Pennsylvania
Related: About this forumClinton slips in Pa.
A new snapshot poll shows Hillary Clinton slipping in Pennsylvania and wallowing in two other critical states, Ohio and Florida, no doubt due to her "extremely careless" thing regarding national security.
A Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday shows Clinton trailing Donald Trump 43-41 in the Keystone State after leading him here 42-41 last month.
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The poll says Clinton dropped on issues of honesty and trustworthiness. Trump leads here in that measurement 49-43.
He also leads, according to the poll, on the issue of more likely to create jobs in the state, 54-39.
Maybe more troublesome for Clinton is a poll finding that she's lost ground with Pennsylvania women. She now has 43 percent support among women, down from 50 percent in June. And Trump leads slightly among independent voters in the state, 39-36.
In addition, while both candidates remain unpopular here, Clinton's negative favorability rating is higher than Trump's. She's at 65 percent. He's at 57 percent.
But, for me, the real tell in the new poll -- one that explains any attraction to Trump as well as any dissatisfaction with Clinton -- is a finding that 72 percent of state voters agree that "the old ways don't work and it's time for radical change."
http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/growls/Clinton-slips-in-Pa.html
artyteacher
(598 posts)Quinnipiac under represents minorities compared to other polls.
LenaBaby61
(6,979 posts)Who as you said under represents minorities by 2% while over-sampling white voters by that same 2%. This same polling outfit would probably have Trump only down by single digits in California.
lapucelle
(18,351 posts)Gee, I wonder if it has anything to do with Comey's complicity with Tea Party Republicans last week?
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)artyteacher
(598 posts)Those are the polls that are meant to help it look close to help the media .
LenaBaby61
(6,979 posts)Who had Bernie ONLY leading Trump by 4 in Ohio when he was doing quite well in the primaries. Other polling outfits IIRC had Bernie Sanders up by high single digits to a double-digit lead over that orange, racist, lying orangutan in Ohio.
Quinnipiac USED to be the gold standard in polling years ago, but with their methodology which changed to saying that the white vote will increase by 2% and that minority vote will decrease by that same 2%, well ....
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)a horse race going.
Time and time again, it's been proven that people just aren't in election-mode until at least October. In a society of people who value instant gratification over slow and steady, important events and things like knowing who you intend to vote for, and who will have control over your life from the bottom up, are not even considered until nearly the last moment. Hence the "marathon not a sprint" saying when it comes to elections.
Just do a little personal research and the next time you talk to your local cashier or someone you just meet and chat with, and talk about the elections. I usually get blank stares before they shake their head and tell me, "I'm not thinking about it. It's in November!"
merrily
(45,251 posts)Officially, neither Party has a nominee yet and there has not been a single debate.
Never be complacent, but it's way too soon to panic.