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TexasTowelie

(112,061 posts) Wed Mar 9, 2022, 07:17 PM Mar 2022

Beau of the Fifth Column: Let's talk about why analysts are sure Russia won't win....

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Beau of the Fifth Column: Let's talk about why analysts are sure Russia won't win.... (Original Post) TexasTowelie Mar 2022 OP

Yeah, or they've all been reading DU Warpy Mar 2022 #1

I heard the ratio was 1 soldier to 60 civilians, but, yeah, Putin doesn't have nearly enough. tclambert Mar 2022 #2

At 200,000 troops, you would need a population of below 10 million. scipan Mar 2022 #3

Warpy

(111,222 posts)

1. Yeah, or they've all been reading DU

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Wed Mar 9, 2022, 07:42 PM

Mar 2022

because so many of us here have learned the lesson of wars of occupation.

They. don't. work.

tclambert

(11,085 posts)

2. I heard the ratio was 1 soldier to 60 civilians, but, yeah, Putin doesn't have nearly enough.

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Wed Mar 9, 2022, 09:23 PM

Mar 2022

Plus, all Putin's conquests depend on his determination. When he is out of power, by election, or more likely by assassination, his successor will probably give Ukraine its independence again. So this whole war is pointless in the long run.

scipan

(2,341 posts)

3. At 200,000 troops, you would need a population of below 10 million.

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Thu Mar 10, 2022, 05:54 PM

Mar 2022

Ukraine population before the war was 44 million. Say 10 million emigrate (it’s about 2 million so far). Putin would need to kill 24 million. This would be more than WWII total; someone please tell me that even Putin is not capable of this genocide.

Edit to add: Beau alluded to this, saying it would cause an underground resistance in Russia, with no other details. So I’m not sure how much faith to have in that.

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