Bitcoin tumbles more than 50% below its all-time high as crypto plunges again
Source: CNN
The world's most valuable cryptocurrency was down 5% Monday after plunging again over the weekend. Bitcoin prices have now plummeted nearly 15% in the past week. At a price of just above $32,000, bitcoin is more than 50% below its record high of near $69,000 from late last year and at its lowest point since July 2021.
Other cryptocurrencies, sometimes referred to as altcoins, have been hit hard too. Ethereum, binance, solana and cardano are all down about 15% in the past week, while Elon Musk's beloved dogecoin has tumbled 10%.
Cryptocurrencies are proving to be just as risky as stocks and susceptible to the same concerns that are dragging down the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
"Volatile trading in digital assets has not been that unusual in previous years," said Michael Kamerman, CEO of trading platform Skilling. "Cryptocurrencies are increasingly moving in sync with tech stocks with investors treating both as risk assets and often retreating to safer corners of the market during bouts of market volatility."
Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2022/05/09/investing/bitcoin-price-cryptocurrencies-stock/index.html
Can anyone explain why bitcoin is something other than a scheme for money laundering and hiding online purchases?
IronLionZion
(45,447 posts)It has to be frustrating to price things in Bitcoin.
bucolic_frolic
(43,173 posts)Inflation would have happened in 2016 without Bitcoin. But low interest rates distorted the economy anyway, encouraging massive investment in everything that will now be unsustainable.
How does Dow 17,400 sound to you?
xocetaceans
(3,871 posts)And was that a binary prediction, or was it a quantitative prediction with error bars?
I'm just curious, because it has always seemed that economic theories are not predictive in the way that scientific theories actually are.
bucolic_frolic
(43,173 posts)I believe my own sh*t. But I do have an economics degree, so there is that. I'm critical of most brands of economics, because they use theories to describe reality, and often are way off. Perhaps I am too.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)What is going to be interesting is whether the fed can continue is pace of tightening. I'm thinking that it cannot do so without bankrupting pretty much everyone. Not to mention the risk to the US debt situation.
Inflation is about the only way out of our debt mess.
Would love to hear your thoughts on the situation.
xocetaceans
(3,871 posts)have always wondered if I missed something by not studying economics.
Economics, obviously, has a large amount of literature associated with it, but not having studied it, I've always wondered how close to repeatable experiments economic theory has ever come. I've also wondered if it were too unfair to view economics as a special branch of history.
(Relative to bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, I've wondered what their true "cost" ( I use this term very loosely in that I have no firm definition in mind in naming this as a "cost" ) is in terms of externalized factors that might not be being included in the discussion.)
Anyway, thank you for your reply - I appreciate it.
XanaDUer2
(10,680 posts)I don't get bitcoin and want nothing to do with it
PSPS
(13,600 posts)Bitcoin's only value is within the criminal world of ransomware, drugs and child pornography.
AZLD4Candidate
(5,697 posts)and everything I read about it solidifies that conviction.
NBachers
(17,117 posts)jmowreader
(50,559 posts)President Biden only has six more years to be hated.
On the other hand, a Fuck Donald Trump coin would be eternal.
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)Eventually you run out of greater fools.
CrispyQ
(36,470 posts)She never watches the price. When it reached 69K I told her, but she said, "My plan is to just hang onto it."
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)it will continue to increase in value. This is just a short-term dip based on macro conditions.
getagrip_already
(14,759 posts)What exactly underpins the price of ecoins?
Nothing.
It can deflate a lot faster than it rose. Once people see it as a falling knife, nobody will be buying.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)Nothing. Just a shiny rock. It has value because people agree it has value. Similar to all abstract forms of value used for exchange.
BTC is a store of value in the same way gold is a store of value.
Much of the rest of cryptocurrency (e.g., ETH), has massive use cases in rebuilding and decentralizing finance through smart contracts.
I wish more around here knew about it, because it fits very well with progressive ethics. Removing the gatekeepers and toll takers from the system so money is more free and democratic. Reduce the power of goldman, etc.
Then there is gaming, property rights management, reformation of the music industry to give artists more of what they earn.
I really encourage everyone to educate themselves about the possibilities.
rpannier
(24,329 posts)tax evasion
less money for schools, roads and other infrastructure
I hear it's quite popular with human traffickers and assassins
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)It is called a public block chain for a reason. Every transaction ever made can be traced. It is terrible for hiding money or criminal transactions.
Maybe early on before authorities (or the criminals) understood about blockchain technology it was partially used for criminal purposes. Now you would have to be a fool to do so. Remember Silk Road? It got brought down in large part because the authorities could trace all of the payments.
Visa, mastercard, cash, wire transfers, diamonds, foriegn banks. They have 99.9% of the criminal transactions flowing over them. Tax evasion is handled by lawyers and accountants and foreign banks.
Those arguments are almost a decade out of date and has been disproven again and again.
I urge you to educate yourself about blockchain technology. It aligns with progressive ideals of removing corruption and flattening the financial system to make it more fair for average people, among dozens of other benefits.
Lucky Luciano
(11,257 posts)
only fiat currencies are susceptible to inflation. Bitcoin with its limited supply will never have to deal with inflation! LOL
Bitcoin has been down a lot exactly when we were experiencing extreme inflation and it has proven to be a useless inflation hedge.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)And is currently correlated with tech stocks. Long term (think 10+ years), btc will start to act a lot more like gold.
Lucky Luciano
(11,257 posts)
they cash out some bitcoin to not go broke. The correlation makes a lot of sense.
Look, I play along with betting on bitcoin here and there, but ultimately I think its stupid and I would like it to go to zero just to tell the fanbois to stfu. They need to be taken down 10 notches for thinking theyre geniuses because gambling happened to work out. That said, SBF was genuinely smart with bitcoin. He did a real arbitrage over and over because he put in the work and didnt have to give a shit about bitcoin itself other than hoping liquidity stayed high for long enough to execute the arb as often as he did. The arb did require considerable operational effort. I can respect that as being smart. I cannot Respect some dope who got lucky buying Shiba coins.
Not sure why Satoshi, some random anonymous person, gets to create money.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)BTC maxis are annoying as hell. Don't even get me started on Shiba and its bastard progeny.
I hold some BTC as a long-term investment. But the real action is in ETH and alt-coins that have utility.
As an aside, it was not Satoshi that gets to create money. He just created technology in response the the central bank fucking over the average person during the housing crisis while protecting the banks.
BTC only has value because people believe it to have value. This is historically how money works. Whether it is sea shells, salt, silver, gold or now paper money.
It has only been recently when central banks have had such a strangle hold on money that they have been able to use it as a weapon to punish people they find undeserving and protecting those they like (exactly what happened in 2008).
Pretty sure you know all of the above - not trying to talk down to you - but figured the others reading this would appreciate the background (or not!)
Lucky Luciano
(11,257 posts)The reality will be that the few crypto whales out there will be the new oligarchy, so the argument that this is progressive is not clear at all. Many of the whales are hedge fund and prop shop guys!
There are lots of hard right libertarian magats big into crypto too that just want to get rich in the new paradigm. If they succeed, they will be tomorrows economic assholes.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)But they will provide balance to them. Help keep them from the worst of their excesses because there is actually competition.
Look at the IMF. They are scared shitless about BTC. So much so, they are making its regulation and non-use a condition of future loans. The IMF has singularly caused more death and destruction through wrong financial requirements than most wars in history. All they do is protect rich nations at the expense of poor ones.
True, lots of libertarians into crypto. Does not mean they are wrong just because they are wrong about most other things. Progressives really should be on board - there is a lot more aligned with progressive ideals than libertarian ones. Including UBI, which crypto makes more possible. Including providing transparency for how we spend money. Crypto can shine daylight into corrupt government handouts to corporations and big political doners, for example.
Jose Garcia
(2,598 posts)his cryptocurrancy exchange Superbowl ad.
in2herbs
(2,945 posts)bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies without their express knowledge and without Fidelity disclosing that they are a major investor in the mining of bitcoin. The article said Eliz Warren was investigating. I wonder how many Fidelity 401(k)s lost money today.
Are you sure this is true. I read they were going to offer a new 'Digital Asset Account' that people need to specifically opt-in to. That is much different than investing without express knowledge.
A bigger issue here is why the hell is it even possible for crypto to be allowed Tax-deferred retirement status by the IRS. It is so highly speculative, it should be non-retirement accounts only.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)Fidelity announced that it was going to make BTC available as an option in certain accounts. They certainly have not "placed" it in anyone's account without permission or direction.
Personally I think it would be a bad idea to not offer it. People should be allowed to make their own investment decisions and allocate risk in a way that suits them best.
kirby
(4,441 posts)Cryptocurrency is not an 'investment', it is pure speculation with no underlying asset. If people want to put their money in it, we taxpayers should not be giving them preferential tax deferred status. I still say Fidelity should only offer it in non retirement accounts that don't have the preferential tax status. (and maybe Roth accounts)
That is more of a policy discussion about whether it should be allowed in tax advantaged accounts. Reasonable minds can disagree.
BUT, will take the stand that cryptocurrency is absolutely an investment. There are billions of dollars in venture capital going into the the field to create new markets, modernize financial systems, create a whole new set of technology.
Literally, it is the beginning of a whole new type of industry that will impact the way we do things in society on a scale similar to the internet.
in2herbs
(2,945 posts)on DU within the past week. I'm not going to spend time looking for it and I decided not to get too upset about this issue as well cuz Eliz Warren is on it.
Trueblue1968
(17,223 posts)oldsoftie
(12,551 posts)NO major company is going to take the risk of investing in things their customers aren't aware of.
in2herbs
(2,945 posts)the letter the Cte. she is on.
oldsoftie
(12,551 posts)turbinetree
(24,703 posts)has this title's : Looted How private equity is stripping America for parts
When one reads the articles about this "private equity" and then link them to how these "coins" are working tandem with each other, I think Elizabeth Warren is correct....these "firms" need to be pulled into the regulatory market instead of using Puerto Rico as a safe haven to do what they do.......
https://lifeafarcapital.com/why-cryptocurrency-investors-should-think-about-moving-to-puerto-rico/#:~:text=As%20of%20January%201st%2C%202020,appreciation%20of%20securities%20%E2%80%93%20like%20cryptocurrencies.
Orrex
(63,213 posts)orwell
(7,773 posts)...and other "proof of work" Cryptos do have the "advantage" of using massive amounts of energy to mine them into existence, in a world where energy is rapidly exploding in price and contracting in availability.
There's always that silver lining...
muriel_volestrangler
(101,320 posts)They have always been far more risky. Why is CNN letting someone ignorant write on this subject?
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)I get that most people don't know much about cryptocurrency and why it is valuable and the important role it serves. But every point made so far is so wrong and disproven it is laughable. It's almost like listening to people in 1980 discuss how this whole computer thing is a ridiculous fad.
JCMach1
(27,559 posts)To hear Blockchain, ledgers, DeFi, Lightning Payments, etc. I will be glad to.
However,.not really interested in discussing this with people whose first response is to shutdown discussion by saying: tulips...
Personally, I am not willing to surrender revolutionary technology to libertarians and RW trolls, so I will soldier on whatever the Luddite left says.
This tech has the potential to bring progressive ideals to fruition. It is a shame that it is viewed so negatively by most on this board.
Maybe we can get a group going to have real, rational discussions and education?
oldsoftie
(12,551 posts)You look like a fool today. Unless you converted it to something else right after the sale. If you BOUGHT the car, you probably feel great!
Anything that volatile can't be a reliable currency without some kind of control.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)BTC, like most cryptocurrency, is in price discovery mode. So it is going to be more volatile than gold, for example.
But if you put $1000 in gold under your matress two years ago, it would be worth about $1050 today. $1000 in cash under your mattress two years ago (or even in a savings account), would be worth about $900 today. $1000 worth of bitcoin would be worth about $3000 today.
All the controls by the central bank have done over the years is devalue the US Dollar. And now we are paying for it. And it is about to get a whole lot worse.
Justice matters.
(6,929 posts)But, hey, who cares... we may disrupt the natural food chain but short-term profits are a lot more important than massive extinction-level crisis full of METHANE up in the air...
Yea. We will "adapt" to chemical foods or we'll just die.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)BTC and ETH are the only cryptocurrencies (other than a few microscopic ones) that currently use proof of work. ETH will stop using proof of work sometimes this year.
BTC is quickly making massive improvements in its environmental profile. It seeks out cheap energy, and renewables are becoming the cheapest. A large and growing percentage of its energy is supplied by renewables and stranded energy sources. For example, miners are starting to be placed to consume methane from garbage dumps, natural gas and methane that are byproducts of the oil industry (and are either currently flared or leaked because it is not economic to capture). Not to mention the whole argument that the social utility of BTC is worth the cost.
Justice matters.
(6,929 posts)Recently, however, China cracked down on mining out of concerns about cryptocurrencys financial risks and enormous energy consumption that works against Chinas goal to be carbon neutral by 2060. As a result, many Chinese bitcoin miners are trying to move operations to other countries, like Kazakhstan, which relies mainly on fossil fuels for electricity, and the U.S. A number of U.S. states are eager to attract Chinese miners to boost their own economies.
If the miners are unable to move, however, they are selling their equipment to other miners across the globe. U.S. miners themselves are raising hundreds of millions of dollars to invest in bitcoin mining and converting abandoned factories and power plants into large bitcoin mining facilities.
https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2021/09/20/bitcoins-impacts-on-climate-and-the-environment/
My prediction: Just like all the other promises from the G7 countries China will NOT reach its 2060 goal (buying Putler's oil? Really?).
It's a race to the bottom.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)For one, China no longer has any significant mining going on because it has been banned by the central authorities. The US is now the leader in hash rate (measure of mining activity). And the miners are increasingly using green energy to do it.
https://watcher.guru/news/how-bitcoin-mining-can-help-save-the-environment
https://www.livemint.com/market/cryptocurrency/use-of-green-energy-in-bitcoin-mining-jumped-to-56-in-june-quarter-report-11625212165534.html
JCMach1
(27,559 posts)Just one example: a number of mining operations moved to the US in the oil patch where they use blowoff (waste) NG to power operations.
So please, slow down on the big bank propaganda about climate and BTC.
Justice matters.
(6,929 posts)worse since.
JCMach1
(27,559 posts)Ever fly?
Your overwhelming concern about the effects of Bitcoin mining and global warming is noted
EarthFirst
(2,900 posts)I wont go further into it; as the majority wont understand.
Response to groundloop (Original post)
traitorsgalore This message was self-deleted by its author.
GregariousGroundhog
(7,523 posts)oldsoftie
(12,551 posts)Tomorrow the same will happen. But Bitcoin might go up or down $1000
Dollars lose value slowly over a long period of time. Its lost about 30% of its value in the last 12 years. Bitcoin lost that in the past few months.
hueymahl
(2,497 posts)You are not comparing apples to apples.
The dollar will continue to lose value forever. Always has, always will.
We will see about bitcoin. But I am betting bitcoin will be worth three times what it is today in the near future, while the dollar will continue to lose 5-9% of its value for the indefinite future.
hunter
(38,316 posts)... and regulate markets.
Bitcoin is just a "magic" number.
pfitz59
(10,381 posts)Dying a natural death
The traditional financial system is certainly a ponzi that wastes far more energy, computer space and office space than crypto and is dying a natural death. Good riddance to it!