Cook Political Report shifts Virginia governor's race to 'toss-up'

[left-of-center2012]

Source: The Hill

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted the Virginia gubernatorial race from "lean Democratic" to "toss-up" on Friday, just over a month from Election Day.

The development comes as polls show the race, which is widely viewed as a barometer for next year's midterm elections, is becoming increasingly close.

A University of Mary Washington survey released on Wednesday found Republican Glenn Youngkin leading former Virginia Democratic Gov. Terry McAuliffe 48 percent to 43 percent among likely voters. McAuliffe led Youngkin 43 percent to 38 percent among all registered voters.

Another poll released this week, conducted by former Trump adviser Kellyanne Conway, found McAuliffe leading Youngkin 46 percent to 42 percent. And a Washington Post-Schar School survey released last week showed McAuliffe leading Youngkin by three points, 50 percent to 47 percent, among likely voters.

Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/573774-cook-political-report-shifts-virginia-governors-race-to-toss-up

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McAuliffe has been seen as the front-runner for much of the race given his high name ID and recent Democratic electoral victories in the commonwealth. However, Youngkin, a former private equity CEO, has poured money into the race in an effort to boost his name ID.

[riversedge]

1. k and R

[FBaggins]

2. That seems excessive

I've been worried about seeing him consistently under 50% when he has such high name recognition... and, yes, there has been a poll actually showing him behind...

... but I'd still say the race is a solid "leans D"

[onetexan]

17. +1 -K&R

[appalachiablue]

3. Poured major into the race yes, almost every

YouTube video I've linked in the past 2 weeks starts with an annoying ad for Youngkin, 3 to 1 over McAuliffe, annoying. Go McAuliffe!

[bucolic_frolic]

4. Private Equity equals Private Corruption

Surrender your wallet, the MBAs are stripping everything of value and walking off with it

[virgdem]

5. Since July, we've been inundated with Trumpkin ads..

And for over a month, no ads to counter from McAuliff. This was a big mistake. It allowed for Trumpkin to self-identify without any push back from McAuliff. No wonder the polls are close. I just hope and pray that McAuliff can pull this one out, or I fear that we will turn into another Texas.

[LenaBaby61]

14. "I just hope and pray that McAuliff can pull this one out."

I feel your pain, as I live in California and had to endure all of those "polls" which said that Newsom could lose his sham re-call election to self-hating, black, tRump twin Elder. But I was never worried. I knew that California would never allow a black tRumper to run the governorship of the 5th largest economy in the world, and as we saw Elder got his doors blown off by Governor Newsom in that sham of a recall race. Besides, we have a deep blue legislature which would have all but stopped that clown Elder from accomplishing much. Hell, I didn't want him accomplishing anything nor be Gov. of California.

I trust the Cook Political Report, but still think that McAuliff will win the governorship of Virginia.

[colsohlibgal]

6. Encouraging

Since the likely Republican voters will keep expiring from Covid because they tend to not get vaccinated mostly to “own the Libs”.

[Dawson Leery]

7. Amy Walter along with Wasserman/Enten/Cohn/Kornacki

never have anything good to say about Democrats. That SOB Enten has an article at CNN arguing the CA recall results are a disaster for Democrats next year.

[left-of-center2012]

8. This thread is about 'The nonpartisan Cook Political Report'

How did Amy Walter along with Wasserman/Enten/Cohn/Kornacki get in on it?

[Dawson Leery]

9. Amy Walter runs Cook now.

[left-of-center2012]

10. 'Media Bias Fact Check' say about The Cook Political Report ...

https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/cook-political-report/

"Overall, we rate The Cook Political Report 'Least Biased'* based on a long track record of calling races based on known data. We also rate them High for factual reporting due to proper sourcing and a clean fact check record."




*LEAST BIASED
These sources have minimal bias and use very few loaded words (wording that attempts to influence an audience by using appeal to emotion or stereotypes). The reporting is factual and usually sourced. These are the most credible media sources.

[Dawson Leery]

11. That is the opinion.

[left-of-center2012]

13. Opinion?

They do research on the sites.

[BradAllison]

20. Sooooo, basically you hate every poll person? n/m

[helpisontheway]

12. I have a bad feeling about this one..

The right wing in VA is livid about the changes that Northam has made. Plus Biden’s numbers are low now. I don’t think he could help him much. I wish Obama could swing through here and get democrats excited and ready to vote. I guess we will start seeing signs soon. Usually there are signs everywhere. McCauliffe has Facebook ads with polls showing the race essentially tied. Not sure if he believes the race is tied or if he is just trying to raise more money. Hope VA does not flip red again.

[elleng]

16. Obama help sounds like a good idea.

Facebook ads supposed to help???

[elleng]

15. McAuliffe used to be a smart guy, right?

Wassup?

[angrychair]

18. Not saying people should take this lightly

BUT Hampton Roads, Richmond and NOVA are where like 70% of the population lives and are strong Democratic strongholds.
We should still GOTV and work the phone lines but I don't see the trump cutout becoming govenor.

[alphafemale]

19. Freaking people out worked well to GOTV in CA

Whatever it takes.

[honest.abe]

21. Saw a bunch of Youngkin signs and ads here in Virginia Beach area.

Have not seen a single McCaullife sign or ad. Not good.