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BumRushDaShow

(129,162 posts)
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 04:40 AM Jul 2022

Covid-19 public health emergency extended in the US

Source: WSIL TV/CNN-Wire

The Biden administration on Friday extended the Covid-19 public health emergency for another three months. US Department of Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra officially renewed the declaration, extending it through October 13, 2022. The emergency declaration has been in place since January 2020, and the latest renewal comes as the Omicron offshoot BA.5, the most contagious variant yet, continues to stake its claim in the US.

Daily case rates, though vastly undercounted, are the highest they've been in months, as are Covid-19 hospitalizations and deaths. Data published this week by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows that more than half of the country's population lives in a county with a "high Covid-19 Community Level," where the health care system is at risk of becoming overburdened and universal indoor masking is recommended.

"The Public Health Emergency declaration continues to provide us with tools and authorities needed to respond to the highly transmissible COVID-19 subvariants that are currently circulating around the country," a Biden administration official told CNN. "The PHE provides essential capabilities and flexibilities to hospitals to better care for patients, particularly if we were to see a significant increase in hospitalizations in the coming weeks." Indeed, ensemble forecasts from the CDC published this week do predict that hospitalizations in the US will rise over the next month.

It's the first time in weeks that the forecasts have predicted an increase in hospitalizations, instead of a stable outlook. "Without the PHE in place, we would be limited in our ability to provide broad and equitable access to lifesaving treatments through our Test to Treat initiative, for example, which relies on flexibility for telehealth and operations," the official said. "Not renewing the PHE would leave us with fewer tools to respond and mean more Americans would get severely ill and end up in the hospital."

Read more: https://www.wsiltv.com/coronavirus/covid-19-public-health-emergency-extended-in-the-us/article_e55745b9-8ef3-5900-b74c-e4353fb616e6.html

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Covid-19 public health emergency extended in the US (Original Post) BumRushDaShow Jul 2022 OP
There's a public health emergency?!? MyMission Jul 2022 #1
I only heard this as I was going to bed last night on my local CBS-affiliate news radio station BumRushDaShow Jul 2022 #2
I'm a statistician by training, and have followed the covid data MyMission Jul 2022 #3
As a former chemist BumRushDaShow Jul 2022 #4
I'm also anticipating a "bivalent/Omicron-targeted vaccine booster this fall" MyMission Jul 2022 #11
Whew! Finally got my second booster Rhiannon12866 Jul 2022 #5
Glad you got that! BumRushDaShow Jul 2022 #6
It took quite awhile to get over the flu Rhiannon12866 Jul 2022 #7
The flu usually takes a couple weeks to get the last of the cough done BumRushDaShow Jul 2022 #8
I don't know what it is I have now, sinus issues and blowing my nose Rhiannon12866 Jul 2022 #9
I think with the resurgence of COVID with the BA.5 variant BumRushDaShow Jul 2022 #10
Thank you, thank you... ultralite001 Jul 2022 #12
LOL BumRushDaShow Jul 2022 #13

MyMission

(1,850 posts)
1. There's a public health emergency?!?
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 09:00 AM
Jul 2022

Could have fooled me. (partial sarcasm)

I see very few indications that we are in an emergent situation, regarding masks, social distancing, and public health alerts. I know we've been in one since 2020, but don't see many behaviors that show others are aware of it.

I've continued to wear a mask. Remember, it's an IQ test, not a political statement. (I've always been told I'm too smart for my own good)

And I'll add this comment. I'm double boosted, but I know it's masking that really helps to contain the spread. I have 2 health nut antivaxer friends who never believed in vaccine's, but they wear masks. I worry for them if they catch it, but at least there are good treatments now. They know, but most people who've been vaccinated think they're immune, don't take precautions and are both catching and spreading it. If the masking messages were stronger, I know most people would wear them. They would also question why they need to both vax and mask.

This article you posted should be headlining on MSM. Didn't see it on CNN.
Thanks for sharing it.

BumRushDaShow

(129,162 posts)
2. I only heard this as I was going to bed last night on my local CBS-affiliate news radio station
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 09:31 AM
Jul 2022

and grabbed the story early this morning.

I think like much of this pandemic - whether how it has manifested in the U.S. "regionally" (bubbling up in some places and almost non-existent in other places that may get impacted a month or two later) or how it has been hitting different countries at different times, I think it has been difficult to deal with regarding nationalized policies, and that is why they have often deferred to the states and counties to handle.

Just today looking at the community spread from CDC's tracker here (data included through to 7/14/22) -



it has reached a point of concern, vs a few weeks ago when you had more areas/states "in the green", with mostly the NE "in the yellow and some red" (and I think the NE was like that back in May and they are now cleared or clearing it and moved to "green" ).

I know in May/June, we in Philly had spiked to "red" and have backed into "yellow" and I just continue to wear my mask regardless (had my 2nd booster May 12).



And the thread I had posted the above in was to someone who was concerned about St. Louis and their spike into "red" -



As you can see in the "background" of the above, how many surrounding states/counties as of June 2, 2022 were "green" but as of this week, are "yellow" and "red" now!

CNN had it in their "Health" category - https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/15/health/covid-public-health-emergency-extended/index.html

MyMission

(1,850 posts)
3. I'm a statistician by training, and have followed the covid data
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 03:43 PM
Jul 2022

For over 2 years I have been observing several trends.
I appreciated and enjoyed the data you shared.

I remember studying trend analysis in grad school 40 years ago.
There are three types of trend analysis methods – geographic, temporal and intuitive.

Just going with my intuitive trend analysis, with temporal and geographic data available over years, I'll share what I've been seeing.

* There is a clear up and down (peaks and valleys, not smooth) trend to covid infections
* Death and hospitalization numbers go up or down several weeks after case numbers do.
* When numbers are higher, people take more precautions (which reduce cases)
* When numbers are down people do not take precautions (which increase numbers,)
* There is some seasonal parallel with cases increasing and decreasing, as well as a "timeframe" for the cycles (which I believe relates to masking and distancing, not just a natural cycle)
* If your neighboring county or state is having a spike, it will reach your area.
* People can be asymptomatic and spread covid.
* Masking will most likely prevent one from catching or spreading covid.

I believe the current spike is due to most people acting like there's not a public health emergency, not wearing masks or social distancing, not testing, and yet another variant. New variants will keep coming. The vaccines and new treatments will prevent severe illness and death, not long covid and not new cases or variants. Masks will most likely prevent us from catching or spreading covid.

So, I continue to take precautions. The stop start behaviors of most really are in line with the ups and downs of covid infections. So many vaccinated people still get Covid at this point, people who let their guard down, only to catch it when case numbers started rising again, or even as numbers are declining.

I now work in retail part-time, and have observed how people's masking behavior fluctuates due to cases. I've had customers (visitors) ask what the numbers are in the county, or if they're required to wear a mask (when they see I'm wearing one).

I've observed that if masks are required, most people are willing to comply. If masks are suggested or recommended, most choose to go without (for many reasons). I understand and compare it to taxes.
If paying taxes were recommended or suggested and not required, many would opt not to pay. Then we wouldn't have funds and resources to serve our communities and country.

If, then, and, but. What more can I say?









BumRushDaShow

(129,162 posts)
4. As a former chemist
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 05:18 PM
Jul 2022

statistics and analytical observations were much of my work and had I had time in my prescribed college workload (between all the lab courses that required 4 hours per credit), I could have taken a stats class on top of the 3 semesters of calculus and gotten a math minor... but alas.

I have been following/tracking the data myself (saving it on my laptop) and even had a mega thread in LBN that I updated for 6 months at the beginning of the pandemic - https://www.democraticunderground.com/10142446993 (driving some LBN regulars absoutely insane ).

But agree that the trends were just too obvious.

I'm seeing us doing a repeat of last summer when Delta started raging, followed that late fall with the emergence of the earliest Omicron variants that peaked in the U.S. this past January. I am analogizing Omicron's BA.5 (the current one that has become predominant) with Delta, and what may end up being the variant out of India that is hitting other countries (including South Africa I think) - BA.2.75, which although has been confirmed in the U.S., hasn't shown up yet on CDC's variant tracker, but probably will soon.

Since I'm retired, I can do hours at the stores away from the crowds and I have observed that the masking is mixed... I do still see the older adults masking with the middleagers not doing it anymore. I mask and will continue to do so and will try to get whatever bivalent/Omicron-targeted vaccine booster that gets approved this fall!

MyMission

(1,850 posts)
11. I'm also anticipating a "bivalent/Omicron-targeted vaccine booster this fall"
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 09:59 PM
Jul 2022

I should be due for another booster by November, I've heard a new targeted vaccine should be available by then.
My first 2 doses were in early and late April 2021.
Had my first booster in early November, and my second in early May.

I'm not a fan of the flu vaccines in general, and have gotten the flu when I've gotten the vaccine several times. But the covid vaccines are something I'm willing to get every 6 months.

And I'll still wear a mask and follow the numbers.

Rhiannon12866

(205,552 posts)
5. Whew! Finally got my second booster
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 06:23 PM
Jul 2022

On the exact day I was eligible to get it - I was diagnosed with the flu! And I'd gotten a flu shot, too. Thanks for the heads up!

BumRushDaShow

(129,162 posts)
6. Glad you got that!
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 07:14 PM
Jul 2022

I got my 2nd booster back on May 12th with the hope that a 5-month boost would correspond to whenever they approve a new multivariant-targeted vaccine this fall.

One of my sisters had texted that a second work buddy ended up with "flurona" - flu and COVID. That was despite being vaxxed and boosted. This really is where that "swiss cheese" approach is needed (wearing the mask and doing social distancing, etc, to mitigate).

Hope you recover from the flu quickly! This past year's vaccine really missed the mark and they admitted that.

Rhiannon12866

(205,552 posts)
7. It took quite awhile to get over the flu
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 07:28 PM
Jul 2022

And because of Covid, I ended up having to go to the hospital ER which was a nightmare. I spent half a day there! But I was finally tested for both flu and Covid, was diagnosed with the flu, "Type A." And that was the exact day that I was eligible for my second booster. So I finally bit the bullet and got that this week. I'm pretty congested and the pharmacist said it was up to me, but I figured I was already there, had made an appointment, so I just ended up with a really sore arm. I know now to get it in the other arm since I couldn't lie down to sleep.

I asked the pharmacist if there would be more in the future, since that's what my brother keeps asking me, and she said it will probably be a periodic vaccine, like flu shots. *sigh*

BumRushDaShow

(129,162 posts)
8. The flu usually takes a couple weeks to get the last of the cough done
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 07:58 PM
Jul 2022

with the hope you don't pick up some secondary bacterial infection along the way - and then the whole mess gets extended out for more weeks.

And yeah - this is going to be at least annual, if not biannual because these vaccines seem to supposedly only hang on for about 4 - 5 months providing a good response before the immune response wanes. I guess the hope is that they can find some target spot on the COVID-19 virus that appears on most if not all the variants and be able to produce some sort of vaccine that teaches the body's immune system to trigger when it detects that zone on an incoming virus and not "forget" what to do.

Novavax just got approved for an EUA so I expect that at some point, it might become part of a mix/match primary series or as a booster (but it's not yet approved for either - just as part of its own primary series). It uses a different mechanism for to teach the body's immune system how to respond and is thought to be a possible good alternative to those who either don't want a mRNA vaccine or possibly (if they authorize it) as a 2nd dose for someone who didn't complete a primary series of any of the other vaccines.

Rhiannon12866

(205,552 posts)
9. I don't know what it is I have now, sinus issues and blowing my nose
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 08:29 PM
Jul 2022

But fortunately I'm not expected anywhere. And it might really help if Covid vaccines became routine, people would be less likely to just blow them off - like my brother. He kept asking me how many more he had to get - went out to get his first booster, but I couldn't talk him into the second and now the nearby mall clinic where he went for all of them is closed.

But he does have regular doctor's appointments. For some reason, his health insurance requires a checkup every three months. I actually took him a couple of times as well as for his first two vaccine shots, but now his GP has retired and his daughter has taken over his practice. But the good thing about that is that she usually has her (therapy) dog there with her and my brother really likes the dog!

BumRushDaShow

(129,162 posts)
10. I think with the resurgence of COVID with the BA.5 variant
Sat Jul 16, 2022, 08:42 PM
Jul 2022

many localities will probably be reopening some of the vaccine clinics - especially now that vaccines have been approved (either fully or as an EUA) for infants 6 months through to adults. I know that pharmacists aren't approved for doing the 3 and unders (although I think some states are working on getting that certification criteria together themselves), but for the 4 and up, there is a need to get them done because Omicron seemed to hit that age pretty hard.

I know the summer months are probably the slowest for any place doing vaccines but hopefully by the fall with schools starting back up, they'll get clinics up again - even if only a couple days a week.

And looks like your brother may be fortunate to have a good transition to the new doc - who is not only a family member, but has the secret weapon doggy to boot!

ultralite001

(894 posts)
12. Thank you, thank you...
Sun Jul 17, 2022, 01:33 PM
Jul 2022

Maintaining the integrity of Covid data has been my bread and butter since the virus was a blip on the world's
epidemiology radar...

This thread was balm to my overly analytical mind... Up to my eyeballs in lab reports and wastewater data, it
is apparent the outbreak is far from over...

As an older individual, I continue to mask and vax... and await the next booster installment...

Y'all take care. Again, thank you for your service...

BumRushDaShow

(129,162 posts)
13. LOL
Sun Jul 17, 2022, 01:40 PM
Jul 2022

There's a bunch of us doing our own tracking. I hated when my state (PA) and city (Philly) started the "once a week" reporting because there are the long gaps and then they don't update the same days either.

But I just roll with it.

Stay safe!

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