That red wave is looking more like a ripple. Here's why.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Suddenly, the 2022 midterms are looking much better for Democrats, and there’s a simple explanation: Donald Trump is back on the ballot, metaphorically speaking.

In the last few days, a historical anomaly has emerged, a glitch in the electoral matrix: For the first time in the modern era, momentum has shifted toward an incumbent president’s party at this point in a midterm election year.

Democrats just gained a small (0.5 percentage points) advantage over Republicans in what’s known as the “generic ballot” — when voters are asked which party’s candidate they will support for Congress. Earlier this year, Democrats had trailed by as many as 2.7 points, according to the political website FiveThirtyEight. Michael Podhorzer, the former political director for the AFL-CIO, ran the numbers and found that, going back a quarter-century, the incumbent president’s party almost always found its position deteriorating at this point. (The lone exception was 2018, when Republicans did poorly all year.)

Also, polls show Democratic voter “enthusiasm” pulling even in recent weeks with Republican levels, erasing an earlier gap. And the data are supported by anecdotal evidence: high Democratic turnout in contested primaries, a lopsided rejection of an antiabortion measure in Kansas, and Democratic candidates’ dramatic outperformance of Joe Biden’s 2020 showing in recent special elections in Minnesota and Nebraska.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/08/15/republicans-midterm-advantage-shrinking-trump/

[elleng]

1. Good to see this, from Dana Milbank.

[LenaBaby61]

2. Well .....

When you have a party full of pedio's, groomers, who are also more than likely guilty of TREASON and still in love with FAT45. and be a freak who wants to force a 10 year LITTLE GIRL have her crazy mother's lover whose a rapist's baby, this is the kind of thing that will make a 'normal' person take notice. When you want to take away condoms and other forms of contraception from young women of reproductive age, and give rapists rights to stop a woman from having a fetus born out o RAPE and say some shit like "God wants the fetus to live, and that the fetus is not part of a woman's body, THEN on top of that, don't give a damn about that fetus that turns into a CHILD and on top of those things, want to take away contraception from MARRIED people, you've crossed a bridge too far. Look at what happened in blood red Kansas and Nebraska on the heels of Roe being thrown back down to red states what want to force women and little girls have rapists babies and DIE from ectopic pregnancies.

[ZonkerHarris]

3. GOTV people! EVERYWHERE! SEND EVERYONE!

[Sky Jewels]

4. I hope this is the beginning of the end of the "Democrats Are Doomed!!!" narrative

that most of the media has been slobbering over and pushing relentlessly for months.

My gut feeling is that most pundits and political analysts are underestimating how profoundly furious most women are about becoming third-class citizens behind 1.) men and 2.) fetuses.