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TexasTowelie

(112,060 posts)
Wed Jul 25, 2018, 02:18 AM Jul 2018

Poll shows Conor Lamb with double-digit lead over Keith Rothfus

Democrat Conor Lamb holds a double-digit lead over Republican Keith Rothfus in the race for the newly drawn 17th Congressional District northwest of Pittsburgh, according to a new Monmouth University poll.

Fifty-one percent of potential voters support Lamb, compared to 39 percent for Rothfus, according to the results. Nine percent were undecided. Monmouth polled a group of 401 people in the district who have either voted in an election since 2010 or who have recently registered to vote, and the margin of error was 6.8 percent.

Lamb, 34, of Mt. Lebanon won a special election in March to serve out the remainder of former Republican U.S. Rep. Tim Murphy’s term in the existing 18th Congressional District south of Pittsburgh. Since then, the state Supreme Court implemented a new congressional district map after ruling the old map had been unconstitutionally gerrymandered to benefit Republicans.

Rothfus, 56, of Sewickley has represented the 12th District since 2012, when he unseated incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Mark Critz.

Read more: https://triblive.com/local/allegheny/13900093-74/poll-shows-conor-lamb-with-double-digit-lead-over-keith-rothfus

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Poll shows Conor Lamb with double-digit lead over Keith Rothfus (Original Post) TexasTowelie Jul 2018 OP
K & R SunSeeker Jul 2018 #1
The 51-39 lead is by using a regular turnout model DeminPennswoods Jul 2018 #2
Rothfus deserves to go down - he's terrible FakeNoose Jul 2018 #3

DeminPennswoods

(15,273 posts)
2. The 51-39 lead is by using a regular turnout model
Wed Jul 25, 2018, 07:37 AM
Jul 2018

If they use a voter enthusiasm type model, Lamb's up 54-39. Interesting that Rothfus polls the same either way.

FakeNoose

(32,610 posts)
3. Rothfus deserves to go down - he's terrible
Wed Jul 25, 2018, 10:19 AM
Jul 2018

Rothfus has run virtually unopposed in the old heavily gerrymandered district. Now that he's got a real opponent (finally) in Conor Lamb, people will see this and vote against him. I say this with all respect for Mr. Lamb, who is a great candidate for ANY district!

Pennsylvania needs more guys/gals like Conor Lamb to step forward and carry the torch of leadership.

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