Video & Multimedia
Related: About this forumDuncanpup
(12,841 posts)Although it appears the Russian army has no triple A auto services when running out fuel and moving on rotted tires.
May Ukrainian army aim be true.
Sherman A1
(38,958 posts)This is from the Institute for The Study of War's March 12th update
The Ukrainian military claimed to have damaged or destroyed 31 Russian BTGs (Battalion Tactical Groups) as of March 11, its first numbered claim of damage to Russian forces of the war. Ukrainian military intelligence reported at 6:00 am local time on March 12 that Ukrainian forces have destroyed 13 Russian BTGs and rendered 18 BTGs combat ineffective as of March 11.
[1] US intelligence estimated Russia deployed approximately 120 BTGs to Ukraines borders prior to February 24.
[2] The Ukrainian military has not previously made any official statements on numbers of destroyed Russian BTGs. The Ukrainian General Staff continues to report widespread Russian logistics and morale issues, stating on March 12 that Russia was forced to change tactics due to unsuccessful attempts to conduct an offensive, that Russian units continue to abandon equipment, and that the rate of Russian desertions and surrenders to Ukrainian forces is increasing.
[3] The General Staff additionally stated that Russia is calling up conscripts from the DNR and LNR, mercenaries from Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and Russian convicted prisoners to offset heavy combat losses and reserve problems.
[4] The Ukrainian Directorate of Intelligence (GUR) reported on March 12 that Russian commanders authorized their soldiers to loot civilian businesses and households and move to self sufficiency to offset continued supply problems.[5]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-12
If the number of BTG's damaged or destroyed is correct, it is looking like about an 18% loss rate if my guesstimate is correct. That is pretty much unsustainable and what appeared to be low morale from the start would like break with that number. Logistics are a huge issue, substandard equipment a huge issue and unit morale is likewise as you know. I am figuring this turns into a flatten the cities with artillery, missiles and air power shortly as the ground forces simply cannot get the job done.