Jesus Christ It's This Shit Again - Tim Kreider
Snip
There’s really no credible explanation for this war that doesn’t require what I used to think of as conspiratorial thinking: it’s one more frantic attempt to distract us from the Epstein files (whose contents must be even more monstrous than we imagine), or blackmail by Israeli intelligence over something in the Epstein files, or provocation for a terrorist attack they can use as an excuse to suspend elections—at this point, I’d believe anything. All these speculations suffer from the same fallacy that afflicts so much eggheaded analysis of Trump’s decisions: imputing Machiavellian motives and long-term stratagems to a man who is much stupider than anyone you know and has never been able to think about anything other than his own promotion for more than thirty consecutive seconds.
Trump allows as how this war might take a few weeks, possibly longer—a calculation whose reliability is compromised by the fact that Trump says whatever seems convenient at any given moment and then forgets all about it and expects you will, too. It gives me occasion to recall George W. Bush, in his badass Army Man costume, declaring victory in Iraq from the impressive set of an aircraft carrier under a big banner saying “MISSION ACCOMPLISHED,” eight years prematurely. Though some might dispute that the MISSION was truly ACCOMPLISHED even then, since we only managed to replace a dictatorship with an American-backed system of total chaos, and come to think of it we do still have some troops over there. It would take us a bit longer to tie up loose ends in Afghanistan, a war that formally ended in 2021—long enough that someone born after it began could enlist to fight in it—and whose outcome was the victory of the same pious sex-slavers who were in charge before we invaded.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timkreider/p/jesus-christ-its-this-shit-again
= new reply since forum marked as read
puts this. 
