Venezuela Releases Imprisoned Americans After Talks With U.S.
Source: New York Times
Venezuelas authoritarian government on Tuesday released at least two imprisoned Americans, an American official and Venezuelan human rights defenders said, a potential turning point in the Biden administrations relationship with Russias staunchest ally in the Western Hemisphere. The release followed a rare trip by a high-level U.S. delegation to Venezuela over the weekend to meet with President Nicolás Maduro, part of a broader Biden administration agenda in autocratic countries that may be rethinking their ties with President Vladimir V. Putin in the aftermath of Russias invasion of Ukraine.
The talks with Venezuela, which has enormous proven oil reserves, assumed new urgency after President Biden announced Tuesday that the United States would ban Russian oil and gas imports because of the invasion. That move is expected to further tighten the availability of crude oil on the global market, and could raise gas prices at a moment when inflation has climbed at its fastest pace in 40 years. This is a step that were taking to inflict further pain on Putin, but there will be costs as well here in the United States, Mr. Biden said of the ban on Russian oil.
American officials said that the prisoner release was not part of a deal with Venezuela to restart oil sales to the United States, which were banned under the Trump administration. For weeks, American business people who have worked in Venezuela have had back-channel discussions about resuming Americas oil trade with Mr. Maduros government.Venezuela could eventually help make up some of the shortfall caused by the ban on Russian oil. But industry experts warned that Venezuelan oil supplies would do little to tame American gas prices and inflation quickly.
Increasing the countrys production may take time after the years of mismanagement and underinvestment that have decimated the countrys energy sector. Prominent members of Congress have also come out against efforts to thaw relations with Mr. Maduro, whose government has been accused by the United Nations of systematic human rights violations.Nicolás Maduro is a cancer to our hemisphere and we should not breathe new life into his reign of torture and murder, Senator Bob Menendez, a New Jersey Democrat who leads the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said Monday in a statement.
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/08/world/americas/venezuela-american-prisoner-release.html
This is some serious behind-the-scenes maneuvering here.
Cheezoholic
(2,018 posts)it sucks some of the nasty palms one must grease on the path to righteousness
BumRushDaShow
(128,900 posts)(going all around Saudi and the UAE to boot)
herding cats
(19,564 posts)Qatar mediates between Iran and US in nuclear talks
Qatar has stepped up its role in mediating between the US and Iran as western powers have been striving to convince wary Iranian leaders to ink a deal to revive the 2015 nuclear accord, according to people briefed on the talks.
After 11 months of EU-brokered indirect talks in Vienna, officials say time is running out. The Gulf state has been acting as an intermediary at the request of both Washington and Tehran, complementing the talks in the Austrian capital, in an effort to build trust between the longtime foes.
Doha has ferried messages between the protagonists and sought to allay Iranian concerns, including those related to its demand that the Biden administration provide a guarantee that no future US government is able to unilaterally abandon the deal, as former president Donald Trump did in 2018.
Qatari officials have also been working to facilitate direct talks between Washington and Tehran, should a deal be reached, to ensure that any outstanding issues, such as prisoner exchanges and additional sanctions relief, could be addressed in the future, a diplomat briefed on the talks said.
Both sides really need a deal, and theres a willingness on both sides, but the biggest problem is trust, the diplomat said. They each think the other side doesnt want it, which is not legitimate.
https://www.ft.com/content/1d93fef9-06f4-459f-9266-5d3b9272a495
So much going on right now.
BumRushDaShow
(128,900 posts)I knew they would be working to get back to it.
Near the bottom of the NYT article is this -
Selling directly to the United States would also allow Mr. Maduro to reap full profits from the highest oil prices in more than a decade, instead of selling the crude at deep discount to a network of middlemen used to bypass the U.S. ban, they said.
Before that ban, Venezuela exported most of its oil to the United States, whose Gulf refineries were built to process the countrys heavy crude.
Someone was waving some "g"s.
herding cats
(19,564 posts)Russia isn't a very useful pal right now either. Putin has been leaving Maduro on read since he's so busy, and Russia doesn't have any extra cash to spare in South American ATM.
All we have to do is buy their oil at market price and Maduro will be thrilled to sell it to us.
BumRushDaShow
(128,900 posts)as I think the article noted - the "electronic" financial channels are or are being completely cut off so it would be difficult for any transactions to occur between Venezuela and Russia at the moment and probably near impossible in the future as more channels get shut down.
I know Menendez is about to kick up a fuss but see I know that decades before Menendez was elected Senator and ended up on that Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Biden was not only ON that Committee but had been both Ranking Member and Chair for years. So Biden knows all the behind the scenes stuff in terms of foreign dealings (which was why Obama picked him for VP - to bolster that aspect of the administration).
herding cats
(19,564 posts)It most definitely is some serious maneuvering!
hlthe2b
(102,234 posts)Judi Lynn
(160,525 posts)Venezuela: 2 US mercenaries among those nabbed after raid
By SCOTT SMITH and JOSHUA GOODMAN
May 4, 2020
CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro said authorities arrested two U.S. citizens among a group of mercenaries on Monday, a day after a beach raid purportedly aimed at capturing the socialist leader that authorities say they foiled.
Maduro held up a pair of blue U.S. passports, reading off the names and birth dates on them in a nationwide broadcast on state television. He showed images of the fishing boats the alleged attackers rode in on and equipment like walkie-talkies and night-vision glasses collected in what Maduro called an intense couple of days. He blamed the attacks on the Trump administration and neighboring Colombia, both of which have denied involvement.
The United States government is fully and completely involved in this defeated raid, Maduro said, praising members of a fishing village for cornering one group in the sweep netting the professional American mercenaries. Before dawn on Sunday, officials say the first attack started on a beach near Venezuelas port city of La Guaira, when security forces made the first two arrests and killed eight others attempting to make a landing by speedboats.
. . .
The two U.S. citizens arrested Monday were identified as as Luke Denman and Airan Berry, both former U.S. special forces soldiers. Florida-based ex-Green Beret Jordan Goudreau said earlier Monday that he was working with the two men in a mission intending to detain Maduro and liberate Venezuela. Goudreau has claimed responsibility for the operation.
More:
https://apnews.com/article/caribbean-ap-top-news-venezuela-international-news-television-fb3b0e84b1d58cb876fd38c7a9493fd5
Judi Lynn
(160,525 posts)REGINA GARCIA CANO, JOSHUA GOODMAN and ERIC TUCKER,
Associated Press
March 8, 2022
Updated: March 8, 2022 8:51 p.m.
CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) The Venezuelan government freed at least one jailed American on Tuesday night as it seeks to improve relations with the Biden administration, which is looking to undercut support for Russia in Latin America.
A nongovernmental group that tracks arbitrary detentions and another person familiar with the matter confirmed to The Associated Press the release of Gustavo Cardenas, one of six oil executives jailed for more than four years.
. . .
Three other Americans are also being held in Venezuela two former Green Berets, Luke Denman and Airan Berry, who were arrested for their involvement in a confusing plot to overthrow Maduro, and former U.S. Marine Matthew Heath, detained on weapons charges.
. . .
The weekend discussions came a little more than three years after the U.S. broke off relations with Maduro and recognized opposition leader Juan Guaidó as Venezuelas legitimate leader. The talks came together after months of backchannel efforts by intermediaries American lobbyists, Norwegian diplomats and international oil executives who have been pushing for U.S. President Joe Biden to revisit the so-far-unsuccessful maximum pressure campaign to unseat Maduro that he inherited from the Trump administration.
More:
https://www.chron.com/news/article/Maduro-signals-interest-in-better-Venezuela-US-16985526.php
Hulk
(6,699 posts)WE don't have to buy their oil...but Europe and much of the rest of the world sure could use a shot of oil...especially at these inflated prices.
Muduro is a piece of shit...but his country NEEDS the revenue!
James48
(4,435 posts)The Biden administration is quietly working to resolve issues and open communications that could lead to both Iran and Venezuela suddenly having improved relations and new oil sales.
And I bet several big oil companies are ready to walk in and help renew and rebuild both nations oil industries.
Who could guess?
rpannier
(24,329 posts)on Saudi Arabia, the UAE. Bahrain and Guinea-Bissau
PufPuf23
(8,769 posts)The World's two largest refineries were in the Dutch Antilles, specifically Curacao and Aruba.
The two refineries manufactured the majority of aviation fuel used by the Allies in Europe.
The crude came from the Maracaibo Basin in western Venezuela, the richest oil patch in the Western hemisphere.
BumRushDaShow
(128,900 posts)And especially since I found this from last year -
Aruba looks towards long-idled oil refinery, as tourism drop pummels economy
By Luc Cohen
SAN NICOLAS, Aruba, April 19 (Reuters) - A collapse in tourism due to the coronavirus pandemic has sent Aruba toward one of the world's biggest economic contractions, prompting the island to try to diversify beyond its sun and sand image, namely by restarting a long-idled oil refinery. Assistance from the Netherlands helped the Caribbean island finance a stimulus program, blunting the impact of the economy's 25.5% contraction on workers and businesses in 2020. That downturn was behind only Libya, Maldives and Venezuela, International Monetary Fund (IMF) data show.
But those subsidies led to an increase in Aruba's fiscal deficit to 17% of gross domestic product (GDP), according to the IMF, prompting some experts and residents to argue the island should diversify its economy to ensure the government can balance its budget without Dutch assistance. The 67% drop in tourism arrivals was devastating for small businesses like Aruba Bob Snorkeling, which used to run multiple tours a day before the COVID-19 pandemic hit.
"When COVID came around, they just came crashing down to once a day, once or twice a week, and then to nothing at all," said instructor and part-owner Jesus Maduro, 30, while sipping coffee under the shade of solar panels in the company's tree-filled backyard. But the company kept up rent and electricity payments thanks to quarterly 4,000 florin ($2,247.19) subsidies from the government. Such payments helped keep company closures below 2019 levels, said Martijn Balkestein, executive director of Aruba's Chamber of Commerce.
As a constituent country of the Kingdom of the Netherlands, Aruba is receiving assistance from Amsterdam. The Netherlands has agreed to cover Aruba's financing needs during the pandemic contingent on economic reforms, such as cuts in public sector salaries implemented last year. But Dutch officials have said they ultimately expect Aruba, as well as other constituent Caribbean islands Curacao and Sint Maarten - which are part of the Kingdom of the Netherlands but have autonomy over domestic affairs - to be self-reliant.
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/aruba-looks-towards-long-idled-oil-refinery-tourism-drop-pummels-economy-2021-04-19/
It would not be surprising to see the refinery in Aruba that the article mentions was considering restarting, would be something that got fast-tracked, considering you have this fact -
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=33732
The Netherlands has probably already started making some phone calls and whatnot as one of the biggest importers of Russian oil/gas behind China and alongside Germany.
In fact, I just found this more recent chart -
(graphic from and article here - https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/russia-oil-uk-ban-ukraine-b2031228.html)
dalton99a
(81,464 posts)BumRushDaShow
(128,900 posts)Libyas national oil company says that an armed group has shut down two crucial oil fields, causing the countrys daily production of oil to drop by 330,000 barrels
By BY SAMY MAGDY Associated Press
March 6, 2022, 12:15 PM
CAIRO -- Libyas national oil company said Sunday that an armed group has shut down two crucial oil fields, causing the country's daily production of oil to drop by 330,000 barrels. The state-run National Oil Corporation said the group closed pump valves at the Sharara field, Libyas largest, and el-Feel, effectively stopping production in both areas. Before the shutdown, Libyas production of oil was at around 1.2 billion barrels per day.
Company head Mustafa Sanallah announced a force majeure, a legal maneuver that lets a company get out of its contracts because of extraordinary circumstances. He said the closures cost Libya more than $160 million ($34.6 million) per day in lost revenues. Sanallah said the NOC has urged public prosecutors to take deterrent measures and reveal the planners, executors and the beneficiaries of the shutdown. The same militia disrupted oil production at both fields in 2014 and 2016, he added.
An oil official in the capital Tripoli said the militia that shut down the fields is from the mountainous town of Zintan, around 136 kilometers (over 84 miles) southwest of Tripoli. Tribal leaders in the area were negotiating with the militia leaders to allow the resumption of oil production, said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to brief the media.
The shutdown came as the Russian invasion of Ukraine has shaken markets worldwide, causing crude oil prices to soar above $115 per barrel. Libya has the ninth largest known oil reserves in the world, and the biggest oil reserves in Africa. The dizzying developments in Libyas oil fields have come amid a mounting standoff between two rival governments which threaten to again drag the country into chaotic infighting.
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/libya-oil-production-falls-crucial-fields-shut-83283515
I suppose if one looks at all the previous "axis of evil" and "banned" oil producers, Libya's looks to be the trickiest to deal with due to their continual sectarian/tribal kingdom issues. But Venezuela and Iran (where the latter is being furiously worked on to get that original Kerry agreement back in force), could be potential supplements for the short term.
IronLionZion
(45,433 posts)so the current supply/demand situation could help their people but I wouldn't hold my breath. Corruption and mismanagement is a major problem there. Maduro needs to go.
BumRushDaShow
(128,900 posts)trusted Chavez more than this guy... but an opportunity opened up to get oil back in supply (at least in terms of calming the legit futures traders vs the speculators who are gouging). And it's not for us but for Europe who has pinned most of their energy needs to Russia and are now in a bind.
And that would parallel this Venezuela effort would be what is going on with respect to negotiations with Iran and getting their agreement back in place, and that would probably mean the potential for getting their oil back into circulation.
It normally would be a tall order to "turn" Putin-supporting heads of state but the $$$$ is too tempting and a brand new marketplace has just opened up.
I also noticed that OPEC has seemingly been left out of these discussions.
IronLionZion
(45,433 posts)They have decided not to increase production to compensate for Russia. Oil investors took a major hit during COVID and don't want to invest in more drilling when they can reap profits now without it.
BumRushDaShow
(128,900 posts)And they effectively "ignored OPEC" as they dumped oil onto the market for a couple months (and I still post this image) -
This is how one peels away countries to stroke their self-interests.
IronLionZion
(45,433 posts)Are they paying people to take it?
BumRushDaShow
(128,900 posts)"paying people" (or at least offering to do so) to store the excess! I know that is the last thing that any producer would want to do.
roody
(10,849 posts)Oh yeah, we have always been at war with Eurasia.
BumRushDaShow
(128,900 posts)they really don't have much of a choice at this point.
Like Zelensky, Guaido is "young" (in fact he is younger than Zelensky) and unfortunately (or maybe "fortunately" as a teaching tool) what is going on now is a lesson in how real "world politics" happens. Maduro is old enough to be his father and probably knows the ropes.
When a new leader comes into power in another country, other leaders have had to learn to adapt. Certainly after Obama left and before Biden came into office, the world saw that stark reality from this country.