How Democrats will do in the 2024 and 2026 US Senate Election.
2024- Democrats will hold onto
Safe D
CA(Chu-D, Torres-D, Bass-D, Linda Sanchez-D, or Barragan-D) Non White Female US House members. (Kounalakis-D or Ma-D) Non White Female statewide elected officials.
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D or Blunt Rochester-D)
HI(Hirono-D or Gabbard-D)
ME(King-I/D) Lean-D/Likely-D if Golden-D is the Democratic nominee.
MD(Cardin-D or John Sarbanes-D whose father Paul previously held onto that US Senate seat.)
MA(Warren-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D or Welch-D or Donovan-D or Gray-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
Likely D
MI(Stabenow-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
PA(Casey-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
Lean D
AZ(Sinema-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
OH(Brown-D)
Slight D
MT(Tester-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
FL(Stephanie Murphy-D or Nikki Fried-D defeats Rick Scott-R who is more unpopular than Marco Rubio-R).
2026
Safe D
DE(Coons-D)
IL(Durbin-D or Underwood-D)
MA(Markey-D or Pressley-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
OR(Merkley-D)
RI(Reed-D or Cicilline-D)
Likely D
CO(Hickenlooper-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
Lean D
MI(Peters-D)
Slight D
GA(Ossoff-D)
Democrats pick up ME if Collins retires.