Deflating Larry Summers
Today on TAP: Once again, he doesnt check his facts and gets inflation wrong.
by Robert Kuttner
June 1, 2022
Larry Summers is at it again, misstating the connection between wage growth and price inflation. In an extended interview quoted in Tuesdays Washington Post, Summers said, I dont think theres a durable reduction in inflation without a meaningful reduction in wage growth.
But Summers evidently failed to check the actual numbers. The estimable Josh Bivens of EPI did. As Bivens reported in a recent piece, wages have been lagging well behind inflation, not driving it. Bivens is worth quoting in detail:
To date, the rise of inflation has unambiguously not been driven by tight labor markets pushing up wages.
Nominal wage growth has
lagged far behind inflation, meaning that labor costs are dampeningnot amplifyingprice pressures. Last weeks jobs report showed that average hourly earnings growth over the last quarter was 4.4% (at an annualized rate), with wage growth actually slowing in the last three months to under 4%.
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https://prospect.org/blogs-and-newsletters/tap/deflating-larry-summers/