Obama clings to slim lead in Virginia, according to poll

[BainsBane]

Source: Washington Post

President Obama is clinging to a slender four-point lead over Republican Mitt Romney in Virginia as both sides ramp up already aggressive campaigns in the crucial battleground state, according to a new Washington Post poll.

Obama outpolled Romney, 51 to 47 percent, among likely Virginia voters, although he lost the clearer 52-to-44 percent advantage he held in mid-September.

Unlike in national polls, Obama still has an edge when Virginia voters are asked who better understands their financial problems, and he has not fallen behind a surging Romney on the question of who would better handle the national economy. Nor has Obama lost significant ground among self-identified independents in Virginia, as he has nationally. . .

Perhaps the poll’s most striking insight concerns the many voters the two campaigns have contacted in Virginia this fall. A staggering 44 percent of likely voters polled said they had been contacted by the Obama campaign; 41 percent said the same of Romney’s. More than one in four of had heard from both campaigns.



Read more: http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/2012/10/27/6ce69246-2057-11e2-9cd5-b55c38388962_story.html

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Romney cannot win the election if the President's lead holds in Ohio and Virginia.

[craigmatic]

1. Since when is a 4 point lead slender? It's not like he's clinging either because his numbers are

going up.

[Justice4All1]

7. Well, you didn't get the memo? When Myth's +3 he's ahead but when Obama +7 it's a small lead or tie

Just remember that from now on.
Obama went down 1 point from last month when he polled 52-44

[davidpdx]

21. I think that was the same memo that said

A black man couldn't win a southern state. We sure did fool them didn't we.

[BainsBane]

8. agree

but I couldn't put the headline I would have chosen because of the rules in this forum.
This is fantastic news!

[Hawaii Hiker]

10. exactly....Obama +4 in a state like VA (and over 50% to) is impressive

If Obama was leading NY by +4 THAT would be slender (he's leading by 29% in NY by the way)

Obama 51-47% in Virginia at this late stage is damn impressive..

[winstars]

2. "slim lead" or "essentially tied" the MSM refuses to say WE ARE GONNA WIN THIS!!!

The Washington Post, CNN et al can't bring themselves to give up this frigging horse race thing. Its getting funny for me although more and more exasperating each day.

[Justice4All1]

3. How do you break a lead when your opponent is over 50?

And worse your opponent is more trusted on Middle Class and better for jobs & the economy.
That's RMoney's problem in VA, OH, WI & NV, why he'll never win those states but Obama can still convince Fl how bad Myth would be for them & the US.

[Thrill]

4. Well at least they didn't call it

a tie

[David Zephyr]

5. Virginia can end the entire thing early on. Come on Virginia!

Ohio is ours. Virginia would put our President over the top.

[ohheckyeah]

20. We're working on it...

we don't have early voting except in very specific cases but we'll work to get out the vote....Sandy or no Sandy.

[davidpdx]

22. Yeah, but I keep hoping Sandy will hit farther north

It looks like the bottom part could hit NoVa. While I sure don't want anyone to be in danger, I worry about the swing states having good weather. NH might really be in trouble.

[ohheckyeah]

23. I think it will be okay.

The worst will probably be the middle of this coming week, well before the election.

[davidpdx]

24. Thanks for that

I'll be watching closely from Korea as I usually do. We get our share of typhoons here so I have a little bit of an idea what they are like. We don't get them near as bad as the ones that hit the Southern and East coast of the US though. I grew up in Oregon so I hadn't been through one until I came here.

[ohheckyeah]

25. I lived in northern Virginia and

we had some horrendous snow storms....we were pretty hardy. Just dug our cars out and went about our business. I live in rural VA now in the mountains and we have to be prepared for stuff like this. The last storm that hit here we went out that night in the 4 wheel drive truck just to see how much damage there was. We're kind of used to it.

I used to live in Florida, too and went through a number of hurricanes. I'll take a hurricane over a tornado any day. The worst hurricanes are the ones that spawn tornadoes. Those are a freaking nightmare.

[davidpdx]

29. I love the snow storms

In Portland we rarely got much snow, but my first year in college we got a real dozy of a storm in the late afternoon. Two people went out front of our dorm and started a snowball fight and a little while later there were about 60 of us. The buses came right down the street in front of the dorm, so every time one would come people would yell "bus" and we'd each have a couple snowballs to pummel the poor bus. They must have really hated us.

[TheCowsCameHome]

6. Four points is slim?

I'll take it any day.

[chuckstevens]

9. If we win in Virginia

I still say, if we win in Virgina, we can lose Florida and Ohio and still win the election. GOTV!!!!!!!

[BainsBane]

12. We are winning Ohio

So if we win Virginia, Romney cannot become President. America will be a much better place as a result.

[Justice4All1]

15. Are you kidding? Have you seen all the polls for VA these past few months? We will win VA

The president has led in each poll for the past few months.
Except for a few gravis, Ras polls the past 2 weeks, we have been winning VA & will win it
Even Gravis is giving VA to Obama again.

If only we could drop Cantor too....oh please, God drop Cantor the jerk.

[Cha]

11. KNR.. Thanks BainsBane! I'll take that healthy lead!

[ffr]

13. Amoungst landline phone users

Unfortunately, people who don't own a landline, like myself, never get polled, and therefore the poll is under represented by young people.

[BainsBane]

14. which would men it understates the President's lead

right?

[LisaL]

16. Yes.

If they only used landlines, the actual lead could be even bigger.

[obxhead]

17. A four point lead in a state with a 44 year history of going red is not "slim."

LOTS of Dem signs on lawns here in the red part of VA that had McCain signs up 4 years ago. I think VA will go bluer than it did 4 years ago.

[joefree1]

18. Gotta agree, 4 points is not slim

Get out the forks, Mittwits is cooked

[TahitiNut]

19. Virginia Slims?

[0rganism]

26. poll margin double standard pisses me off

For Obama, +4 in VA is "clinging to a slim lead"
If Romney were +4 in VA, it'd be an "immense blowout mandate" or some other silly shit.

When Obama's up by 2, he's "within the margin of error."
When Romney's up by 2, he's "opened up a strong lead."

I'm gettin' mighty sick of this.

[Ash_F]

27. It's the post, what do you expect?

Best advice: don't read the post

[0rganism]

31. it's not just the post, its EVERY major media outlet in the country

what am i going to do, avoid all mass media until Nov. 7? what if there's an election dispute that drags out for another month?

[Mister Ed]

28. M$M clings to notion that Romney might win. n/t

[Si MC]

30. Of course, Fox News has a poll with Romney ahead

by 2 points! Sure! Fox News, fair and balanced, my rear end!