TYT: Nate Silver: Republicans Screwed If They Nominate Trump

[WhoIsNumberNone]

Recently Nate Silver delved into what would happen in a General Election. He’s not a fan of general election polls this early in the cycle, but he did want to figure out whether or not Donald Trump would be popular. Ana Kasparian, John Iadarola (ThinkTank), and Jimmy Dore (The Jimmy Dore Show Podcast), hosts of the The Young Turks, break it down. Tell us what you think in the comment section below.

"But Trump would start at a disadvantage: Most Americans just really don’t like the guy.

Contra Rupert Murdoch’s assertion about Trump having crossover appeal, Trump is extraordinarily unpopular with independent voters and Democrats. Gallup polling conducted over the past six weeks found Trump with a -27-percentage-point net favorability rating among independent voters, and a -70-point net rating among Democrats; both marks are easily the worst in the GOP field. (Trump also has less-than-spectacular favorable ratings among his fellow Republicans.)”*

Read more here: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/

[paleotn]

1. doesn't take complex algorithms to figure that one out. (nt)

[catnhatnh]

2. "It’s hard to say exactly how well (or poorly) Trump might fare as the Republican nominee."

Sigh, if only he knew someone who could ask a bunch of people what they thought. You know, like poll them....

But apparently someone did...

"Head-to-head polls of hypothetical general election matchups have almost no predictive power at this stage of the campaign, but for what it’s worth, Trump tends to fare relatively poorly in those too. On average,2 in polls since Nov. 1, Trump trails Clinton by 5 percentage points, while Clinton and Marco Rubio are tied."

Of course those same polls show Bernie Sanders is a better example of Trump getting his ass kicked in a head to head poll and beats Rubio also.

I wonder why Nate didn't mention that?

[libodem]

3. Rush Limbaugh called for extreme Right Wing policies

Becase anybody moderate or in the middle stood for nothing. Now the GOP most own the extremist movement and the new face of the GOP.

Pailin and Trump are the new face of the Republican Party
and they must own it.

http://www.salon.com/2016/01/22/own_it_conservatives_palin_and_trump_are_the_faces_of_the_gop_and_despite_its_outrage_the_right_must_accept_it/