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EarlG

(21,967 posts)
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 01:03 PM Jan 2015

Pic Of The Moment: LOL GOP: Is This The Best You Can Do?



Clinton Holds Solid Leads Over All GOP Challengers


120 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Pic Of The Moment: LOL GOP: Is This The Best You Can Do? (Original Post) EarlG Jan 2015 OP
One of the best pic of the moment ever! William769 Jan 2015 #1
Where is Walker? I have to know he won't win AllyCat Jan 2015 #2
umm. Ultrasound Walker--that Walker?--He is the stinking riversedge Jan 2015 #3
Brown Nose Koch sucker Walker lobodons Jan 2015 #6
How can we go wrong? dirtydickcheney Jan 2015 #4
Do you care to share what you think those policies are? William769 Jan 2015 #5
We need a cricket smiley.... Lochloosa Jan 2015 #7
Couldn't find a smiley, but I think this will work. William769 Jan 2015 #12
Here ya go... Spitfire of ATJ Jan 2015 #31
Iraq war, for one. Dawgs Jan 2015 #9
Is that all you got? William769 Jan 2015 #11
No. I got more. Just don't have time now. Dawgs Jan 2015 #14
Classic response from you "Just don't have time now" William769 Jan 2015 #18
Where has William769 expressed an opinion ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2015 #27
They are policies supported by a large number of Democrats BainsBane Jan 2015 #16
You're preaching to the choir with me. William769 Jan 2015 #19
That's because ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2015 #32
Admitting it was a mistake is a step many DONT take. nt 7962 Jan 2015 #69
Add fracking and Keystone pipeline to the list. lark Jan 2015 #22
dated yesterday - you can't say she "supports" it OKNancy Jan 2015 #28
Folded how? ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2015 #39
I was looking for that 'fold" too. Maybe they define "compromise" as "folding"? 7962 Jan 2015 #70
Clearly ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2015 #79
I see the same comments from the right; "stand your ground! Dont give an inch!" 7962 Jan 2015 #87
Not according to many here ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2015 #88
Iran War for three. Spitfire of ATJ Jan 2015 #33
We're at war with Iran ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2015 #40
Haven't you heard? Hillary want's to prove to the Republicans that she's tough. Spitfire of ATJ Jan 2015 #81
Where do you people come up with this shit? Seriously! William769 Jan 2015 #44
Oh, come on. SOMEONE had to say it. Spitfire of ATJ Jan 2015 #80
Editing because I now realize you were being sarcastic and poking fun at the other poster. nt. NCTraveler Jan 2015 #101
Ain't I a stinker? Spitfire of ATJ Jan 2015 #117
Sure dirtydickcheney Jan 2015 #43
First two have already been addressed. William769 Jan 2015 #45
Really, which policies dirtydickcheney Jan 2015 #50
LOLOLOLOLOL!!! Dawgs Jan 2015 #51
She supports the middle class??? Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #56
I cannot help you with your reading comprehension. William769 Jan 2015 #57
Just highlight and or C&P the relevant words Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #62
The GOP nominee thanks you for your support by not voting if shes the nominee. nt 7962 Jan 2015 #71
the gopers are quite a repulsive looking lot samsingh Jan 2015 #8
I see renewed voter suppression efforts lobodons Jan 2015 #10
K & R SunSeeker Jan 2015 #13
What about the wanker walker? a kennedy Jan 2015 #15
Imagine if we ran a democrat Fearless Jan 2015 #17
People that show their ignorance is just sad. nt William769 Jan 2015 #20
Indeed. Fearless Jan 2015 #21
All you have to do is show where she runs as a republican William769 Jan 2015 #23
Voting for the Iraq war should be enough for any Democrat to question her creds. Dawgs Jan 2015 #52
Would you like a list of prominent Dems who also supported the war? 7962 Jan 2015 #72
And those prominent Dems were wrong. truebluegreen Jan 2015 #73
Well, I did too, but then we may not have seen ALL the BS that was given to them 7962 Jan 2015 #86
I am very sure she did vote in support in order to give the appearance of strength. truebluegreen Jan 2015 #89
She'll definitely have to answer for it from any challenge from the left 7962 Jan 2015 #91
I'm fine with that. truebluegreen Jan 2015 #92
Yes---And that can be done by The Dems moving a bit more LEFT nikto Jan 2015 #119
'Zactly. nt truebluegreen Jan 2015 #120
I don't actually have to explain anything Fearless Jan 2015 #58
I do? William769 Jan 2015 #61
I so agree. nm rhett o rick Jan 2015 #93
Yep -- a liberal, Democrat like Hillary Clinton. I'm all for it. NYC Liberal Jan 2015 #25
Please descirbe her liberal economic policy. Fearless Jan 2015 #59
Mitt RMoney for the poor, yay!!! Iliyah Jan 2015 #24
All the GOP and KKKarl Rove need are just the right states close enough to steal it. liberal N proud Jan 2015 #26
This latest abortion fight will make her even stronger among women OKNancy Jan 2015 #29
A very WEAK poll to give Hillary fans a feel good Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #30
Polls with fewer than 750 respondents or a margin of error exceeding 3% rocktivity Jan 2015 #34
And her 3rd-Way supporters will help elect a republican Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #35
Howard Dean is a 3rd-Way? William769 Jan 2015 #48
Supporters are not all mutually inclusive Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #54
Those results are confirmed by other pollsters in the field. * DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2015 #100
Was Hillary leading in the Polls in past Presidential elections? Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #104
The polls are snap shots DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2015 #109
Why ignore that the snap shot is intended to persuade? Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #111
This message was self-deleted by its author DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2015 #113
This message was self-deleted by its author DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2015 #114
"did you notice the last election results?" DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2015 #115
Mmmm, OK. Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #116
Do you guys like Obama and want infrastructure spending? Spitfire of ATJ Jan 2015 #35
All of them put together might beat her. Fred Sanders Jan 2015 #37
I think a better question would be: Is this the best WE can do? AzDar Jan 2015 #38
Well ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2015 #42
How about some "honest polls" Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #60
"Honest Polls" ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2015 #63
Polls only serve to confirm, not inform. Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #65
I was not speaking specifically of you ... 1StrongBlackMan Jan 2015 #77
oooh, a quiz! Every day is a school day here! Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #99
How about polls on ISSUES? nikto Jan 2015 #83
When you load the questions like that she sounds amazingly like President Obama... DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2015 #98
Yup---She's DLC right-center, all the way nikto Jan 2015 #118
BINGO! This Post Sums It Up Perfectly! panfluteman Jan 2015 #103
Looks Republican-lite from here. Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #105
Love it! Tarheel_Dem Jan 2015 #41
LOL DEMOCRATIC PARTY: Is HRC the BEST WE CAN NOMINATE?? dirtydickcheney Jan 2015 #46
Good question. mahannah Jan 2015 #53
Five chubby white males oberliner Jan 2015 #47
It's been real and it's been fun, but it's not been real fun correcting all the errors William769 Jan 2015 #49
Despite the fact the country doesn't seem to want yuiyoshida Jan 2015 #55
that's the way it always is but by the time the election rolls certainot Jan 2015 #64
That is exactly why Hillary is a bad bet Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #66
thing is, hillary scares the rw because they blew their idiot wad certainot Jan 2015 #95
Not convincing Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #102
Oh, but look at the diversity in that GOP field!!! MADem Jan 2015 #67
But wait till Ted Cruz gets in; THEN we'll really see what the people want!!! nt 7962 Jan 2015 #68
Well look at the criminally insane bunch in the police lineup santamargarita Jan 2015 #74
No disrespect meant, but. . . matt819 Jan 2015 #75
They did just sweep an election. nt BainsBane Jan 2015 #76
just proves how pathetic our choices are compared Phlem Jan 2015 #78
is Hillary Clinton REALLY the best The Democratic Party can do? nikto Jan 2015 #82
I'm really glad they're sucking. I just wish we weren't sucking too. n/t whatchamacallit Jan 2015 #84
She probably had a similar lead in 2006 fbc Jan 2015 #85
This is great Gothmog Jan 2015 #90
And why does she have such a lead? Maybe the conservatives all love her. rhett o rick Jan 2015 #94
Polling Problems and Fallacies patricktype1 Jan 2015 #96
How is this question subjective? DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2015 #97
How is objective? Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #107
It's a question with mutually exclusive choices. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2015 #110
It is a mutually exclusive choice Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #112
A hold your nose vote Scott6113 Jan 2015 #106
Hillary will be President but frozen out ?! Cosmic Kitten Jan 2015 #108

AllyCat

(16,226 posts)
2. Where is Walker? I have to know he won't win
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 01:14 PM
Jan 2015

Either. Then again, I thought the same thing about Bush the Lesser.

riversedge

(70,306 posts)
3. umm. Ultrasound Walker--that Walker?--He is the stinking
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 01:16 PM
Jan 2015

slop at the bottom of the repug clown mud hole.

 

dirtydickcheney

(242 posts)
4. How can we go wrong?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 01:26 PM
Jan 2015

The woman whose policies are are almost completely from the Republican playbook vs. the top 5 Republicans?

This world is doomed if these are our choices.

William769

(55,148 posts)
11. Is that all you got?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 02:21 PM
Jan 2015
Hillary Clinton

“I thought I had acted in good faith and made the best decision I could with the information I had,” she writes “And I wasn’t alone in getting it wrong. But I still got it wrong.”


As to TPP she was doing the Presidents bidding at the time (she was doing her job).

Do you want America to be isolationist? Good luck with that! That would mean you disagree with the Presidents State of the Union address & how he see's helping the middle class & keeping America strong.

Stop drinking the Kool-Aid, or at least change flavor's.

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
14. No. I got more. Just don't have time now.
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 02:32 PM
Jan 2015

And, your support of TPP (and excuse for Hillary supporting it) tells me all I need to know on where you stand as a Democrat.

Also, hilarious that you would bring up Kool-Aid as a Hillary supporter.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
27. Where has William769 expressed an opinion ...
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 03:22 PM
Jan 2015

, let alone, support for TPP?

I've notice anyone typing "TPP", without including some variation of the phrase, "job killing, corporate coup", is immediately branded a supporter of the agreement that hasn't been written, let alone, agreed to by the member nations.

BainsBane

(53,072 posts)
16. They are policies supported by a large number of Democrats
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 02:36 PM
Jan 2015

Including Biden, who also voted for the war. Yet they don't hold the vote against him. They talk about Secretary Clinton being "corporatist," as though she stands apart from most other politicians in that regard. She doesn't. They pretend democracy and the capitalist system rises and falls based on her personally. The inanity of it is mind boggling. They have placed on her all their anger about American society and the current political system. We even have people in GD saying the number one priority is to defeat Clinton. Not regaining the senate, not preventing the Tea Party from gaining more power, and not a particular issue, but defeating Clinton. So tell me what makes them different from Republicans when they share the same goal? They call the concerns of LGBT Americans, women, and people of color "Third Way." I even saw one yesterday say that "gay marriage" was a rich people's issue. They can keep their straight, white male, elitist view of politics. That went out in the 1950s, with good reason.

William769

(55,148 posts)
19. You're preaching to the choir with me.
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 02:47 PM
Jan 2015

You are spot on with your assessment here.

I posted this earlier and I back it up 100% http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1107&pid=1542

As to Hillary & the middle class, she'll be a champion for them along with minority groups you mentioned.

Hillary will take the torch from President Obama & help get the middle class back to where it once was.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
32. That's because ...
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 03:44 PM
Jan 2015
They are policies supported by a large number of Democrats ... Including Biden, who also voted for the war. Yet they don't hold the vote against him.


They don't think he will run, and if he does, can beat HRC in the primary.

lark

(23,158 posts)
22. Add fracking and Keystone pipeline to the list.
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 02:51 PM
Jan 2015


However, don't think she will put SS on the table like Obama did and don't think she will fold to Repugs extortion like Obama did during his first term.

While I am especially worried about her TPP stance, all the Repugs also strongly support this, so would vote for her as least crazy option, but would also be holding my nose because I know I disagree with her on some major issues.

OKNancy

(41,832 posts)
28. dated yesterday - you can't say she "supports" it
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 03:23 PM
Jan 2015

WINNIPEG, Manitoba (AP) — Hillary Rodham Clinton on Wednesday declined again to take a position on the Keystone XL pipeline, telling an audience in Canada that she would not express her views because of an ongoing review by the State Department.

"We have differences and you won't get me to talk about Keystone because I have steadily made clear that I'm not going to express an opinion," said Clinton, a potential 2016 Democratic presidential candidate. "It is in our process and that's where it belongs."

http://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2015/01/21/hillary-clinton-to-speak-in-canada-amid-debate-over-keystone

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
39. Folded how? ...
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 03:53 PM
Jan 2015
don't think she will fold to Repugs extortion like Obama did during his first term.


Before repeating that extremist view, consider, then, weigh what was gained by his "folding."
 

7962

(11,841 posts)
70. I was looking for that 'fold" too. Maybe they define "compromise" as "folding"?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 06:01 PM
Jan 2015

Because sometimes to get ANYTHING, you must do a little compromising.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
79. Clearly ...
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 07:38 PM
Jan 2015

taking "moral" stands (that hurt the poor and working class ... that we pretend to say we care about/are fighting for) is less important than actually getting stuff that sustain the poor and working class ... because, after all, they "would only be inconvenienced for a couple of weeks", as opposed to us all being devastated ... IF my nightmare scenarios come true. (Read: I will sacrifice you to protect MY purse against what MIGHT happen.)

 

7962

(11,841 posts)
87. I see the same comments from the right; "stand your ground! Dont give an inch!"
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 10:50 PM
Jan 2015

they should add "and end up with nothing!"

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
88. Not according to many here ...
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 11:07 PM
Jan 2015

in the debt ceiling showdown, republicans got an extension of U/C for the long-term unemployed and they got to raise the debt limit, in exchange for keeping what they already had!

William769

(55,148 posts)
44. Where do you people come up with this shit? Seriously!
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:10 PM
Jan 2015
Backing Obama, Hillary Clinton opposes new Iran sanctions bill in Congress

Washington-- Hillary Rodkam Clinton, former secretary of state and likely candidate for president in 2016, opposes new legislation in Congress that would sanction Iran if diplomacy fails to reach an agreement over its nuclear program.

Clinton announced her opposition to the bill one day after US President Barack Obama renewed his threat to veto the measure in his sixth State of the Union address.

New sanctions legislation would violate the Joint Plan of Action, the White House says, an interim agreement reached by world powers and Iran that laid the groundwork for comprehensive talks.

http://www.jpost.com/International/Backing-Obama-Hillary-Clinton-opposes-new-Iran-sanctions-bill-in-Congress-388522

I don't mind a spirited debate, but I at least need the other person to have some knowledge of what they claim they know they are talking about.

Sheesh.
 

dirtydickcheney

(242 posts)
43. Sure
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:10 PM
Jan 2015

TPP support
Her support for Iraq war (and potentially upcoming wars)
Support for Wall-Street vs. Middle Class
Maintaining the status-quo and policies that favor big business and the rich.

Are there any of these you differ with or is this just a case of "Oh, she's got a D next to her name an that's good enough for me!" ???

 

dirtydickcheney

(242 posts)
50. Really, which policies
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:31 PM
Jan 2015

Which policies does she support that when big business and the rich favored them she'd say - "screw you, I don't represent you"?

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
51. LOLOLOLOLOL!!!
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:32 PM
Jan 2015

I just read the article you posted and she didn't take ONE STAND on anything.

I sure the fuck hope she we be for the middle class. That shouldn't even be a question, and the fact that you brought it up as something to be proud of is scary.

Pathetic!

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
56. She supports the middle class???
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:49 PM
Jan 2015

What "support" does she offer in the link you provided?

Is she calling for a Living Wage?

IS she urging Walmart to pay employees enough
to get off food stamps and Govt assistance?

Does she support the WORKING-CLASS?
or just the middle-class?

It looks like the standard political claptrap?

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
62. Just highlight and or C&P the relevant words
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:58 PM
Jan 2015

I can't see any significant "support" other than vague ideas

 

lobodons

(1,290 posts)
10. I see renewed voter suppression efforts
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 02:06 PM
Jan 2015

I see renewed voter suppression efforts and States voting to split their electoral votes in the near future.

a kennedy

(29,710 posts)
15. What about the wanker walker?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 02:33 PM
Jan 2015

I'm sure she'd crush him too..... Sorry should have read ALL posts before posting this.

William769

(55,148 posts)
23. All you have to do is show where she runs as a republican
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 02:56 PM
Jan 2015

Or has ever been a republican that held a public office.

Balls in your court.

Willful ignorance indeed!

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
52. Voting for the Iraq war should be enough for any Democrat to question her creds.
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:33 PM
Jan 2015

Sad that it's not enough for you and many others.

 

7962

(11,841 posts)
72. Would you like a list of prominent Dems who also supported the war?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 06:07 PM
Jan 2015

Remember, a lot was based on BS, and hind sight is always perfect

 

truebluegreen

(9,033 posts)
73. And those prominent Dems were wrong.
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 06:30 PM
Jan 2015

I knew it was BS the minute the Bushies started banging the drum. Why didn't Hillary Clinton? Why didn't the others? Were they cowards, blinded by ambition, or did they just not care?

 

7962

(11,841 posts)
86. Well, I did too, but then we may not have seen ALL the BS that was given to them
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 10:42 PM
Jan 2015

And as I said above, at least she has admitted that she was wrong, unlike most others. But then again, to look at it from your standpoint, she may have voted in support in order to give the appearance of strength or fear of being on the wrong side

 

truebluegreen

(9,033 posts)
89. I am very sure she did vote in support in order to give the appearance of strength.
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 11:45 PM
Jan 2015

I think she thought a "no" vote would doom her chances for the presidency, and I think it's very possible that's why she voted as she did. My problem is, it takes a lot more strength to stand against the tide, and Hillary Clinton seems to lack that strength, or the judgment to know when she's being lied to. Either that, or she really is just a war hawk who wanted to re-shape the Middle East into something more amenable to US interests. Pick your poison; "honest mistake" doesn't seem to be on the menu.

As for us not seeing "all the BS" that the inner circle did, the inner circle did know that inspectors were in Iraq, were being allowed to do their job, were not finding any WMD (not surprising, since there weren't any to find) and were told to leave so we could launch our Excellent Adventure Abroad on schedule. That alone should have been a red flag for anyone with sense, or courage, or integrity.

 

7962

(11,841 posts)
91. She'll definitely have to answer for it from any challenge from the left
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 12:14 AM
Jan 2015

But certainly NOT from the gop candidate

 

truebluegreen

(9,033 posts)
92. I'm fine with that.
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 12:24 AM
Jan 2015

The more daylight we can put between Democratic and Republican positions, the better.

 

nikto

(3,284 posts)
119. Yes---And that can be done by The Dems moving a bit more LEFT
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 11:20 PM
Jan 2015

Bernie Sanders, Liz Warren and Sherrod Brown can help with this.

Those 3 should not just be used for Democratic Party fund-raising, and then pulled-away (and replaced by Corporate and banking lobbyists) when real policies and party direction are being determined.

Fearless

(18,421 posts)
58. I don't actually have to explain anything
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:55 PM
Jan 2015

You already know what I'm going to say. If you don't agree I'm not going to force you to.

William769

(55,148 posts)
61. I do?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:58 PM
Jan 2015

I know people refuse to explain thing's that are not true.

I also know being painted into a corner has not helped you, so I will let you be and give you a helping hand out of the corner.

Have a great day!

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
24. Mitt RMoney for the poor, yay!!!
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 03:08 PM
Jan 2015

NOT. GOPers like majority of politicians are in your face liars.

OKNancy

(41,832 posts)
29. This latest abortion fight will make her even stronger among women
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 03:28 PM
Jan 2015

Hillary has been a champion for women's rights and this latest crap by the House Republicans will look really bad.
The Republican candidate will have to defend their actions.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
30. A very WEAK poll to give Hillary fans a feel good
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 03:43 PM
Jan 2015

Don't be overconfident about Hillary's inevitablity

This is a poll of 1003 people.
Only 843 are "registered voters"

The partisan divisions break down to:
30% Democrats = approx 300 people
24% Republican = approx 240 people
37% "independent" = approx 370 people
BTW, This is only 91%!

Here's Hillary's " DOUBLE DIGIT" lead among 843 REGISTERED VOTERS:
Hillary 54% = 455 votes
Rand Paul 41% = 345 votes
Jeb Bush 41% = 345 votes
Mitt Romney 40% = 337 votes
Chris Cristy 40% = 337 votes

That is ONLY 110 votes out of 843 total!
Why anyone would be excited about 110 votes is puzzling?
Once you include the Sampling Error the difference is possibly less.

This "poll" is hardly reason to celebrate.
In fact it can lull Democrats into a FALSE SENSE of INEVITABILITY.

METHODOLOGY–
This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Jan. 12-15, 2015, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults, including 843 registered voters. Results have margins of sampling error of 3.5 and 4 points for the general population and registered voters, respectively, including design effect. Partisan divisions are 30-24-37 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents among the general population, 33-26-33 percent among registered voters
http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1166a52016Election.pdf


Hey Democrats is the the best WE can do?

rocktivity

(44,577 posts)
34. Polls with fewer than 750 respondents or a margin of error exceeding 3%
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 03:45 PM
Jan 2015

should be approached with caution. It looks like Team Hillary is setting themselves up to make the exact same mistake all over again.

Let's make sure that Hillary is the best WE can do -- for US.


rocktivity

William769

(55,148 posts)
48. Howard Dean is a 3rd-Way?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:24 PM
Jan 2015

Better yet Elizabeth Warren? Her and Hillary are good friends and she has stated she will support Hillary.

Just because you make a boogie man, doesn't make it true.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
54. Supporters are not all mutually inclusive
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:42 PM
Jan 2015

Supporting Hillary does not make one a 3rd-Wayer
But many democratic 3rd-Wayer's do support Hillary.

Just because you lump all people who vaguely support Hillary together
it doesn't mean they will always support her candidacy.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
100. Those results are confirmed by other pollsters in the field. *
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:11 AM
Jan 2015

In fact when you combine all the results they are roughly the same, ergo:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html



Can Hillary lose, nothing's inevitable, but she is in a unusually strong position.


* I used real clear politics as that was the easiest to find. I am confident their averages large mirror the averages of others that average polls.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
104. Was Hillary leading in the Polls in past Presidential elections?
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:21 AM
Jan 2015

Just because multiple "polls" show Hillary leading
potential republican candidates there's no reason
to use polls as "evidence" of her inevitability.

These types of polls are fraught with bias and error.
Their basic purpose is ADVOCACY, not discovery.

Someone PAYS to conduct polls,
and someone gets PAID.
It's a business.
Would YOU hire a polling organization
that did not find "results" in your favor?

Lets just call polls what they are, PROPAGANDA.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
109. The polls are snap shots
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 11:19 AM
Jan 2015

I have no doubt in my mind that if the election was held on the day of the election the actual results would closely mirror the results of the polls.

That's why so many experts who compile polls can predict House, Senate, and presidential races the lion's share of the time.


It's based on the law of large numbers, a disarmingly simple concept.

Things can change, of course, but I would literally bet my liver against a billionaire's million that if the election were held tomorrow Hillary Clinton would handily beat any Republican challenger.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
111. Why ignore that the snap shot is intended to persuade?
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 11:33 AM
Jan 2015

As to betting your liver...
did you notice the last election results?

Democrats are down in the public's opinion,
based on election results, not "snap shots".

What states will Hillary carry in this hypothetical election?
NO RED STATES, right? Can we agree on that?
What reliably blue states would she win?

The "Clinton fatigue" is HEAVY among
Democrats I personally know.
Working people are apoplectic about her being dead broke...
when THEY ARE BROKE.
And Lewinsky is still a viable memory for all of us.

Fair or not, she carries the Clinton baggage.
She would NOT get elected IMO,
Lots of people will stay home.
The Supreme Court issue will NOT persuade any undecided votes.

Don't gamble on vital organs

Response to Cosmic Kitten (Reply #111)

Response to Cosmic Kitten (Reply #111)

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
115. "did you notice the last election results?"
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 12:00 PM
Jan 2015
"did you notice the last election results?"


Res ipsa loquitur


http://mashable.com/2012/11/07/nate-silver-wins/

http://votamatic.org/

http://election.princeton.edu/2012/11/06/presidential-prediction-2012-final/

All the reputable statisticians who compile polls and then make predictions nailed it. There are a lot more sites that compiled polls (LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS) and nailed it but I will let you do the research.

Oh, if you are referring to the 014 election. All the polls indicated we were going to have our asses handed to us.


"What states will Hillary carry in this hypothetical election?
NO RED STATES, right? Can we agree on that?
What reliably blue states would she win? "



She will win all the states Barack Obama won in 2012 and might steal North Carolina



"And Lewinsky is still a viable memory for all of us. "



Is that why President Clinton left office with an approval rating in the mid 60s, ergo:


http://www.gallup.com/poll/116584/presidential-approval-ratings-bill-clinton.aspx

Democrat Since Birth is getting ready to party like its 1999.


____________________

P.S. Every election season we have the same debates about the efficacy of polls (when we don't like the results) and every year the people challenging the efficacy of the polls are wrong and those that abide by them are right.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
116. Mmmm, OK.
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 12:13 PM
Jan 2015

It's 16 years since 1999, and a LOT has changed.

Do polls influence turnout?

All the polls indicated we were going to have our asses handed to us.


If the MSM is talking DOWN democratic voters
does that depress turnout?
Is there a Poll that asks...
"will you still vote if you believe you will lose"?

This is ALL about perception management.
You seem to be very intent on defending
the MSM's manipulation of voters perceptions?

Why are EXIT polls wrong?
Why don't EXIT polls correctly reflect election results?
 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
35. Do you guys like Obama and want infrastructure spending?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 03:50 PM
Jan 2015

To carry on the legacy of the current administration the traditional method has been to elect the Vice President.

We know we'd get high speed rail too.

And everyone knows Joe can hit with the zingers. "A noun, a verb and 9/11" wiped out Rudy.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
42. Well ...
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:00 PM
Jan 2015

pick your "better" ... then look at what the polling says.

{Note: You probably won't like what the polling says, though.}

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
60. How about some "honest polls"
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:57 PM
Jan 2015

How about polls that emphasize NAME RECOGNITION
rather than who would you vote for?

How about straight up generic Dem vs Repub?
What are the trends for party preference?

Do Dems hold ANY significant lead over repubs?
Could any difference be attributed to the named candidates?
Last election says repubs would be leading?

These feel-good polls prove nothing and serve only as propaganda.
1000 people does NOT represent the general public.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
63. "Honest Polls" ...
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 05:15 PM
Jan 2015

meaning, "polls that produce the results I agree with, or at a minimum, don't indicate what I oppose?"

BTW, anyone that knows anything about Research Methods and/or Statistics can pick apart any poll/survey to point out it's flaws ... But this is, typically, only done when we do not like the poll's/survey's results.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
65. Polls only serve to confirm, not inform.
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 05:31 PM
Jan 2015

Why would you practice mind reading?
And reach the wrong conclusion...

"polls that produce the results I agree with, or at a minimum, don't indicate what I oppose?"

Not everyone is a partisan to the extreme.

ABC conducted a poll to VALIDATE that Hillary is inevitable.
The Pundits are continually saying Hillary is inevitable.
The poll presents "scientific" evidence that Hillary is inevitable.
ABC and the MSM in general WANTS Hillary to be inevitable.
It will make GREAT TeeVee, and sell LOTS of advertising.

Notice the poll did not indicate in the results ANY option
or question other than "Hillary vs Republican".
That intentionally shapes and forces the outcome.
AND, more Democrats were included in the "random sample".
Is the the national demographic?
That fact doesn't seem too "random"?

How about we acknowledge the real agenda
behind this dog and pony show?

Show me the polls that focus on party affiliation,
which party people will vote for,
and generic dem/repub match ups.
 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
77. I was not speaking specifically of you ...
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 07:18 PM
Jan 2015

my offending comment was a generalized, and easily provable, observation.

Polls only serve to confirm, not inform.


That is the problem ... I wonder if you can explain why? (Yes ... this is a quiz!)

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
99. oooh, a quiz! Every day is a school day here!
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:07 AM
Jan 2015

If it is an easily provable observation that
Polls only serve to confirm not inform,
then why do we allow people to fall prey
to such misinformation and propaganda?

Why not just tear down this blatantly misleading subterfuge?

The point of such polling ONLY serves to influence
the behaviors of people who are unaware of the
inherent bias and overt manipulation of their perceptions.

As to the "Quiz":
Such political polling is not pure "social research".
There is not intent on the part of the researchers
to discover surprising data about the subject.

Political polls such as the "Hillary is Inevitable poll"
Is ADVOCACY RESEARCH.

Advocacy research has the "agenda" to promote it's "agenda".
To that end, the polls are typically designed to reinforce
the desired "conclusion" through various biased techniques.
Those biased techniques are numerous, spanning from
sample bias, wording of questions, and speculative weighting.
That's a very short explanation.

Bottom line, polls are intended to manipulate, not inform.
Don't believe the hype!

 

nikto

(3,284 posts)
83. How about polls on ISSUES?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 09:25 PM
Jan 2015

Examples:
Do you prefer:
Public Schools or Privatized Charter Schools run for-profit on Public Fund$?
Hillary prefers Privatized Charter Schools.


Do you favor TPP, secretly negotiated and fast-tracked, as currently proposed??
Hillary does.

Do you think Wall St bankers who break the law are untouchable by US Justice,
and "too rich too jail", and do you want a president with a clear "pro-Wall St" bias?
Hillary does, and she's got that bias.

Do you support unconditional backing of Israel and adherence to AIPAC,
no matter how extreme and aggressive their policies may be?
Hillary does.

Do you display a definite hawkish, NEOCON-tilt in your foreign-policy orientation?
Hillary does.

Do you support NSA meta-data spying on ALL Americans?
Hillary does.

Do you support hard-line continuation of America's Drug War?
Hillary does.

Did YOU see yourself as poor, less than ten years before having a net worth of 100-million dollars?
Hillary did.
.................................................................................



We can do better.



DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
98. When you load the questions like that she sounds amazingly like President Obama...
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:01 AM
Jan 2015

When you load the questions like that she sounds amazingly like President Obama and the Democratic party.

 

nikto

(3,284 posts)
118. Yup---She's DLC right-center, all the way
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 11:17 PM
Jan 2015

Although I am grateful she is pro-choice and pro Gay rights.


But to me, that does not excuse, or make acceptable, her undeniable neoliberalism/corporatism.

panfluteman

(2,067 posts)
103. BINGO! This Post Sums It Up Perfectly!
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:19 AM
Jan 2015

Yes we CAN do better! And the consequences of NOT doing better, and simply acquiescing to the corporatist status quo become ever more bleak and disastrous for the future of our democracy, our economy, our national sovereignty, the environment, the planet and the entire human race. As a previous poster pointed out, this infographic relies on inflated statistics to create the illusion of Hillary as an unstoppable juggernaut, the presidential heir apparent, who it is absolutely futile to oppose.

As I scrolled down, I couldn't help but notice how many Elizabeth Warren bumper stickers were posted. Now she's a REAL solution, and a REAL champion of middle and working class Americans. Same with Bernie Sanders, and the two together would be the ultimate dream team for populist progressives. We urgently need to restore some sane balance of power and common sense checks and balances in our government and political system; otherwise we're totally doomed as the corporate pied pipers, driven crazy by blind greed and gloating over their newfound unlimited political power, lead us sheeple, like lemmings, over the cliff to total destruction.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
105. Looks Republican-lite from here.
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:24 AM
Jan 2015

She can throw around some faux "social liberal" words
and she's still considered a "democrat". Amazing!?!

Apparently Hillary holds positions similar to Caribou Barbie!

 

dirtydickcheney

(242 posts)
46. LOL DEMOCRATIC PARTY: Is HRC the BEST WE CAN NOMINATE??
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:19 PM
Jan 2015

How would her policies noticeably differ if she had an (R) next to her name vs. a (D)?

William769

(55,148 posts)
49. It's been real and it's been fun, but it's not been real fun correcting all the errors
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:27 PM
Jan 2015

& ignorance in this thread but it looks like my job is done here.

Have a great day all!

yuiyoshida

(41,862 posts)
55. Despite the fact the country doesn't seem to want
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 04:46 PM
Jan 2015

a Republican President, Corporations and other people of the 1% will find a way to do what they did when George Bush Jr. Became President. They will cheat, lie and do those things it takes for them to win. Unless the Democratic party can do what Obama did, we're screwed.

Imagine a Republican House, Senate and President. The Rightwinger would probably declare war on Canada again, just to show they could do it..

Thanks Fox News, for brainwashing, and making Half of America stupid.

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
64. that's the way it always is but by the time the election rolls
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 05:21 PM
Jan 2015

around it's likely the pounding from 1000 unchallenged ignored radio stations will have greatly reduced the gap, like it did for romney obama, making another ignorant corporate ayn randian loon actually acceptable.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
66. That is exactly why Hillary is a bad bet
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 05:36 PM
Jan 2015

Once the right-wing smear machine gears up,
Hillary is doomed, meaning Democrats are doomed.

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
95. thing is, hillary scares the rw because they blew their idiot wad
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 01:31 AM
Jan 2015

on her long ago. that's why benghazi got blown up- desperation. they have to do something else to hurt clinton besides their usual and that doesn't work as well in a presidential

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
102. Not convincing
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:13 AM
Jan 2015

The right-wing base won't vote for Hillary.
The middle, would rather vote real republican than republican-lite.
There is nothing Hillary offers that the republicans can't match...

MADem

(135,425 posts)
67. Oh, but look at the diversity in that GOP field!!!
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 05:44 PM
Jan 2015

You've got two guys who part their hair on their right, one who parts it on their left, one who kinda parts it on the right but combs it back (indecisive, there, Mitt?) and one guy with a squirrel on his head!!!!

matt819

(10,749 posts)
75. No disrespect meant, but. . .
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 06:55 PM
Jan 2015

I think the Geico gecko would be double digits ahead of any of the GOP clown posse.

Or the Aflac duck.

Or the Geico pig.

 

nikto

(3,284 posts)
82. is Hillary Clinton REALLY the best The Democratic Party can do?
Thu Jan 22, 2015, 09:04 PM
Jan 2015

Last edited Thu Jan 22, 2015, 09:38 PM - Edit history (3)




hint hint...





#elisabeth%20warren%202425x3000




I think we all agree the GOPers are an ugly bunch of liars, thieves and psychopaths.
But let's not let that fact distort our vision.

I have been essentially a lifelong-Democrat, due to FDR's Legacy,
and it's positive effect on my life.

But I am now more Progressive than Democrat.


In a party that contains such regressive elements as the DLC, Rahm Emmanuel, Andrew Cuomo,
an increasingly-corporatist Diane Feinstein and Chuck Schumer,
plus various "Blue Dogs", that is an important distinction, IMO.

I say,
Judge theses pols not by color, or party label, but by the content of their character (i.e. as demonstrated by
the policies they will fight for).
 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
94. And why does she have such a lead? Maybe the conservatives all love her.
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 01:13 AM
Jan 2015

Conservatives all love her more than the nitwits the Republicans have. She has the backing of the big money corporations. This is not good news for the 99%. H. Clinton is a favorite of our Oligarch Rulers (Goldman-Sachs).

We desperately need change. 51% of American school children live in poverty and Goldman-Sachs/ Clinton don't give a crap. It's time for change. The change that Obama promised.

patricktype1

(1 post)
96. Polling Problems and Fallacies
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 03:16 AM
Jan 2015

Hello Democratic Underground, this is my first post but I'll quickly get to the point... Polls are very subjective and are extremely influenced on the source on which they are posted such as: I watch Fox News, CNN, and The BBC. This is so I can get some sort of "clear" view on all angles. But sadly it seems that as if these news stations will cater to their own viewers, become very choosey in who they poll, or completely make up the statistics altogether. I'm not saying they did but there are very high chances that it could happen because after all news is just another business and there's money to be made in it. For example: Fox News blowing up the story of President Obama interviewing the YouTube star which isn't really that necessary. ABC and The Washington Post tend to lean towards the Democratic/Liberal side while Fox News obviously leans toward Republican/Conservative side so the news channels will probably curve that information towards the type of viewers they have. I'm very sorry for the super long post but it's my first one better make it count, amiright? haha

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
107. How is objective?
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:39 AM
Jan 2015

Framing a poll as either "Bush or Clinton"
is an example of TINA...
There Is No Alternative.
Hillary is INEVITABLE, no one can beat her!

The purpose of TINA is to narrow YOUR thinking.
To exclude the possibility of any external challenge.
It reinforces the narrow perception of INEVITABILITY.

It's manipulation.
The intended outcome is to maintain the status quo
A false choice to placate the masses with a "fake fight".
If either Bush or Clinton wins... Wall st and the MIC wins...
and the American Public loses.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
110. It's a question with mutually exclusive choices.
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 11:22 AM
Jan 2015

I'm an empiricist. When it comes to social science I like to keep it that way.

It is no more biased than asking someone if they think the Patriots or Seahawks will win the SuperBowl.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
112. It is a mutually exclusive choice
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 11:50 AM
Jan 2015

But how we got to that choice is the issue.

Football is a very defined, competitive, endeavor
unimpeded by media, money, or undue influence.

Politics by it's very nature is subject to undue influence.
Arriving at an "empirical", mutually exclusive choice,
can still be a false choice "TINA"

question: Would you rather lose an arm or a leg?
"circle one" because There Is No Alternative.
"Writing in" neither is "throwing away" your vote.

Scott6113

(56 posts)
106. A hold your nose vote
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:31 AM
Jan 2015

History is written by the winners. Demographics are on her side. There are more women than men in this country, and women vote in higher proportions. There will be many couples who arrive to the polls who will split the vote. She's a republican but to elect the first woman President?

I dislike identity politics. It isn't far removed from racism. But it's a huge factor.

I suspect that in one of those quiet rooms Romney made famous the RNC has already written the concession speech. Their money will be in veto-proof majorities in Congress, and in the states. Hillary will be President but frozen out.

The only real adversary she has is her health. Will be sworn in at 68. Reagan was 73 and I think the effects of alzheimers was already discernable in his 2nd term. Women live longer but have more problems.

Our activism should really be lower down. That's where the power of a divided government will be.

My 2₵

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
108. Hillary will be President but frozen out ?!
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 10:43 AM
Jan 2015

What?

Her Neo-Con agenda won't be embraced by republicans?
Her Wall St, corporate friendly agenda won't fly in a
right-wing congress?

Seriously?
Are you punking us?

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