4, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Oct 2, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Sep 30, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Sep 4, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Sep 2, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Fri Aug 7, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Wed Aug 5, 2020: Links to earlier reports:

Updated from this post of Friday, December 6, 2019: Good morning. Links to earlier reports:

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[center]Past Performance is Not a Guarantee of Future Results.[/center]

Nonetheless, what is important is not this month's results, but the trend. Let’s look at some earlier numbers:

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in July 2021:

July jobs report: Economy adds back 943,000 payrolls, unemployment rate falls to 5.4%

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in July 2021:

Private payrolls rose by 330,000 in July, missing estimates: ADP

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in June 2021:

U.S. economy added 850,000 jobs in June as labor market showed renewed strength

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in June 2021:

Private payrolls increased by 692,000 in June, beating expectations: ADP

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in May 2021:

U.S. economy adds 559,000 jobs in May, as the recovery shows signs of strength

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in May 2021:

Private-sector employment increased by 978,000 from April to May, on a seasonally adjusted basis.

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in April 2021:

Economy picked up 266,000 jobs in April, fewer than expected as economy tries to rebound

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in April 2021:

Private-sector employment increased by 742,000 from March to April, on a seasonally adjusted basis.

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in March 2021:

The U.S. economy added 916,000 jobs in March as recovery gains steam again

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in March 2021:

Private employers added back 517,000 jobs in March, missing expectations: ADP

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in February 2021:

The economy added 379,000 jobs in February

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in February 2021:

ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 117,000 Jobs in February

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in January 2021:

Unemployment rate falls to 6.3% in January; payroll employment changes little (+49,000)

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in January 2021:

ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 174,000 Jobs in January

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in December 2020:

The economy lost 140,000 jobs in December

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in December 2020:

Private-sector employment decreased by 123,000 from November to December, seasonally adjusted

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in November 2020:

Job Growth Slows Sharply As Pandemic Takes Toll On Economy

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in November 2020:

Private-sector employment increased by 307,000 from October to November, on a seasonally adjusted

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in October 2020:

U.S. added 638,000 jobs in October, unemployment rate slides to 6.9%

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in October 2020:

Private-sector employment increased by 365,000 from September to October, on a seasonally adjusted

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in September 2020:

September jobs report: US economy gains 661,000 payrolls, unemployment rate ticks down to 7.9%

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in September 2020:

Private-sector employment increased by 749,000 from August to September on seasonally adjusted basis

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in August 2020:

Economy adds 1.4 million jobs in August, and the unemployment rate fell below 10 percent

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in August 2020:

Private-sector employment increased by 428,000 from July to August, on a seasonally adjusted basis.

Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in July 2020:

Nonfarm payroll employment rises by 1.8 million in July; unemployment rate falls to 10.2%

ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in July 2020:

Private-sector employment increased by 167,000 from June to July, on a seasonally adjusted basis.

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