Despite Trump's claims, there's no indication Iran's regime has lost power, Western officials and experts say

[BumRushDaShow]

Source: NBC News

April 1, 2026, 8:13 PM EDT / Updated April 1, 2026, 10:27 PM EDT


President Donald Trump said in his address to the nation on Wednesday night that regime change has occurred in Iran because all of the country's original leaders are dead. But there is no indication that the authoritarian government has lost its grip on power or that successors to assassinated leaders have made a break with the Islamic Republic’s ideology, according to multiple Western officials, U.S. intelligence assessments and regional analysts.

The U.S. and Israel say they have killed numerous senior figures in the clerical regime since they launched their campaign against Iran on Feb. 28, including the former supreme leader, Ali Khamenei.

Airstrikes have killed Ali Larijani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council and one of the country’s most powerful officials; Mohammad Pakpour, the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps; the ministers of intelligence and defense; and a slew of other senior commanders, according to Israeli officials.

But the regime shows no sign of unraveling, and the people who have replaced senior leaders are known as equally hard-line or arguably even more militant than their predecessors, according to Western officials and experts on Iran.

Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/trumps-claims-no-indication-irans-regime-lost-power-western-officials-rcna266318

[Lonestarblue]

1. I have an Iranian friend who stays in contact with family and friends in Iran.

When the bombing started, they were hoping to get rid of their hated government. Instead, the Ayatollah's son has replaced his father, and they see him as even more of a hard liner. When the US started bombing schools, sports facilities, apartment buildings, and ancient sites of historical significance, Iranians turned against the US. Many now support whatever their government does to hurt the US. Obviously, this is one friend's analysis from talking to a few people in Iran, one of whom helped pull dozens of bodies from a bombed apartment building, but killing civilians and schoolchildren seems to have been a turning point.

Trump and Hegseth have accomplished almost nothing while wasting billions of dollars on a war they don't know how to end. But Trump got some of what Putin wanted--a way to cancel sanctions on Russian oil to help give Putin the money he needs to continue his illegal war against Ukraine.

[dalton99a]

2. +1

[ChicagoTeamster]

3. Duh, because he's a delusional liar. His message is for MAGA. He has to act tough for them so they'll turn out and vote.

Most of the losses in these special elections and primaries so far are due to extremely low Republican voter turnout which is largely due to dissatisfaction with the way Trump is handling his second term. Only the truly horrible pieces of $h!t still support him. He's trying to put on an act to energize his base. He thinks that they are that stupid.

So, the validity of his statements is not as important to him as how he thinks him acting that way and saying his BS makes him look.

[SamuelAdams]

4. Nothing he said last night made any sense.

He claims their new leadership is moderate and reasonable. They are negotiating in good faith. We are close to a deal. But he also says we are going to hit them very hard over the next 2-3 weeks and "send them back to the stone age." But after sending them back to the stone age, even though we have supposedly already completely destroyed their military, we still won't open the Strait of Hormuz. Our allies will have to do that. Oh and gas is north of $4 per gallon here even though we are totally energy independent and the Strait being closed has no effect on us.