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dipsydoodle

(42,239 posts)
Mon Aug 13, 2012, 01:28 PM Aug 2012

The Most Radical Part Of The Paul Ryan Budget Has Nothing To Do With Medicare.

In April of last year, the Congressional Budget Office gave an assessment of his budget proposal, as represented to them by Ryan and his staff.

Probably the most eye-popping part isn't about Medicare, but about what would happen to non-entitlement spending under his plan:

Furthermore, the proposal specifies a path for all other spending (excluding interest and Social Security) that would cause such spending to decline sharply as a share of GDP—from 12 percent in 2010 to 6 percent in 2022 and 3.5 percent by 2050. For comparison, spending in this category has exceeded 8 percent of GDP in every year since World War II. The proposal does not specify the changes to government pro- grams that might be made in order to produce that path. Because the proposal speci- fies that such spending would grow only at the rate of prices in the overall economy, the quantity of real government services (that is, spending adjusted for inflation) per person would decline as population increases. Moreover, that spending would not grow with real income per capita, as it has tended to over long historical periods.

>

It’s that last assumption, perhaps, that shows most clearly how unlikely Ryan’s specified budget path is. He’s saying that in 2050, spending on defense, on food stamps, on infrastructure, on education, on research and development, on the federal workforce, and everything other non-entitlement program combined will be less than four percentage points of GDP.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/paul-ryan-general-spending-as-a-share-of-gdp-2012-8#ixzz23RqdrIE4


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