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Related: About this forumIf the Dems regain control of the US Senate this year, Here is the year when they will lose control.
Scenario 1
Democrats win both 2020 and 2024 US Presidential Election.- 2026.
2018- Democrats pick up AZ,NV,and TN but lose IN or ND. +2D 51D 49R
2020- Democrats lose AL but pick up CO,AZ special,NC,GA,IA,ME-if Collins-R retires or loses in the primary, and MT- if Bullock-D runs. +4 to +6D 55 to 57D/43 to 45R
2022- Democrats lose AZ and/or NH- if Sununu-R or Ayotte-R runs, but pick up PA- if Lamb-D runs and WI- if Kind-D runs.
-2D to 0D 53 to 57D/43 to 47R
2024- Democrats lose TN . -1D 52 to 56D/44 to 48R
2026- Democrats lose GA,IA,NC and/or MT. -3 to -4D 48 to 53D/47 to 52R
Scenario 2
Democrats win the 2020 US Presidential Election but loses the 2024 US Presidential Election. 2024.
2024- Democrats lose FL,MO,MT,TN,WV and IN or ND. -6D 47 to 51D/49 to 53R
2026- Democrats pick up ME
Scenario 3
Democrats lose the 2020 US Presidential Election but win the 2024 US Presidential Election.
2020- Democrats lose AL but pick up CO and/or ME if Collins-R retires or loses in the primary and Democrats nominate Golden or Jackson. 0 to +1D 51 to 52D/48 to 49R.
2022- Democrats pick up AZ,FL,GA,IA,NC,PA,and WI. +7D 58 to 59D/41 to 42R
2024- Democrats lose TN but pick up TX.
2026- Democrats lose nothing.
Crutchez_CuiBono
(7,725 posts)By 2026 dems lose nothing...bc there's nothing left to lose.
bottomofthehill
(8,329 posts)But you have some wishful thinking in there. I am wishing with you
dameatball
(7,398 posts)No disrespect intended whatsoever. You put some time into this, but there are just too many variables that could occur between now and then. Heck, pollsters can't even get it right the night before an election.