How Trump is killing America's alliances
https://www.vox.com/world/2018/6/12/17448866/trump-south-korea-alliance-trudeau-g7Excerpts:
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And President Trumps foreign policy could well be doing such damage. His approach is so erratic, so contemptuous of Americas traditional way of doing business, that US allies are openly worrying in a way that we havent seen in modern history. This affects world politics at their most fundamental level, undermining an otherwise stable global system in ways that we are only dimly capable of perceiving. The past weeks news was a particularly naked demonstration of what had been, to date, one of the most subtle and insidious effects of the Trump presidency: an erosion of the foundations of the political system that defines and protects the modern world.
Trump is attacking the heart of American alliances: trust
. . . Trade pacts, environmental agreements, and the Iran nuclear deal dont touch the core US promise in US military alliances to defend allies in the event of an attack. But backing out of such accords does serious damage to Trumps reputation as a trustworthy ally. Withdrawing the United States from major agreements and imposing tariffs on allies, all while cozying up to Vladimir Putin and sitting down with Kim Jong Un, tells US allies that Trump doesnt feel particularly bound by formal agreements or the traditional thrust of US foreign policy. If he decides that an agreement doesnt put America First, hes perfectly willing to kick it to the curb. Trump has openly said this in the past. In July 2016, he told the New York Times that he would be willing to disregard Article 5, the provision of NATOs founding treaty committing allies to defending each other in the event of the attack.. . .
The result of Trumps reputation for unreliability, then, is a weakening of American alliances. Allies will trust the United States less, and may start looking for alternatives to depending so heavily on the United States. Enemies will see cracks in US alliances and may attempt to exploit them. The liberal international order depends on us believing that agreements like treaties [and] international organizations have long-term staying power beyond leadership change, Brett Ashley Leeds, a scholar of US alliances at Rice University, tells me. The scariest part is the fact that [Trump] is creating so much uncertainty about what US policy is going to be. . . .
The world order is a little like a game of Jenga. In the game, there are lots of small blocks that interlock to form a stable tower. Each player has to remove a block without toppling the tower. But each time you take out a block, the whole thing gets a bit less stable. Take out enough blocks and it will collapse. The international order works in kind of the same way. There are lots of different interlocking parts the spread of democracy, American alliances, nuclear deterrence, and the like that work together to keep the global peace. But take out one block and the other ones might not be strong enough to keep things together on their own. . . When a fundamental force for world peace starts to weaken, no one can really be sure how well the system will hold up. Nothing like this the leader of the worlds hegemon rounding on its most important allies has ever happened before.What Donald Trumps presidency has done, in effect, is start up another geopolitical Jenga game. Slowly but surely, hes removing the blocks that undergird global security. Its possible the global order survives Trump but its just too early for us to say for sure. Given the stakes, its a game wed rather not play.
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)And she didn't "excite" people enough to go to the polls
MBS
(9,688 posts)"Americans are in a nihilistic mood." A certain subset of American voters have been in a wrecking-ball mood for a while now and for me it's a key explanation for the tragic results of the 2016 "election," making it harder for Hillary, and creating an opening for racist, incompetent, corrupt con men to wreck our country. I've been wondering these days how many of those Trump-voting folks who wanted to "shake things up" are feeling these days, as their health premiums soar, as the farm economy reels from Trump's tariffs, and more. As Charlie Pierce wrote a while back, "temper tantrums have consequences."
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)As long as Donnie sticks it to the elites (whatever the hell that means) cracks down on those disloyal Negroes kneeling for the anthem and sweeps all the Mexicans out, they won't care if everything else is a disaster
MBS
(9,688 posts)As long as there are supporters who think all of this fine, we're in trouble.