August private payrolls rose by 374,000, missing estimates: ADP
Last edited Wed Sep 1, 2021, 09:27 AM - Edit history (1)
Source: Yahoo! Finance
August private payrolls rose by 374,000, missing estimates: ADP
Emily McCormick · Reporter
Wed, September 1, 2021, 8:17 AM·3 min read
U.S. private employers added back far fewer jobs than expected in August as the Delta variant's spread began to take its toll on the pace of the labor market's recovery.
Private payrolls rose by 374,000 in August, ADP said in its closely watched monthly report on Wednesday. Consensus economists were looking for private payrolls to grow by 625,000, according to Bloomberg data. In July, private sector jobs increased by 326,000, according to the firm's revised monthly print.
By sector, high-contact service-providing areas again posted the biggest private payroll gains, with leisure and hospitality jobs rising by 201,000. This was followed by a wide margin by education and health services positions with a gain of 59,000 jobs. Professional and business services payrolls also rose by 19,000.
In the goods-producing sector, overall payrolls increased by 45,000, led by construction industries with job gains of 30,000. Mining and manufacturing jobs each also rose, but by much smaller sums.
ADP's report adds to a slew of mixed labor market data out for August, when a resurgence in COVID-19 cases began to stem the pace of the recovery after a strong start to the summer. Last week, IHS Markit's latest purchasing managers' indices showed that employment activity in both the domestic services and manufacturing sectors decelerated sharply in August. And consumer confidence indices have also retreated, raising the specter of a slowdown in hiring if consumers' propensity to spend deteriorates and demand for goods and services pulls back.
Still, however, the overall trend in the data has pointed toward an ongoing, if slowing, recovery. The U.S. Labor Department's "official" monthly jobs report on Friday is expected to reaffirm that message, with job growth still coming in well above pre-pandemic levels for August but pulling back compared to July.
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Read more: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/adp-private-payrolls-august-2021-employment-labor-market-coronavirus-121701411.html
I'll get a better report in a few minutes.
{edit} Okay; it showed up. The time stamp is an hour ago, but I didn't see it then.
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Here's the original post:
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 374,000 Jobs in August
ROSELAND, N.J. - September 1, 2021 - Private sector employment increased by 374,000 jobs from July to August according to the August ADP National Employment ReportTM. Broadly distributed to the public each month, free of charge, the ADP National Employment Report is produced by the ADP Research Institute in collaboration with Moody's Analytics. The report, which is derived from ADP's actual data of those who are on a company's payroll, measures the change in total nonfarm private employment each month on a seasonally-adjusted basis.
https://adpemploymentreport.com/2021/August/NER/docs/ADP-NATIONAL-EMPLOYMENT-REPORT-August2021-Final-Press-Release.pdf
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https://adpemploymentreport.com/2021/August/NER/NER-August-2021.aspx
Total Employment
Change in Nonfarm Private Employment
Historical Trend
Change in Total Nonfarm Private Employment
Change By Company Size
Change in Total Nonfarm Private Employment by Company Size
Johnny2X2X
(19,038 posts)And last month the ADP numbers showed the same miss and the official BLS numbers were a complete blowout jobs report, better than anyone dreamed.
nitpicker
(7,153 posts)1. When the Reagan recession/depression hit, I went to grad school.
2. I'm sure many others retired to collect SS early this time.
3. As schools keep closing, mostly moms get stuck at home.
mahatmakanejeeves
(57,393 posts)Thu Sep 2, 2021 (in the Friday, August 6, BLS thread): Links to earlier reports:
Wed Aug 4, 2021: Links to earlier reports:
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Updated from this post of Friday, December 6, 2019: Good morning. Links to earlier reports:
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[center]Past Performance is Not a Guarantee of Future Results.[/center]
Nonetheless, what is important is not this month's results, but the trend. Lets look at some earlier numbers:
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in July 2021:
July jobs report: Economy adds back 943,000 payrolls, unemployment rate falls to 5.4%
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in July 2021:
Private payrolls rose by 330,000 in July, missing estimates: ADP
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in June 2021:
U.S. economy added 850,000 jobs in June as labor market showed renewed strength
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in June 2021:
Private payrolls increased by 692,000 in June, beating expectations: ADP
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in May 2021:
U.S. economy adds 559,000 jobs in May, as the recovery shows signs of strength
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in May 2021:
Private-sector employment increased by 978,000 from April to May, on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in April 2021:
Economy picked up 266,000 jobs in April, fewer than expected as economy tries to rebound
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in April 2021:
Private-sector employment increased by 742,000 from March to April, on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in March 2021:
The U.S. economy added 916,000 jobs in March as recovery gains steam again
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in March 2021:
Private employers added back 517,000 jobs in March, missing expectations: ADP
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in February 2021:
The economy added 379,000 jobs in February
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in February 2021:
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 117,000 Jobs in February
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in January 2021:
Unemployment rate falls to 6.3% in January; payroll employment changes little (+49,000)
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in January 2021:
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 174,000 Jobs in January
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in December 2020:
The economy lost 140,000 jobs in December
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in December 2020:
Private-sector employment decreased by 123,000 from November to December, seasonally adjusted
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in November 2020:
Job Growth Slows Sharply As Pandemic Takes Toll On Economy
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in November 2020:
Private-sector employment increased by 307,000 from October to November, on a seasonally adjusted
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in October 2020:
U.S. added 638,000 jobs in October, unemployment rate slides to 6.9%
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in October 2020:
Private-sector employment increased by 365,000 from September to October, on a seasonally adjusted
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in September 2020:
September jobs report: US economy gains 661,000 payrolls, unemployment rate ticks down to 7.9%
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in September 2020:
Private-sector employment increased by 749,000 from August to September on seasonally adjusted basis
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in August 2020:
Economy adds 1.4 million jobs in August, and the unemployment rate fell below 10 percent
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in August 2020:
Private-sector employment increased by 428,000 from July to August, on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in July 2020:
Nonfarm payroll employment rises by 1.8 million in July; unemployment rate falls to 10.2%
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in July 2020:
Private-sector employment increased by 167,000 from June to July, on a seasonally adjusted basis.