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BumRushDaShow

(129,106 posts)
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 07:08 AM Jul 2022

The euro and the US dollar are at parity for the first time in 20 years

Source: CNN Business

New York (CNN Business)For the first time in 20 years, the exchange rate between the euro (EUU) and the US dollar has reached parity -- meaning the two currencies are worth the same.The euro hit $1 on Tuesday, down about 12% since the start of the year. Fears of recession on the continent abound, stoked by high inflation and energy supply uncertainty caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The European Union, which received roughly 40% of its gas through Russian pipelines before the war, is attempting to reduce its dependence on Russian oil and gas. At the same, Russia has throttled back gas supplies to some EU countries and recently cut the flow in the Nord Stream pipeline to Germany by 60%. Now that critical piece of gas import infrastructure in Europe, has been shut down for scheduled maintenance due to last 10 days.

German officials fear that it may not be turned on again.The energy crisis comes alongside an economic slowdown, which has cast doubts over whether the European Central Bank can adequately tighten policy to bring down inflation. The ECB announced that it will hike interest rates this month for the first time since 2011, as the eurozone inflation rate sits at 8.6%. But some say the ECB is far behind the curve, and that a hard landing is all but inevitable.

Germany recorded its first trade deficit in goods since 1991 last week as fuel prices and general supply chain chaos significantly increased the price of imports. "Given the nature of Germany's exports which are commodity-price sensitive, it remains hard to imagine that the trade balance could improve significantly from here in the next few months given the expected slowdown in the eurozone economy," Saxo Bank foreign exchange strategists wrote in a recent note.

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/12/investing/euro-dollar-parity/index.html

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PJMcK

(22,037 posts)
1. Time to go to Europe
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 07:57 AM
Jul 2022

We were supposed to spend a couple of weeks in the Netherlands at the end of March, 2020. Then Covid hit.

The airline generously held onto our money for redemption any way we wanted on their routes. The hotels refunded our deposits and graciously offered us the same rates when the country re-opened to foreign travel.

With the Euro equal to the dollar, this might be a good summer/fall to make the trip.

If the new Omicron variant doesn't explode...

DFW

(54,408 posts)
2. It was a very brief parity, but the euro is still pretty weak
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 09:13 AM
Jul 2022

For a few moments, the euro hit $0.9999, then bounced back to $1.0056 (as of this minute). With this kind of volatility, it could easily slip back below $1 by the end of today's trading session--or head back to $1.01 in a flurry of profit-taking. It is still at very low levels. But the cost of living in euros is still pretty high except in places like Portugal and parts of Spain.

If you can get there reasonably, and are willing to take the frustrating travel delays, thew crowds and the thieves in stride, it is definitely a good time to visit Europe.

DFW

(54,408 posts)
5. Ya think?
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 09:28 AM
Jul 2022

I'm paid in dollars and live in euros, and get taxed at 67% on the majority of my income.

You better believe I'm watching!!

BumRushDaShow

(129,106 posts)
8. ...
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 09:34 AM
Jul 2022


I did actually find someone's tweet that claimed it did go to 0.99 back on July 5th (briefly). The intraday ups and downs are hard to nail obviously.

DFW

(54,408 posts)
9. Plus, to do that, you have to spend all day glued to a monitor screen.
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 09:45 AM
Jul 2022

I'd go crazy if I had to do that. There is a reason I chose (invented, actually) a job that involved being in a different country every day. It was a guarantee that I would never be stuck in the same place from 9 to 5 every day.

"Yeah, but to do that job on your own, you'd have to speak something like ten languages, and have to be able to detect counterfeit money of various countries, including coins going back to the Age of Pericles."

"OK, so? I can do that."

"Oh. Really? OK. Well, in THAT case............."

FakeNoose

(32,645 posts)
3. I went to Germany in 2002 - the dollar and the euro were equal
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 09:15 AM
Jul 2022

It was a cool trip too! Got to visit East Germany for the first time. Spent a couple days seeing the city of Dresden, the small town of Schneeberg, and the Wartburg castle/monastery where Martin Luther hid from the Pope 500 years ago.

What was interesting about East Germany was at that time, very few East Germans spoke English. Of course that has changed now, but in 2002 the wall had recently come down and the reunification of east and west Germany was taking place. Not many American tourists were visiting those areas yet, and I'm so glad i got to see it.



DFW

(54,408 posts)
6. A guy from my Dutch office visited the East in 1990 before the reunification was even official
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 09:30 AM
Jul 2022

He saw rotary phones being used that still had the swastika emblem on them!

BumRushDaShow

(129,106 posts)
7. Back in '89
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 09:31 AM
Jul 2022

one of my church choir's members (one of the professionals) went over there to perform and went to the wall as people were taking it apart, and brought pieces back for all of us. I still have my piece in a container with all my old leftover currencies saved over the past 50+ years.

I haven't been but one of my sisters has several times for work (various cities).

DFW

(54,408 posts)
10. The place I usually stay in when I have work in Berlin
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 09:55 AM
Jul 2022

It's at Postdamer Platz, right where the wall used to be. The city built a red (not yellow) brick road right through the town to delineate where the wall used to separate the city in two. Sometimes, there are old reruns of East German crime shows, which are fascinating windows into the recent past. Stuff which is sold in toy stores today was used by the East German cops as what passed as high tech back then. Actors that played young assistant cops back then are now old venerated actors in German TV shows. People do adapt. Several times a year, I have working sessions in Frankfurt with a guy from Saxony who still has that thick accent from the east. Nicest guy in the world, and always has stories from back when it was still "the real existing socialism." It was the only game in town, so the people living there adapted to that, as well.

BumRushDaShow

(129,106 posts)
12. I've seen some recent pics of how they modernized the area and main strip along either side
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 10:18 AM
Jul 2022

of where the wall was.

I do sometimes worry that Russia might have its eye on Germany's eastern border though, since Pootie seems to long for "the old days".

FakeNoose

(32,645 posts)
14. Berlin has left up a few blocks of "wall" for the tourists
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 10:38 AM
Jul 2022

On my most recent trip to Berlin in 2015 there were tourist buses pulling over and stopping. A lot of recent graffiti, in many languages and very colorful. The tourists would get out and take their selfies. I'm pretty sure that section will always be there as a reminder, and as a draw for tourists. The rest of the wall has mostly come down, because it was like an ugly scab on a beautiful city.

BumRushDaShow

(129,106 posts)
15. LOL
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 10:58 AM
Jul 2022

I've seen pics of that as a "monument" of sorts to provide perspective.

Gotta thank that "Marshall Plan" - at least for the western side.

DFW

(54,408 posts)
16. I have been to the compound where he used to reside in Potsdam, outside of Berlin.
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 11:46 PM
Jul 2022

His residence was a modest, small house, though probably luxurious by Soviet/East German standards of the day. A few doors down was an open courtyard where he and his pals used to dispatch political prisoners they didn't want to hear from again. The bullet holes still pockmark that wall.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,322 posts)
11. This is an indication of the strength of the dollar, not the weakness of the euro
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 10:11 AM
Jul 2022

The euro is still fairly strong against the yen: https://www.macrotrends.net/2554/euro-japanese-yen-exchange-rate-historical-chart

The dollar's previous high during the last 20 years against the yen had been 125 - now it's over 135: https://www.macrotrends.net/2550/dollar-yen-exchange-rate-historical-chart

Against the pound (inverted, so low means a strong dollar/weak pound): https://www.macrotrends.net/2549/pound-dollar-exchange-rate-historical-chart - pound at its lowest, apart from 1 week at the start of Covid, against the dollar since March 1985.

BumRushDaShow

(129,106 posts)
13. "This is an indication of the strength of the dollar"
Tue Jul 12, 2022, 10:27 AM
Jul 2022

Exactly. But as you know the media here, they must push "The Narrative®" that seeks to make a Carter out of Biden by promoting the end of the world economy as we know it, as being his fault despite a so-far strong jobs report, manufacturing report, and dollar. And at post time, oil (WTI) is down to $97.24/bbl and gasoline prices have been steadily falling.

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