Global temperatures set for record highs and could hit 1.9C above pre-industrial levels by 2030

[OKIsItJustMe]

Source: The Independent

There is a 75% chance the 2026-2030 five-year mean will exceed 1.5C above the 1950-1990 average, scientists say

Rebecca Speare-Cole
Thursday 28 May 2026 06:45 BST

Global temperatures are likely to continue at or near record levels in the next five years, with the annual average potentially reaching as high as 1.9C above pre-industrial levels, scientists have found.

New UN climate predictions released on Thursday suggest mean annual temperatures near the earth’s surface over the years 2026-2030 will range from 1.3C to 1.9C above the 1850-1900 average.

The analysis from the UN’s World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) and the UK’s Met Office finds an 86 per cent chance that one year between now and 2030 will break the record for the warmest year.

It comes after 2024’s record temperatures broke – temporarily at least – the 1.5C threshold to which countries have agreed to limit global warming to avoid its most dangerous impacts.

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Read more: https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/heatwaves-global-warming-annual-temperatures-un-b2984908.html

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https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/new-report-suggests-more-global-temperature-records-ahead

New report suggests more global temperature records ahead

Press Release
28 May 2026

Geneva, Switzerland (WMO) - Global average temperatures are likely to continue at or near record levels in the next five years, with Arctic temperature anomalies expected to continue to be higher than the global mean, according to a new report from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), produced by the UK’s Met Office.

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Annual global mean near-surface temperatures during 2026–2030 are predicted to range between 1.3°C and 1.9°C above the 1850-1900 average. It is likely (86% chance) that one year between 2026 and 2030 will surpass 2024 as the warmest year on record, according to the update.

It is very likely (91% chance) that the global mean near-surface temperature will temporarily exceed 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 average levels for at least one year between 2026 and 2030. This level was also temporarily exceeded in 2024, when the global average surface temperature was about 1.55 °C above the pre-industrial baseline.

It is likely (75% chance) that the 2026-2030 five-year mean will exceed 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 average. It is considered exceptionally unlikely (less than 1%) that any single year will exceed 2°C above the 1850-1900 average in the next five years.

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[surfered]

1. We're toast!

[Bayard]

2. But let's just keep rolling back the EPA, and fighting oil wars

[OKIsItJustMe]

3. No, let's use the EPA to assure that the US has plenty of energy!

https://apnews.com/article/trump-epa-climate-zeldin-power-plants-feb184286a7a9419aefddce293362e6b

EPA head says he’ll roll back dozens of environmental regulations, including rules on climate change

BY MATTHEW DALY
Updated 6:03 PM EDT, March 12, 2025

WASHINGTON (AP) — In what he called the “most consequential day of deregulation in American history,” the head of the Environmental Protection Agency announced a series of actions Wednesday to roll back landmark environmental regulations, including rules on pollution from coal-fired power plants, climate change and electric vehicles.

“We are driving a dagger through the heart of climate-change religion and ushering in America’s Golden Age,’' EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin said in an essay in The Wall Street Journal.

If approved after a lengthy process that includes public comment, the Trump administration’s actions will eliminate trillions of dollars in regulatory costs and “hidden taxes,” Zeldin said, lowering the cost of living for American families and reducing prices for such essentials such as buying a car, heating your home and operating a business.

“Our actions will also reignite American manufacturing, spreading economic benefits to communities,” he wrote. “Energy dominance stands at the center of America’s resurgence.”

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[LudwigPastorius]

4. ...but let's keep building those mega-data AI farms that eat electricity.

The world needs its deepfake porn and wrong internet search answers!