BTRTN: Ohio's 12th District Special Election: Do the Dems Make Another Statement Tonight?
The BTRTN assessment of (and official prediction for) tonight's pivotal House special election in Ohio's 12th district. Plus check out the new BTRTN "odds of the Dems taking the House and Senate" chart at the top of the right hand column of the site.
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-ohios-12th-district-special.html
"The two contenders are Republican state Senator Troy Balderson and Democrat Danny O’Connor, the Franklin County Recorder. O’Connor has been running surprisingly well, setting the potential for an upset reminiscent of Doug Jones (the Democratic Senator who won in Alabama) and Conor Lamb (the Democrat who won Pennsylvania’s 18th District in the House). Oddly, the winner will serve only until January; the seat will be contested again in November.
This is a “must win” for the GOP, and, in desperation, they’ve thrown everything they have at the election to support Balderson, including the endorsement of Donald Trump.
Even a close race, of course, would tell a tale, and one similar to so many special elections in 2017 and 2018. And that is the tale of the Democrats running far better than in 2016, either losing by previously-thought-to-be unthinkably close margins -- or flat out winning.
Our official BTRTN prediction is that..."