The predictive markets which are based on the free market system disagrees with your analysis. If anyone really believes this analysis, then go make some money by opening an Irish brokerage account You would get great odds on this belief and can make some money http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-winner Clinton's odds of being the Democratic nominee has shot up 6 or 7 points since Nevada and the odds of the Democratic candidate (i.e. Clinton) winning the general election has gone up also.

I was close to buying an option when Clinton was only at 80% probability of being the nominee a couple of weeks ago (i.e., before the Nevada caucus results). With Clinton being at 90% chance of being the nominee, the pricing is not attractive to me but would be attractive if you really believe that Sanders will be the nominee.

The people who making the market are no doubt factoring in super delegates and all of the states where Sanders is projected to lose by double digit margins.

DhhD

(4,695 posts)

4. The free market system undoubtedly triangulates with delegates that are responsible for the future

Reply to Gothmog (Reply #2)

Thu Feb 25, 2016, 11:20 AM

Feb 2016

of the Democratic Party at the Convention. Right now, February 2016, the count is very close to even in my analysis. Things change on a dime; Right? Or should I say, on a Right dime?

The Free Market Democratic Party of third way agrees with your analysis. So Does the Merchant Religion of corporatism.

DhhD

(4,695 posts)

5. Eisenhower/Roosevelt Dime.

Reply to DhhD (Reply #4)

Thu Feb 25, 2016, 11:25 AM

Feb 2016

https://search.yahoo.com/search;_ylt=AwrSbmtKHM9WvycAeC6l87UF;_ylc=X1MDOTU4MTA0NjkEX3IDMgRmcgMEZ3ByaWQDdGJHZFNKU05TMzJQbzZyM1VJQ1J2QQRuX3JzbHQDMARuX3N1Z2cDNARvcmlnaW4Dc2VhcmNoLnlhaG9vLmNvbQRwb3MDMARwcXN0cgMEcHFzdHJsAwRxc3RybAMzMARxdWVyeQNIaXN0b3J5IG9mIHRoZSBFaXNlbmhvd2VyIERpbWUEdF9zdG1wAzE0NTY0MTM3OTQ-?p=History+of+the+Eisenhower+Dime&fr=sfp&fr2=sb-top-search&iscqry=

DhhD

(4,695 posts)

6. Like American Father; like American Daughter. Clinton campaigned for Goldwater policies.

Reply to DhhD (Reply #4)

Thu Feb 25, 2016, 11:50 AM

Feb 2016

http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/dollarstore-new-deal

In 1960 Sen. Barry Goldwater called the policies of the Eisenhower administration “a dime store New Deal” — a promise to deliver to the voters everything the Democrats promised, but at a discount. And that has been a fundamental dividing line in the Republican party ever since: Should the GOP challenge the Democrats’ fundamental commitment to an ever-bigger federal government, or only promise to deliver services more efficiently and at lower cost to taxpayers?

See the FAIR act of 1998 to privatize everything that could not be run by government.

Adding: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2008/oct/19/big-government-gets-bigger/?page=all