Why Russia should fear the coming insurgency in Ukraine

[marmar]

Why Russia should fear the coming insurgency in Ukraine
All the key ingredients for a powerful insurgency now exist in Ukraine. If the battle turns to brutal urban warfare, Russia is in 'big trouble'.

By Adnan R. Khan
March 1, 2022


(Maclean's) Over the first week of its war with Russia, Ukraine’s military has demonstrated remarkable competence and bravery, in part due to the training it has received from NATO countries, including Canada. The expected Russian military juggernaut, meanwhile, has been massively underwhelming, suffering successive battlefield defeats and failing to the achieve the air superiority it was expected to quickly win.

But as the fighting moves into Kyiv, and other major cities like Kharkiv, the war is expected to shift gears. Urban warfare is the bane of any conventional army. No proven doctrine exists to tackle the complexities of fighting a war in the maze of city streets, where the local population is motivated to resist. And Ukrainians are deeply motivated—both by a president who has risen to the challenge of wartime leader and an international community that has rallied behind them in unprecedented ways.

Thousands of Ukrainian civilians are lining up at recruitment centres to join the fight. Meanwhile, in Canada, the U.K., and elsewhere, leaders have suggested that citizens who wish to join the fight are welcome to do so, even encouraged.

This is looking like the start of an insurgency. .................(more)

https://www.macleans.ca/news/world/why-russia-should-fear-the-coming-insurgency-in-ukraine/

[Hortensis]

1. Yup. So should the nearby states that Putin's already brought into alignment

with Russia mostly without military force. I have no guesses as to what will happen, except that if Russia defeats Ukraine, as is probable barring Putin falling out a window, there will be insurgency and one way or another it will affect the entire region.

Interestingly, Fiona Hill pointed out that one of Putin's options for Ukraine would be to break all or just part of it into pieces and add those parts to other subject nations, which then of course would have to establish control.

We live in interesting times, and some in dreadful ones.