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ashling

(25,771 posts)
Sat Feb 2, 2013, 06:52 PM Feb 2013

Texas two-step: Hillary whips Rick Perry in Texas presidential poll Read more: http://thehill.com/b

As Hillary Clinton leaves Foggy Bottom and begins the next stage of her life, Texas Democrats are buzzing about new numbers from Public Policy Polling that show Hillary would defeat Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) for Texas's electoral votes in 2016. This is both profound and predictable, as I wrote in a recent column titled "Hillary turns Texas blue." The biggest steroid infusion in America is not in pro sports but in the Texas Democratic Party, whose insiders (finally) sense a moment of opportunity for statewide and congressional races in 2014.

First, the polling. In a hypothetical High Noon for Texas electoral votes in 2016, Hillary would defeat Rubio 46 percent to 45 percent, would defeat Christie 45 percent to 43 percent, and and would (pardon the expression) annihilate would-be governor for life Perry 50 percent to 42 percent. In related polling, former Houston Mayor Bill White, who ran a strong campaign against Perry that fell short in the last gubernatorial campaign, would defeat Perry for governor in 2014, 47 percent to 44 percent.

To invert the words of a famous song: "Something is happening here, and what it is is exactly clear." What is happening is that Texas has begun the process of becoming blue, due to:

(1) sweeping demographic changes with rising tides of voting groups friendly to Democrats such as Hispanics, women and younger voters, to cite just three;

(2) a new generation of younger Texas Democratic officeholders who are the seed corn of the coming power structure that will succeed great Texas Democratic icons such as Lloyd Bentsen and Ann Richards, to name just two;

(3) the deep-enders of the far right, who are now threatening primaries against more moderate (and more electable) Texas Republicans at the very moment that rising stars among Texas Democrats are making a powerful bid for the political center in the Lone Star State.

The problem with the national political media, when it comes to Texas, is that insiders watch too much J.R. Ewing and read too little Census data. They miss the very powerful underlying changes that are more advanced in Texas than insiders trapped in old stereotypes and Washington elite dinner parties understand.

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Read more: http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/campaign/280537-texas-two-step-hillary-whips-rick-perry-in-texas-presidential-poll#ixzz2Jmj9h1PZ
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5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Texas two-step: Hillary whips Rick Perry in Texas presidential poll Read more: http://thehill.com/b (Original Post) ashling Feb 2013 OP
Texas is still a tease. Drunken Irishman Feb 2013 #1
Texas is very susceptible to Downwinder Feb 2013 #2
Please, please, please! TexasTowelie Feb 2013 #3
Personally, I think this is already there Melissa G Feb 2013 #4
SMOKE AND MIRRORS ROBROX Feb 2013 #5
 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
1. Texas is still a tease.
Sat Feb 2, 2013, 06:58 PM
Feb 2013

I think the Democrats are at least another eight years from winning. Sure, right now she leads. But how will that lead hold up with actual campaigning? Remember, at one point, Obama led Perry in Texas too - by a larger margin to boot.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/06/29/989933/-TX-Pres-Obama-leads-Perry-in-Texas

TexasTowelie

(112,228 posts)
3. Please, please, please!
Sat Feb 2, 2013, 08:37 PM
Feb 2013

Let this polling be true. We need to get rid of Perry and Cornyn in 2014 and Cruz in 2018.

Melissa G

(10,170 posts)
4. Personally, I think this is already there
Sat Feb 2, 2013, 09:26 PM
Feb 2013

but the repubs control the Black Box voting and Texas is an awfully expensive place to recount even if we could get an accurate count. Just my 2 cents.

 

ROBROX

(392 posts)
5. SMOKE AND MIRRORS
Sun Feb 3, 2013, 12:51 AM
Feb 2013

These poles are taken before the GOP can work their magic. There may be more people who are NOT voting GOP but the GOP still has tricks to keep people from voting or just TAMPER with the voting process.

If they can not win an election then they can buy, lie, etc. to WIN..........

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