Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Fri Jul 13, 2018, 07:32 PM Jul 2018

2018 US Senate Election prediction.

Democratic Victory by a landslide margin.
CA(Feinstein-D) 24D
CT(Murphy-D) 25D
DE(Carper-D) 26D
HI(Hirono-D) 27D
ME(King-I/D) 28D
MD(Cardin-D) 29D
MA(Warren-D) 30D
MN regular(Klobuchar-D) 31D
NM(Heinrich-D) 32D
NY(Gillibrand-D) 33D
RI(Whitehouse-D) 34D
VT(Sanders-I/D) 35D
VA(Kaine-D) 36D
WA(Cantwell-D) 37D
Republican Victory by a landslide margin.
MS Regular(Wicker-R) 43R
NE(Fischer-R) 44R
UT(Romney-R) 45R
WY(Barrasso-R) 46R
Democratic Victory by a low double digit margin.
MI(Stabenow-D) 38D
MN special(Smith-D) 39D
NJ(Menendez-D)40D
OH(Brown-D)41D
PA(Casey-D)42D
WI(Baldwin-D)43D
Republican Victory by low double digit margin.
MS special(Hyde Smith-R) in Runoff against Espy-D 47R
Democratic Victory by high single digit margin.
AZ(Sinema-D) 44D
MT(Tester-D) 45D
NV(Rosen-D) 46D
WV(Manchin-D) 47D
Republican Victory by a high single digit margin.
TX(Cruz-R) 48R
Democratic Victory by a narrow margin.
FL(Nelson-D) 48D
IN(Donnelly-D) 49D
MO(McCaskill-D) 50D
Republican Victory by a narrow margin.
TN(Blackburn-R) 49R
Could go either way
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R)

4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
3. We pick up AZ,NV,TN and TX- if Cruz-R commits a gaffe/October Surprise. We lose ND,IN,and/or MO/FL.
Fri Jul 13, 2018, 07:41 PM
Jul 2018

Democratic net gain of 1 seat.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
4. The 2018 TX US Senate Race is similar to the 2006 TN and VA US Senate Race.
Fri Jul 13, 2018, 07:50 PM
Jul 2018

Like Harold Ford jr(D-TN) in 2006, O'Rourke(D-TX) margin of defeat will be very narrower than other recent TX US Senate Races.
Like Jim Webb(D-VA) in 2006. O'Rourke(D-TX) will end up winning due his Republican opponent messing up in the minute.

Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Campaigns»2018 US Senate Election p...