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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(108,170 posts)
Tue Nov 1, 2022, 03:38 PM Nov 2022

Arizona's Libertarian Senate Candidate Quits and Endorses Masters

Source: Bloomberg

(Bloomberg) -- The Libertarian candidate running for Senate from Arizona, Marc Victor, is dropping out and endorsing Blake Masters, offering the Republican a potential boost in the close race that could determine control of the chamber.

The move, announced in a video released on Tuesday, could help Masters in the final days of his race to unseat Democratic Senator Mark Kelly.

“While we don’t see eye to eye on everything, I feel very confident after that conversation that Blake Masters is going to do everything that he possibly can to further the interests of the Live and Let Live Global Peace Movement,” Victor said. “There are no perfect choices here. We have to recognize that.”

In the most recent New York Times/Siena College poll released Monday, Victor was polling at just 1%. Kelly has held a steady but narrow lead in the polls ahead of next week’s vote, and even a small move toward Masters could help him.



Read more: https://www.yahoo.com/news/arizona-libertarian-senate-candidate-quits-121355611.html

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Indykatie

(3,697 posts)
4. Kelly Will Be OK But Hobbs' Chances May Take a Hit She Can't Afford
Tue Nov 1, 2022, 04:23 PM
Nov 2022

I'd bet money that this "libertarian" was bought off to improve Lake's chances to win the Governor's race. 1 million AZ ballots have already been returned. The current tally by party is:

Dems - 39.6%
GOP - 37.0%
23.5% for All others (Ind, Libertarian etc)

I hope the numbers improve. You can track every state's EV results at the link below. I'm a data geek and can spend hours looking at how EV is shaping up. The site is managed by a UF Prof. I use it every year. The most impressive state based on these early stats is PA. Dems are winning EV by 50 points. (not a typo) I roll my eyes every time I see someone pushing the point that Fetterman is in trouble.

https://rpubs.com/ElectProject/early_vote_2022

Does anyone think I should make my response a separate post for the General Discussion thread?

JudyM

(29,270 posts)
7. Isn't that "winning by 50 points" just based on the number of ballots mailed in?
Tue Nov 1, 2022, 04:50 PM
Nov 2022

We’re still looking at the huge difference in number of ballots requested:
974,000 (Dem) vs 276,000 (R)
Meaning that far more Dems than Rs are voting early, but that could easily be a function of more R voting on Election Day, right?
I wish it meant Fetterman was doing better, but not seeing that conclusion from the numbers… yet.

Thanks for linking the website, I hadn’t seen it before.

Tumbulu

(6,292 posts)
8. I think you should make this a separate post
Tue Nov 1, 2022, 06:57 PM
Nov 2022

As that is one great site to watch! Thanks for the link!

IrishEyes

(3,275 posts)
10. Thank you for the link!
Wed Nov 2, 2022, 06:04 AM
Nov 2022

I've been trying to find something like this. I have bookmarked it on my computer.

Polybius

(15,472 posts)
11. I know Democrats always vote earlier than Republicans, but a 50 point lead is impressive
Wed Nov 2, 2022, 11:54 AM
Nov 2022

Do you have the PA stats for early voting in 2020 or 2018?

Indykatie

(3,697 posts)
12. Wisc EV Stats - 2018 2020 and 2022
Wed Nov 2, 2022, 05:16 PM
Nov 2022

Here are the EV stats for 2018 and 2020. If you use the linked site you can compare current EV stats to the same period, end of EV and total including election day totals for 18 and 20.



2018 2020 2022
Democrat 54,707 (43.4%) 1,263,620 (64.1%) 650,065 (71.9%)
Republican 61,703 (49.0%) 559,586 (28.4%) 220,118 (24.3%)
Unaffiliated 9,532 (7.6%) 148,223 (7.5%) 33,972 (3.8%)
Total 125,942 1,971,429 904,155

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